Peter Morici, an economist

Edition:U.S.

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CloseArticleSaveEmailPrintReprintsMore Reuters Results for:""peter morici""
Economists: Jobs fix won't be quick
4:29am EST
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Economists: Jobs fix won't be quick
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Thu Jan 28, 2010 9:29am ESTFactboxPossible elements of jobs package
Mon, Dec 7 2009Related NewsPresident Obama pivots to jobs as key theme
Fri, Jan 8 2010
Obama pushes plans for more job creation
Tue, Dec 8 2009POLITICO (Washington) - President Barack Obama's job-creation program could produce a short-term political boost, but it's unlikely to significantly stem job losses and reduce the unemployment rate anytime soon, according to economists.

"People are out of work. They are hurting. They need our help. I want a jobs bill on my desk without delay," the president said during his State of the Union speech.

But even he acknowledged, that "the truth is, these steps won't make up for the 7 million jobs we've lost over the last two years."

Specifically, the president wants to give a tax break to businesses that hire workers, eliminate the capital gains tax on small business investments and use $30 billion in Troubled Asset Relief Program money to encourage community banks to lend to small businesses.

The president's package also would pump more government money into "green jobs" and infrastructure projects and extend unemployment benefits to those still out of work.

While Obama's emphasis on small business is new, many economists see the overall package as simply an extension of the $787 billion stimulus bill passed last year — and not a robust one, at that.

"He's trying to turn his microeconomic policies into some macroeconomic solution. He's grasping at straws," said Peter Morici, an economist at the University of Maryland.

"We are just going to have to ride this out over the next six months. If things don't get better in trade with China, we aren't getting out of this," he added.

Gus Faucher, director of macroeconomics at Moody's Economy.com, is not so negative, but he's not exuberant either.

"I think the package will make a difference around the edges," Faucher said. "But, at the end of the day, it will take a strong economic expansion to get job growth going again."

And Anne Kim, the economic program director for The Third Way, a moderate Democratic think tank, said the White House really isn't trying to secure a near-term boost in jobs.

"There is only so much anyone can do about the unemployment rate, and it's largely out of the government's control," said Kim.

"What they're aiming for is to lay out a long-term economic strategy and an agenda that re-engages middle-class Americans and persuades them that their best prospects for a better future lie with President Obama and Democrats," she added.

In a conference call with reporters before the speech, senior White House aides conceded that the jobs package has a familiar feel.

But National Economic Council Deputy Director Jason Furman said many of the problems — from job creation to government spending — "are all exactly the same as last year. A lot of the responses are building on what was done over the last year."

The newest emphasis in the package is its focus on small businesses, which are the largest generators of new jobs.

Many entrepreneurs and locally operated businesses have complained bitterly that they can't gain access to credit, despite the billions taxpayers poured into big banks to stabilize them last year.

By using TARP repayments from big banks to help small businesses, the White House hopes to show that Main Street is benefiting from the administration's efforts as well as Wall Street.

"Through sheer grit and determination, these companies have weathered the recession and are ready to grow. But when you talk to small business owners in places like Allentown, Pa., or Elyria, Ohio, you find out that even though banks on Wall Street are lending again, they are mostly lending to bigger companies. But financing remains difficult for small business owners across the country," Obama said.

As for the tax break for new hires, Morici questions whether it will have much impact without broader evidence that the economy is in full recovery. "Without customers, these guys aren't going to be hiring anyway," he said.

Robert Shapiro, a former Clinton administration economic adviser, said in a recent posting on the website of his firm, Sonecon, that the White House should focus on cutting the payroll taxes of employers who increase their work force.

Such a tax would be singularly focused on new jobs and could help avoid the nettlesome problem of defining which new hires would qualify for a tax break under the Obama proposal.

"Its projected power to boost follows directly from its success in creating jobs, since the new workers would spend virtually everything they earn," Shapiro argued.

Expansion of the stimulus spending program on infrastructure and green jobs could have more impact, but economists say it's unclear how quickly that money could be approved by Congress and pushed out into the market.

The vast majority of the big infrastructure projects approved under last year's stimulus programs are just now getting started. The White House has indicated that the bidding process could be accelerated for a second round this year because there wasn't enough money for all the worthy projects.

If that's the case, a quick turnaround could do some good by expanding the ongoing hiring of workers for the roads and bridge construction projects that economists say have indeed helped to bend the job loss rate.

But the benefit from the green jobs program — nicknamed by some as "cash for caulkers" because of its emphasis on home retrofitting — may not be as effective.

To be sure, the green job initiative has led to job creation. The wind industry recently told the New York Times that stimulus cash was vital to helping it endure the economic downturn.

And there is plenty of anecdotal evidence of business expansions prompted by the money being pumped into weatherizing houses and other projects. Evergreen Recycling, a Las Vegas firm, hired 60 people with the help of stimulus funds.

But Faucher said "green jobs are a small piece of the puzzle. We can't count on that to spur significant job growth."

He said a more efficient and effective way the White House and Congress could influence the unemployment rate would be to ship billions in aide to state and local governments, which are on the verge of laying off hundreds of thousands of workers.

