job report

The U.S. economy likely shed jobs for the fifth straight month in May as flagging consumer confidence and the worst housing bust in generations discouraged hiring.

The economy is expected to have lost 58,000 jobs in May, after losing 20,000 a month earlier, according to a Reuters poll of 90 economists.


AP
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The Labor Department report is scheduled to be released on Friday at 8:30 a.m.

Stocks rallied on Thursday, in part due to a surprise drop in in the weekly claims for jobless benefits. But analysts said the market could reverse course if Friday's jobs report turns out to be worse than expected.

"If it's a nasty loss [of jobs], it would pull the rug out from under the rally," said Al Goldman, chief market strategist at A.G. Edwards.

Another drop in payrolls would mark the first five-month run of job losses since 2003, when the economy was in what economists at the time termed a "jobless recovery."

"Credit-related 'headwinds' and soft final demand imply weak labor demand over the remainder of the year," said Bank of America economists in a research note to clients.

That cut in jobs is likely to bring the unemployment rate up to 5.1 percent from 5 percent.

Some economists held out hope for slightly better news after ADP Employer Services released a separate report on Wednesday showing the economy added 40,000 private-sector jobs in May.

While the ADP report has tended in recent months to overestimate job gains, economists said it could foreshadow a smaller-than-expected decline in the government's payrolls report on Friday.

"Other things being equal, it increases the chance that Friday's official payroll number will beat the current consensus," said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, New York.

But he stopped short of predicting the end of payroll declines, adding "we remain of the view that the trend will be downwards for the foreseeable future." Unlike the ADP data, the Labor Department's non-farm payrolls report includes both private and public sector jobs and is generally seen as more reliable by economists.


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Indeed, continued weakness in the jobs market "has been foreshadowed by the major leading indicators of employment -- rising initial and continuing jobless claims and household assessments of labor market conditions," said Steven A.

Woods, economist at Danville, California-based Insight Economics.

The brunt of the job cuts this year have come from manufacturing and construction, which has lost about a half million jobs since a housing bubble burst in late 2006.

Typically, in an economic slowdown, the economy loses up to 2 million jobs.

Around a quarter of a million jobs have been lost this year and economists expect more cuts, particularly as consumers -- who fuel roughly two-thirds of economic output -- trim their spending.

--Reuters contributed to this report.

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• 洪永淼成思危 VaR 金融风险 损失 方差度量极端风险不合适 -marketreflections- ♂ (46227 bytes) () 10/18/2008 postreply 08:28:26

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• 牛顿三大定律 中学物理资源网 -marketreflections- ♂ (4055 bytes) () 10/20/2008 postreply 15:31:45

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• 经典力学中的基本物理量是质点的空间坐标和动量 -marketreflections- ♂ (3613 bytes) () 10/20/2008 postreply 15:43:05

• 量子力学与经典力学的关系 -marketreflections- ♂ (5550 bytes) () 10/20/2008 postreply 15:47:44

• 广义相对性 任何参考系 物理学规律的数学形式相同 吴伯田 -marketreflections- ♂ (10358 bytes) () 12/05/2008 postreply 17:28:23

• 你打你的我打我的 -marketreflections- ♂ (666 bytes) () 10/23/2008 postreply 16:18:53

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• 组成论 熵信息复杂性网站 entropycomcn -marketreflections- ♂ (8718 bytes) () 11/28/2008 postreply 08:54:38

• 大脑是一个高负熵耗散系统 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (13842 bytes) () 09/29/2008 postreply 14:44:45

• 弗洛伊德《梦的解释》胡塞尔《逻辑研究》齐美尔《货币哲学》。 -marketreflections- ♂ (9993 bytes) () 09/28/2008 postreply 08:13:26

• 血、汗、财的关系: 人性计算 -marketreflections- ♂ (17528 bytes) () 09/28/2008 postreply 08:30:59

• “信息是用来消除随机不确定性的东西” 信息论创始人香侬 -marketreflections- ♂ (394 bytes) () 10/15/2008 postreply 08:20:26

• 信用本质上是一种反映个人属性的信息，拥有价值，可以交易 -marketreflections- ♂ (7890 bytes) () 11/25/2008 postreply 09:12:22

• 量子牵连原理 -marketreflections- ♂ (5253 bytes) () 12/22/2008 postreply 09:13:18

• 量子飞跃：改变你工作和生活的7种量子技巧 -marketreflections- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/22/2008 postreply 13:35:34

• 博弈圣经 曹国正 -marketreflections- ♂ (80 bytes) () 12/22/2008 postreply 17:23:41

• 费曼物理学讲义介绍 -marketreflections- ♂ (88 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 08:04:19

• 量子飞跃：改变你工作和生活的7种量子技巧 -marketreflections- ♂ (59 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 08:32:48

• 经典物理学，物质的运动是连续的 -marketreflections- ♂ (7898 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 08:51:44