In a recent interview with POLITICO, National Economic Council Chairman Larry Summers was lukewarm to that proposal, noting that some states didn't use stimulus dollars last year to save jobs but put it in "rainy day" accounts.

"This is the rainy day, so hopefully they will start using them," said Faucher.

One Obama proposal that the economists all agreed would be prudent is the expansion of unemployment benefits.

"Jobless people can be counted on to spend everything extra they receive," said Shapiro. "It also has the virtue of doing some good for millions of people."

(c) Capitol News Company, LLC 2010





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• 散射,非接触性碰撞，和牛顿实物粒子的碰撞及恢复不同 -marketreflections- ♂ (18563 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 08:38:40

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• 平面極坐標係是正交曲線坐標系,其平面坐 标网格由一组同心圆( 標網格由一組同心圓( 1 1 c c r = r = )及一组放射 -marketreflections- ♂ (10137 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 10:10:45

• 消去時間 t t , 则得到轨道方程 ,則得到軌道方程,运动学正问题 -marketreflections- ♂ (62 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 10:21:31

• http://class.htu.cn/lixue/ online class -marketreflections- ♂ (26 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 10:25:52

• 表征物质存在、运动的物理量被抽象化了；时间、空间与物质的存在不再是独立的了；表征物质运动、存在原因的力学量也就更为抽象化了 -marketreflections- ♂ (1099 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 14:55:21

• 解析几何是用代数方法(借助于坐标(x,y)或(x,y,z)或(ρ,θ)来研究几何图形的性质; 平面极坐标系研究有心力作用的力学问 -marketreflections- ♂ (10355 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 10:17:10

• elearning.stut.edu.tw 進修課程 -marketreflections- ♂ (49 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 17:54:01

• 视重是指物体对支物体的压力或悬挂物对物体的拉力，也就是台秤或弹簧秤的读数，是可以改变的;实重就是物体的重力，它与运动状态无关，不 -marketreflections- ♂ (6585 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 18:08:23

• 电梯对人的支持力与人对电梯的压力相等,因为这两个力是一对平衡力,它们始终大小相等,方向相反.而人的重力与人对电梯的压力不相等 -marketreflections- ♂ (1197 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 18:23:38

• 電梯向上施力-向下體重=合力向上=人的質量X電梯向上加速度A,作用力=反作用力,所以磅秤讀數會比體重更大 -marketreflections- ♂ (6232 bytes) () 06/20/2010 postreply 18:29:24

• 狭义相对论动量 m与速度有关，由于空间各向同性，只与速度大小有关，m=m(v). -marketreflections- ♂ (293 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 14:19:44

• 将有限大物体无限细分为质量元－－ 质点 ，利用独立原理，可以得到质元间的作用。 將有限大物體無限細分為質量元－－ 質點 ，利用獨 -marketreflections- ♂ (12838 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 13:12:34

• 引入有效势能的好处是把原来二. 维问题化为一维问题, -marketreflections- ♂ (270 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 13:24:38

• 简谐振动的矢量表示和复数表示,有加速度体系，科奥力出现，就是二体问题了，抓主要矛盾 -marketreflections- ♂ (11930 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 13:41:09

• 第七章 振动和波 平面波动力学方程，与频率无关，没有色散 -marketreflections- ♂ (315 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 13:50:32

• 相对论中的固有长度和固有时间是指相对所选参照系静止的事物的长度和时钟走时，比如地面上两不动地点之间的距离，在地面上测得的就是固有 -marketreflections- ♂ (1215 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 14:30:47

• 狭义相对论时空观 同一物体速度不同，测量的长度不同。物体静止时长度测量值最大（原长最长）。 ... t0 固有 -marketreflections- ♂ (3504 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 14:33:46

• 能量為一定值 E 的解 這些解因為能量固定，具有固定頻率： -marketreflections- ♂ (12105 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 14:01:17

• 愛因斯坦光電方程式 -marketreflections- ♂ (4665 bytes) () 06/19/2010 postreply 14:03:29

• 大学物理教程（上下册） -marketreflections- ♂ (2326 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 09:48:23

• 物理好图 静电场 -marketreflections- ♂ (9365 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 21:05:45

• 电势能 场对带电体做功 使物体的机械能增加 能量哪里来？ 由电场与电荷的相互作用能的减少作为代价 -marketreflections- ♂ (5852 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 21:25:15

• 带电体在电场中移动时，场对带电体做功. ——能量传递. 作正功，带电体能量增加、电场能量降低；. 作负功，带电体能量减少、带电体 -marketreflections- ♂ (2141 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 21:38:09

• 电场力正做功:在做正功的过程中，电势能通过做功的形式把能量转化为其他形式的能，因而电势能减小 -marketreflections- ♂ (4873 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 21:47:00

• 物理好图 网络教学平台 -marketreflections- ♂ (387 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 22:15:28

• 正电荷产生的电场是从电荷向外发散的.好比太阳发光.负电荷产生的电场是从外向电荷收敛. -marketreflections- ♂ (496 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 22:21:26

• • 大学物理教程（上下册）描述运动的基本物理量 -marketreflections- ♂ (309 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 09:55:38

• 极矢量与轴矢量的区别 -marketreflections- ♂ (1091 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 12:06:52

• 考慮一個復標量場，相當于兩個實標量場。這個復標量有一個墨西哥帽形狀的勢能函數 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (7417 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 18:33:51

• 性质是趋势,特征是在主趋势中反向波动势能不累积,明显不具有突破性质的势能累积是无效的 -marketreflections- ♂ (1668 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 18:55:49

• 熱學中氣體分子間的交互作用勢能，它是大量分子勢能的和，實際不是用相對位置（位形）來描述的，而是用體積、溫度、壓強等熱學參量 -marketreflections- ♂ (533 bytes) () 06/17/2010 postreply 15:25:46

• 廣義勢能最主要的應用在於帶電粒子在電磁場中的邉由 -marketreflections- ♂ (372 bytes) () 06/17/2010 postreply 15:35:05

• 经典带电粒子的哈密顿量和能量 -marketreflections- ♂ (317 bytes) () 06/17/2010 postreply 15:44:01

• 动能公式的推导 -marketreflections- ♂ (500 bytes) () 06/17/2010 postreply 15:40:49

• If prices fall below the 200 day moving average during the forma -marketreflections- ♂ (4711 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 08:14:36

• 对沿闭合路径运动一周的物体做功为零;否则为非保守力(耗散力) -marketreflections- ♂ (9814 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 08:50:56

• 质点系的动能 质心运动动能+各质点相对于质心运动的动能 -marketreflections- ♂ (119 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 08:55:09

• 功是标量(代数量) -marketreflections- ♂ (166 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 08:56:58

• 波动方程也是势能方程，费慢机械波推导 四种基本力都是保守力 -marketreflections- ♂ (675 bytes) () 06/18/2010 postreply 09:29:04

• major mkt gurus and their grades -marketreflections- ♂ (45 bytes) () 02/21/2010 postreply 11:52:41

• Jim Puplava -marketreflections- ♂ (42 bytes) () 02/21/2010 postreply 12:02:25

• Carl Swenlin decisionpoint.com s&p real earnings -marketreflections- ♂ (118 bytes) () 02/21/2010 postreply 12:18:17

• David Goerz -marketreflections- ♂ (312 bytes) () 02/25/2010 postreply 13:17:11

• Arthur Hogan Arthur cashin -marketreflections- ♂ (17 bytes) () 03/04/2010 postreply 10:09:28

• criteria economist view -marketreflections- ♂ (7837 bytes) () 06/03/2010 postreply 08:23:13

• economist El-Erian,“Structural changes are often omitted from an -marketreflections- ♂ (7244 bytes) () 06/03/2010 postreply 08:40:49

• economist 我们所有经济发展的讨论我都归结于这样的前提 [ 葡萄 ] -marketreflections- ♂ (1637 bytes) () 11/13/2010 postreply 19:58:30

• economist John Kicklighter The fundamental and speculative pote -marketreflections- ♂ (7775 bytes) () 11/14/2010 postreply 07:56:16

• 刘煜辉：中国银行信贷90%都是以人民币资产作为抵押品发放的。资产价格上涨意味着信贷条件实质性地放松 -marketreflections- ♂ (4101 bytes) () 11/14/2010 postreply 08:01:43

• economist 高士奇 management of expectations of capitals -marketreflections- ♂ (1170 bytes) () 11/15/2010 postreply 11:59:23

• CPI shows fundamentals haven't changed - it's just been position -marketreflections- ♂ (2627 bytes) () 11/18/2010 postreply 07:53:42

• economist Gerard Lyons Super-cycle driven by the industrializati -marketreflections- ♂ (3932 bytes) () 11/22/2010 postreply 10:28:35

• beforeitsnews.com economist criteria -marketreflections- ♂ (14113 bytes) () 06/03/2010 postreply 09:01:07

• Asia News european banks are state banks -marketreflections- ♂ (19009 bytes) () 06/10/2010 postreply 08:51:26

• 'democracy could disappear' in Greece, Spain and Portugal -marketreflections- ♂ (7237 bytes) () 06/14/2010 postreply 13:55:28

• Kevin Rendino yuan revaluation helps inflating prices, stop defl -marketreflections- ♂ (297 bytes) () 06/21/2010 postreply 07:57:24

• Lincoln Ellis, housing, lending by banks -marketreflections- ♂ (420 bytes) () 06/22/2010 postreply 13:19:43

• http://robertreich.org/ -marketreflections- ♂ (23 bytes) () 06/23/2010 postreply 06:21:09

• Volatility:every time the market looks like it will turn down, ( -marketreflections- ♂ (2592 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 13:44:38

• El-Erian :New Normal -marketreflections- ♂ (1069 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 15:04:00

• GSB Podium基金:“三个经济世界”：人民币国际化的大背景 -marketreflections- ♂ (3533 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 15:17:23

• 美国GSB Podium基金总裁郭胜北：人民币应成为国际储备货币 -marketreflections- ♂ (3302 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 15:24:46