• 现实：无穷无尽的信息的环境、不可言喻的有意识的大脑 -marketreflections- ♂ (5070 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 09:03:06

• 自身对连续性和稳定性(知觉连贯性）的追求影响感知的选择 -marketreflections- ♂ (2114 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 09:10:41

• “过早认知约束" -marketreflections- ♂ (6086 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 09:19:11

• 意念使意识中的信息排列起来, 创造现实的心理机制 -marketreflections- ♂ (819 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 09:25:19

• 有意识地选择我们能影响（但不能完全控制我们生活的结果 -marketreflections- ♂ (2320 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 09:33:12

• 爱因斯坦:“想像力比知识更重要”,超越过去, 有效市场论 -marketreflections- ♂ (3168 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 09:40:55

• 穿过闭合回路所围面积的磁通量变化，回路中会建立起感应电动势，且此感应电动势正比于磁通量对时间变化率的负值 -marketreflections- ♂ (57 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 10:19:53

• 张惠兴的BLOG (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (98 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 10:34:42

• 运动时磁场中的磁粒子就会与金属中的电子、原子核、磁子发生碰撞。根据动量、动能守恒 -marketreflections- ♂ (6011 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 10:46:04

• 电力是电荷与电荷之间的相互作用而形成的力 -marketreflections- ♂ (13484 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 10:49:11

• 宓海江 物理学是物学与空间学的统一 -marketreflections- ♂ (16647 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:12:51

• 宓海江 空间是被能量制造出来的，就像长江是由“水”制造出来的，有水就有“江”，水多则江水上涨，水少则江水下落，水无则“江”消失， -marketreflections- ♂ (52119 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:20:45

• “我们的任务并不是看到人们没有看到的东西，而是想到人们没有想到、但每个人都看到的东西。” -marketreflections- ♂ (5892 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:23:57

• 二元思维痴迷源自大脑的结构: 意识是过去的的而且也是二元的. 康德的先验时空， -marketreflections- ♂ (465 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:27:10

• 我们的感觉器官实际上就是为二元思维设计的 线性逻辑 -marketreflections- ♂ (6059 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:32:47

• 右脑还有另一个重要的创造性优势。它能在几微秒的时间里处理成百万的视觉图形 -marketreflections- ♂ (3668 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:37:39

• 从左向右阅读是由左脑控制的，而形象（象形文字）是由右脑处理的 -marketreflections- ♂ (6048 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:41:52

• 模糊逻辑的首要定律是不相容定律 当复杂程度提高后，准确的陈述失去了意义 -marketreflections- ♂ (3897 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:46:07

• 心脏电磁波的改变是交感神经和副交感神经系统间相互作用的一个副产品 -marketreflections- ♂ (5791 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:49:10

• 感情不是由外界事件决定的，而是由我们对这些事件的理解决定 -marketreflections- ♂ (5866 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:52:53

• 似乎我们的记忆（能量）是储存在身体每一个细胞里的 各种身体操作对释放旧能量很有益 -marketreflections- ♂ (6492 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 11:56:21

• 释放出纷乱的（压抑着的）情绪所冻结的能量 老容器污染了新酒。 -marketreflections- ♂ (6375 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:00:36

• 我们的视角变化时，感情也随之而变 最消耗能量的情绪之一是挫折感 -marketreflections- ♂ (4107 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:03:34

• 压力造成心脏电磁系统不和谐频率，这种不和谐直接传输到大脑。这导致大脑皮质层抑制(corticalinhibition)。当大脑中 -marketreflections- ♂ (3325 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:07:07

• 人类却能保持一个连贯的自我意识 场为第一或隐秩序 我们可看到的世界，即第二或显秩序 -marketreflections- ♂ (6487 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:15:22

• 90％的大脑皮质被切除后，这些老鼠仍能走一个迷宫 宇宙本质上是一组信息的符号或场 -marketreflections- ♂ (1520 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:20:55

• 深度冥想 超导状态 调对了宇宙频率，量子就产生共鸣，超常的能力就出现了 -marketreflections- ♂ (6403 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:29:23

• 直觉上帝: 频率要一致， 波形要一致; 思想上、身体上和情绪上放松时更易接受来自量子场的信息 -marketreflections- ♂ (7569 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:38:57

• 直觉既不是自觉的理性过程也不是将局部分类并做连续决策的线性练习 -marketreflections- ♂ (6490 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 12:48:51

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• 自觉意识: 买低卖高， 经验论， 理性意识， 稍微好一点? 整体, 市场意识： 共频 -marketreflections- ♂ (5725 bytes) () 12/23/2008 postreply 13:34:59

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• 第七章 实在的分化发展 -marketreflections- ♂ (5083 bytes) () 12/09/2008 postreply 12:05:35

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• 罗国正 论二十七维时空 -marketreflections- ♂ (22738 bytes) () 12/18/2008 postreply 15:23:36

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