• 金融机构多达二万家. 数十万名职业交易员,电脑程序交易所占的纽约各大交易所的全天成交量，已经接近70% -marketreflections- ♂ (6827 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 15:33:05

• 国内M2最新一期是66.5万亿人民币 欧元区M3总共9.5万亿欧元 -marketreflections- ♂ (2423 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 19:47:07

• 張雪川 5國政府負債2.5萬億歐元，占歐元區GDP比重為 28%。 -marketreflections- ♂ (3207 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 19:54:23

• 美国货币供应量M2= 8万亿美元, 中国货币供应量M2=60万亿元人民币 -marketreflections- ♂ (511 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 19:57:59

• 不同的场牛顿重量加速度系数（质量性质）不同，要先分段（过去资料）定性，然后才考虑场平衡中心，边缘偏离等 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (571 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 16:51:26

• 200天图，其中就有很多主题不同的时期 -marketreflections- ♂ (249 bytes) () 06/24/2010 postreply 19:33:46

• 062410:1068/1066 area (70.7% retrace of June run/congest) -marketreflections- ♂ (636 bytes) () 06/25/2010 postreply 09:04:01

• Rod Smyth,Michael Aronstein -marketreflections- ♂ (555 bytes) () 06/25/2010 postreply 13:22:38

• Pharo Management Mark Dow -marketreflections- ♂ (952 bytes) () 06/28/2010 postreply 12:46:40

• ARMAGEDDON Fred Goodwin inverted global yield curve excess inven -marketreflections- ♂ (8166 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 08:18:45

• Jim Caron Tony Crescenzi Scot Johnson Don Ellenberger -marketreflections- ♂ (6793 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 08:32:38

• 2-10 year yields curve (gap):1998 1.25;022010,2.93;072010:2.37 -marketreflections- ♂ (265 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 08:37:39

• 刘煜辉：资产泡沫之下，全社会劳动生产率停滞，这就是所谓经济“滞”的根源。而另一方面，因为害怕泡沫破裂的冲击而货币迟迟不敢实质性地 -marketreflections- ♂ (5299 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 10:05:27

• 孙建冬：“去杠杆”成主基调 看好中低端消费品与服务业 -marketreflections- ♂ (5720 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 10:22:53

• 连平：现在的情况是主权债务危机，主权债务危机是政府不行，这和企业不行并不一样 -marketreflections- ♂ (1775 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 10:25:02

• 数学好图 黎曼认为，几何对象应该是一些多度延展的量，体现出各种可能的度量性质。而我们生活的空间只是一个特殊的三度延展的量 -marketreflections- ♂ (4156 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 12:17:39

• 庞卡莱研究三体问题:“定性” 地研究这样的动力系统，研究系统积分曲线的 “大范围” 性质，比如轨道是否闭合、是否有起点终点、是否 -marketreflections- ♂ (607 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 12:20:58

• “n 维流形” 大概是这个样子的：以其中一个点为基准，则周围每个点的位置都可以用 n 个实数来确定。 -marketreflections- ♂ (3907 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 12:25:42

• 庞卡莱意识到，描述一个几何体抽象性质的关键在于这个几何体本身有没有边界，以及它是不是其它几何体的边界 -marketreflections- ♂ (8200 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 12:34:02

• 如果光线从某一点向周围“线性发散”，即光强随距离线性减弱，则流形在这一点是“平直的”。球面上光强减弱得比较慢，因为相对于平直空间 -marketreflections- ♂ (4927 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 12:42:51

• 莱布尼兹“代数拓扑”: 不满意笛卡尔的坐标系方法，认为有些几何性质是跟几何体的大小无关的，从而不能直接在坐标系中予以体现 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (2125 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 12:58:15

• 海森堡的不确定性:能量和时间,动量和距离,一对儿冤家;爱因斯坦发现能量和质量是有关系的，它们之间成正比，而且比值刚好是光速的平方 -marketreflections- ♂ (4454 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 13:06:51

• 物理好图 最响亮的那个音高,“基音”,琴弦基音的振动频率只与琴弦固定端的距离有关 -marketreflections- ♂ (840 bytes) () 07/09/2010 postreply 12:18:02

• 从上至下是基音和前四个泛音。琴弦的实际形变是由所有可能的振动模式的总和形成的 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (8208 bytes) () 07/09/2010 postreply 12:32:11

• 整体振动所产生的音叫基音，各个部分振动所产生的音叫泛音 -marketreflections- ♂ (1829 bytes) () 07/09/2010 postreply 13:21:33

• 惯性质量等于引力质量 重的物体受到的地球引力比轻的大,因为它对加速度的抵抗更强。结论是，引力场中物体的加速度与其质量无关 -marketreflections- ♂ (5625 bytes) () 07/05/2010 postreply 08:45:43

• 爱因斯坦:物体的同一性质按照不同的处境或表现为‘惯性’，或表现为‘重量’ -marketreflections- ♂ (18373 bytes) () 07/05/2010 postreply 10:01:38

• 只有具有无穷多自由度的系统在运动中才能自然容纳或显现出有限多自 由度的变化.而物理学中研究的"场"就是这样的具有无穷多自由度的系 -marketreflections- ♂ (353 bytes) () 07/05/2010 postreply 10:37:05

• 当物体加速时，物体本身的质量增加，而加速需要能量。随着物体质量的增加，维持速度所需的能量也更多 -marketreflections- ♂ (562 bytes) () 07/05/2010 postreply 10:12:29

• fat tails, black swan, mid 2010: not like that destructive -marketreflections- ♂ (278 bytes) () 07/04/2010 postreply 08:53:36

• Robert Prechter,Deflationist -marketreflections- ♂ (65294 bytes) () 07/06/2010 postreply 15:28:32

• www.shadowstats.com economist M3 -marketreflections- ♂ (6607 bytes) () 07/06/2010 postreply 15:59:06

• non-self-liquidating type credit (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (3680 bytes) () 07/06/2010 postreply 16:12:27

• When money is created by the banks or the fed it is created by i -marketreflections- ♂ (2568 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 09:31:13

• mis pricing: Our debt markets assume that the future will be muc -marketreflections- ♂ (584 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 09:37:34

• Greenspan Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk -marketreflections- ♂ (5807 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 09:51:47

• Axel Merk -marketreflections- ♂ (66 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 11:56:14

• www.debunkingeconomics.com/.../Lecture_07_Minsky_FIH_Dynamics200 -marketreflections- ♂ (4145 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 15:41:21

• Companies' cash piles (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (5873 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 15:53:50

• John Brynjolfsson -marketreflections- ♂ (4097 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 16:13:46

• www.zerohedge.com -marketreflections- ♂ (68 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 16:20:51

• marketfolly.com Hugh Hendry -marketreflections- ♂ (4088 bytes) () 07/07/2010 postreply 16:29:38

• www.creditwritedowns.com Meredith Whitney strategic default -marketreflections- ♂ (181 bytes) () 07/08/2010 postreply 11:05:13

• Texas Ratio -marketreflections- ♂ (479 bytes) () 07/08/2010 postreply 11:16:56

• http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/ -marketreflections- ♂ (43 bytes) () 07/08/2010 postreply 11:26:20

• Michael Pettis Albert Edwards -marketreflections- ♂ (5558 bytes) () 07/08/2010 postreply 17:41:28

• mpettis.com China Financial Markets -marketreflections- ♂ (69596 bytes) () 07/08/2010 postreply 17:54:48

• Andrew Roberts -marketreflections- ♂ (4171 bytes) () 07/08/2010 postreply 17:47:33

• Doug Kass -marketreflections- ♂ (1480 bytes) () 07/09/2010 postreply 16:18:15

• trader Kevin Ferry a last-ditch, crazy fifth wave. This is what -marketreflections- ♂ (5626 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 11:13:32

• 波包内只能看见其他带电粒子，群聚，爱波统计；周围是高度的不确定性（高维时空） -marketreflections- ♂ (310 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 11:26:05

• von Neumann 复杂的现象或动态演化过程中的吸引子、自组织和混沌现象 -marketreflections- ♂ (22359 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 13:54:36

• 宇宙中存在着远离平衡状态的“自组织体系”，这些体系都是在有负熵流的作用下产生的，并且维持这种“自组织体系”的长期存在，需要外界有 -marketreflections- ♂ (3083 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:05:03

• “自组织”,都具有“活”的有序结构，即由微观粒子的不停运动构成，需要外界不断供给物质或能量来维持和发展 -marketreflections- ♂ (2553 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:08:55

• 风险资本市场的自组织行为 -marketreflections- ♂ (5522 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:12:24

• 无尺度网络,证券市场需要不确定性才能得以存在和延续 -marketreflections- ♂ (13638 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:20:26

• 《隐藏的逻辑》作者：[美]马克·布坎南/著 人类社会正在上演一场“量子革命”。物理学法则开始为我们描绘出一幅有关人或“社会原子” -marketreflections- ♂ (2298 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:28:15

• 群众行为模式：“我们在思考自己的行为动机时，想法总是错误的，因为我们会情不自禁地以个体的身份来思考和行为 -marketreflections- ♂ (939 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:35:17

• 经济学家认为，我们人类最重要的是具有理性思考的能力 -marketreflections- ♂ (971 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:54:26

• 阿克塞尔罗德,理性选择假设的真正优势在于，它使推理成为了可能。”假设人是绝对理性的，能使我们单凭逻辑建构理论，而不用再煞费苦心地 -marketreflections- ♂ (1331 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 14:58:28

• 逻辑思维停在了第一步或第二步 -marketreflections- ♂ (1674 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 15:02:42

• John Nash:一个理性的人在得知其竞争对手也都是理性的情况下，很多时候他总是能找到一个“最佳”策略加以运用 -marketreflections- ♂ (779 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 15:06:13

• 现代人的头，石器时代的脑,99％的人类历史中，我们的祖先都住在一个小型的游牧群体中，打猎和采集是他们的生存方式 -marketreflections- ♂ (2636 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 15:09:33

• 密度函数,信息的累积效应,使得价格大幅波 -marketreflections- ♂ (318 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 15:19:09

• 约翰·肯尼斯（John Kenneth）：经济系统之所以存活了下来，“不是因为那些预测经济未来的人工作做得有多杰出，而是因为他们 -marketreflections- ♂ (2665 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 18:01:59

• 动力学:驱动市场的动因其实是投资者策略的生态体系（ecology）, and their loss and profit,cap -marketreflections- ♂ (3099 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 18:06:15

• 价格变化有一个平均值，位于铃型曲线的顶点，也是变化值最常出现的地方。然后，曲线向顶点两侧快速下降,平面波 -marketreflections- ♂ (2906 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 18:13:30

• 物理好图 平面水波的波速容易受波長和水深影響 -marketreflections- ♂ (4914 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 18:29:29

• 均匀平面波的概念内容提要：讨论无源空间中的波动方程 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (719 bytes) () 07/13/2010 postreply 18:35:07

• 均匀平面波 trading, no liquidity at tails -marketreflections- ♂ (7368 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 15:20:33

• 波包的运动是量子力学中一个古老的课题 -marketreflections- ♂ (14103 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 15:37:49

• 平面波 定态薛定谔方程定态:哈密顿算符不含时间(与时间无关)→ 粒子在空间各处出现 -marketreflections- ♂ (441 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 15:53:45

• 物理好图 平面波 只有采用不含时的形式， 经典波动方程和薛定谔方程之间才可能有联系 -marketreflections- ♂ (12455 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 16:04:54

• 物理好图 平面波 行波 人在抖动一条绸带时，有行波沿绸带向远端传播 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (1286 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 16:10:59

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• 在保守力和定常约束作用下的力学系统称为保守系统，即保守系统[1]是指相空间相体积保持不变的系统 -marketreflections- ♂ (523 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 20:24:51

• 相空间相体积保持不变的系统为保守系统 -marketreflections- ♂ (89 bytes) () 07/14/2010 postreply 20:26:37

• 相空间:┌空间：设系统由N个全同粒子组成，粒子自由度，系统自由度,广义坐标, 横坐标，广义动量,为纵坐标所张成的2f维直角坐标空 -marketreflections- ♂ (5272 bytes) () 07/15/2010 postreply 14:26:57

• Timothy Hayes, weekly close to neutralize the previous week loss -marketreflections- ♂ (120 bytes) () 07/16/2010 postreply 05:00:50

• rogernightingale.com economist trader website -marketreflections- ♂ (43 bytes) () 07/16/2010 postreply 11:22:25

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• Option Gamma In a market where the stock bounces around like a y -marketreflections- ♂ (5014 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 17:26:20

• Gamma Scalping vs. Bleeding -marketreflections- ♂ (4340 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 17:35:45

• Gamma represents the change in delta for a given change in the s -marketreflections- ♂ (6149 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 17:45:52

• TradeKing Trade Like a Market Maker: Gamma Scalping -marketreflections- ♂ (3777 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 17:30:28

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• Gamma is important because it shows us how fast our position del -marketreflections- ♂ (4933 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 17:59:50

• At-the-money options have the largest gamma -marketreflections- ♂ (826 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 18:03:17

• As volatility falls,the gamma of deep in-the-money and out-of-th -marketreflections- ♂ (329 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 18:06:51

• spot movement is increasingly driven by what goes on in the opti -marketreflections- ♂ (5862 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 18:15:19

• when investors sell market maker puts, they have to buy stock to -marketreflections- ♂ (10648 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 18:32:29

• market-makers who bought those options trade the “gamma” aggress -marketreflections- ♂ (8857 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 18:53:43

• market makers can not keep up with the realized integrated volat -marketreflections- ♂ (1733 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 20:21:53

• excitement or call volume before ER or major event, if not, sell -marketreflections- ♂ (4469 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 21:52:51

• Oct 26, 2009：Baidu-BIDU volatility at 49; share price near recor -marketreflections- ♂ (306 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 22:01:06

• www.elitetrader.com best trader -marketreflections- ♂ (118 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 22:16:03

• Kevin Cook best optiontrader (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (14144 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 22:33:59

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• 路径积分,随着n的增大而剧烈振荡的函数,抛餐盘: 摆动角度很小时，转动速度是摆动速度的两倍 -marketreflections- ♂ (21319 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 07:39:20

• 物理好图 第三章蒙特卡罗方法的若干应用 -marketreflections- ♂ (771 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 07:58:44

• 维数灾难一般也就是指高维空间下数据的稀疏性,高能着贡献多 -marketreflections- ♂ (575 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:08:24

• 费曼图 粒子会在每一个可能的方式下相互作用：实际上，居间的虚粒子超越光速是允许的。（这是基于测不准原理，因深奥的理由而不违反相对 -marketreflections- ♂ (4370 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:14:32

• 高维积分平均值法 被积函数在超立方体的积分区域里可能强烈地变化。 -marketreflections- ♂ (5790 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:25:09

• 对股市的最初印象，决定大多数股民的全部金融行为特征。 -marketreflections- ♂ (2365 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:34:30

• D(k)是自旋为零的标量粒子的费曼传播子 -marketreflections- ♂ (335 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:40:55

• 力学量是希尔伯特空间中的张量，一般是二阶的;狄拉克符号,把希尔伯特空间一分为二，互为对偶的空间 -marketreflections- ♂ (9566 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:46:37

• 狄拉克符号法：狄拉克的q数理论（即符号法）已成为量子力学的标准语言，它包括表象理论和以q数为基础的方程 -marketreflections- ♂ (10612 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 08:54:07

• 狄拉克“q数”vs.“c数”（c代表“普通”：海森堡矩阵乘法规则：p×q ≠ q×p,“泊松括号”。 -marketreflections- ♂ (9850 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 09:01:43

• "矩阵乘法规则群论"”:p×q ≠ q×p。( 数学上，矩阵就是由方程组的系数及常数所构成的方阵。一个事物乘另一个事物，结果不对 -marketreflections- ♂ (3182 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 09:09:33

• 在数学及经典力学中，泊松括号是哈密顿力学中重要的运算，在哈密顿表述的动力系统中时间演化的定义起着中心角色。在更一般的情形，泊松括 -marketreflections- ♂ (709 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 09:13:06

• 正规矩阵: 一个复矩阵和它的共轭转置的乘积可以交换次序 -marketreflections- ♂ (305 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 09:56:23

• "泊松括号时间演化", 在规则运动情形，相点轨迹对于初始条件的微小变动是稳定的 -marketreflections- ♂ (2747 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 09:25:40

• PDF] 第九章正则方程 -marketreflections- ♂ (2485 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 10:00:21

• 热力学第二定律即需要矩阵L为正定矩阵。包含着力学中微观可逆生考量的统计力学意味着此一矩阵为对称矩阵。此一事实称为昂萨格倒易关系 -marketreflections- ♂ (2686 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 11:46:57

• 局部平衡。在某些例子中，有一堆分离的系统经由一堆分离的接连来相互作用着。连续系统则由测量每单位体积的外延量(如密度)及认为内涵量 -marketreflections- ♂ (835 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 11:48:54

• 正规矩阵 normal matrix. 正则化，保守场化，有限维化，重整化，测度论，相对论也是测度论 -marketreflections- ♂ (919 bytes) () 07/25/2010 postreply 11:58:25

• the importance of the market maker's delta-neutral position -marketreflections- ♂ (484 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 22:10:15

• Pin Risk www.optionsatoz.com/ -marketreflections- ♂ (11496 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 22:27:38

• trader http://www.deepcapture.com/wp-content/uploads/story-of-de -marketreflections- ♂ (67 bytes) () 07/23/2010 postreply 16:04:27

• http://crimsonmind.com -marketreflections- ♂ (2692 bytes) () 07/23/2010 postreply 16:52:27

• 原子唯物论 -marketreflections- ♂ (3794 bytes) () 07/23/2010 postreply 16:56:06

• 研究原子内部结构要用到的方法：微观粒子碰撞方法 電子與質子結合成氫原子時會放出強烈的紅光 -marketreflections- ♂ (4812 bytes) () 07/23/2010 postreply 17:02:23

• 连续对称性 -marketreflections- ♂ (329 bytes) () 07/24/2010 postreply 14:35:20

• "ted spread chart" vix relates to credit mkt -marketreflections- ♂ (53 bytes) () 07/16/2010 postreply 14:09:19

• cboe.com video -marketreflections- ♂ (42 bytes) () 07/16/2010 postreply 14:40:39

• 在这新的相空间内能量曲面方程就是球面方程 -marketreflections- ♂ (945 bytes) () 07/15/2010 postreply 14:38:08

• 相空间相体积不变，可积哈密顿系统，非混饨,否则就是混饨，就要不断对下边界定性定量 -marketreflections- ♂ (687 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 03:50:59

• 数值解爱因斯坦场方程为啥难 [ 测不到的信号 ] (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (6843 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 04:10:26

• 能量守恒用现代哈密顿力学原理描述，就是其位置和动量所组成相空间相体积不变，但形状可以任意变化，呈现所有可能状态 -marketreflections- ♂ (41275 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 05:19:45

• 而耗散系统则不然，相体积在演化过程中不断收缩，各种各样的运动在演化中逐渐衰亡，最后只剩下少数自由度决定的长时间行为，即：耗散系统 -marketreflections- ♂ (4797 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 05:24:17

• 《生命之谜(探索者物语)》纯波动态只有动量而静质量为零，纯粒子态乃是只有静质量而动量为零的极化状态，实际上多数情况下呈现为波粒两 -marketreflections- ♂ (22801 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 05:34:34

• http://forrootbasic.51.net来访问物理科学探疑 -marketreflections- ♂ (20 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 05:45:17

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• 微分方程 .李亚普诺夫函数 ,广义相对论的基本方程组也是这样的 -marketreflections- ♂ (3777 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 11:44:59

• 非线性动力学,定性方法是由彭加莱和李亚普诺夫创立的，他们同时还建立了微分方程定性理论 -marketreflections- ♂ (20727 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 11:51:43

• “手性均一”指一种手性构象占绝对优势的现象。这种现象对于今天的生命是必需的 -marketreflections- ♂ (22970 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 17:46:01

• 规范场理论,存在一种对称性就自动要求存在一种场，而且场可以有多个分量。人们可以应用该理论研究粒子的内部对称性 -marketreflections- ♂ (1683 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 17:48:29

• 量子场论:相互作用不再是由一种连续的场来传递，而是由这种场的激发（分离的虚粒子）来传递。这些虚粒子与真实粒子定域耦合，并在真实粒 -marketreflections- ♂ (16248 bytes) () 07/19/2010 postreply 15:39:49

• 自发的对称性破缺,萨拉姆设宴请客：“饭前服务员将餐具布置于圆桌周围，各碟子间和相邻碟子间的筷子都严格等距离。入席时客人坐在碟子后 -marketreflections- ♂ (1707 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 17:53:02

• 宇称不守恒的弱相互作用（这是杨振宁和李政道获得诺贝尔物理奖时的重要理论成果）通过中性流联合电磁相互作用，使手性分子两对映体的电子 -marketreflections- ♂ (2176 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 17:56:03

• 粒子物理(上)_章乃森 -marketreflections- ♂ (39 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 18:08:20

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• 三倍标准差效应 希格斯粒子 -marketreflections- ♂ (3463 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 18:21:20

• “三倍标准差原理”. -marketreflections- ♂ (2817 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 18:25:32

• 大型强子对撞机 总能量达7万亿电子伏特的质子流对撞 数以百万计的粒子将在环形隧道内以每秒11245圈的速度“狂飙”，约为光速的9 -marketreflections- ♂ (2633 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 18:28:27

• 从反粒子到最终定律[第一推动丛书]【第三辑】. -marketreflections- ♂ (38 bytes) () 07/17/2010 postreply 18:48:11

• 在费米理论中，中子和质子被认为形成一个与电流类似的带电的矢量流(记为V流)，中微子与电子形成了另一个矢量电流 -marketreflections- ♂ (11550 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 08:19:59

• 南部 潜藏的对称性 -marketreflections- ♂ (1315 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 08:22:47

• 电磁相互作用就是质子和中子同位旋对称破缺外因或同位旋破缺的机制 -marketreflections- ♂ (1968 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 08:43:49

• 粒子的性质可以分为两类。一类称为静态性质，例如质量、自旋、奇异数、同位旋、重子数、电荷等；另一类称为动态性质,例如寿命,衰变宽度 -marketreflections- ♂ (7470 bytes) () 11/29/2010 postreply 09:03:52

• 电磁相互作用就是质子和中子同位旋对称破缺外因或同位旋破缺的机制。 因为电磁相互作用的强度只有强相互作用强度的1/137，所以在只 -marketreflections- ♂ (7872 bytes) () 11/29/2010 postreply 09:05:05

• 张沁源,对称性,某种操作下的不变,所以你无法确定这样的操作是否进行过 -marketreflections- ♂ (2337 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 08:54:02

• 高涌泉：隱密的對稱 -marketreflections- ♂ (5772 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 13:58:51

• 物理好图 电磁场方程:同稳定场一样，我们可以给变化电磁场引入势，导出关于势的微分方程，再求出势方程的解，进而利用场与势的关系定量 -marketreflections- ♂ (885 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 12:54:52

• 物理好图 电磁场方程:同稳定场一样，我们可以给变化电磁场引入势，导出关于势的微分方程，再求出势方程的解，进而利用场与势的关系定量 -marketreflections- ♂ (129 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 13:00:23

• 物理好图:当系统参量到达某个临界值时，原先具有对称性的状态失稳，新出现了 -marketreflections- ♂ (44461 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 17:52:07

• 中国书画：非时空对称性。同时它讲究“胸有成竹，、“法无定法，自有我法，无法而法”， -marketreflections- ♂ (744 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 18:02:16

• 由于人们的从众心理，使得空间旋转对称性，这样一个连续对称性，在这里自发破缺了。这就使得，在人群中激发“抬头粒子”称为轻而易举的事 -marketreflections- ♂ (7745 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 18:51:43

• 所以當光從地球的引力場往上走，它失去能量，因而其頻率下降（這表明兩個波峰之間的時間間隔變大）,因此，從在上面的某個人來看，下麵發 -marketreflections- ♂ (421 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 18:57:02

• 卢昌海 内部空间的对称性：波函数能够在更高维的空间 - 即我们称为内部空间的空间 - 中旋转 -marketreflections- ♂ (6533 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 20:18:33

• 量子力学基本原理中粒子内部状态不可能通过干涉测量的原理 -marketreflections- ♂ (1747 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 20:45:48

• “历史之梯”的对称，就是连续对称现象 -marketreflections- ♂ (4010 bytes) () 07/19/2010 postreply 15:10:58

• 我们就不仅要知道物质场在那上面的运动状态，还要知道这个圆柱面被扭曲的程度 -marketreflections- ♂ (2706 bytes) () 07/19/2010 postreply 15:15:09

• 将夸克两两分组， 每组称为一代)夸克， 那么它们的混合就可以导致 CP 对称性的破缺 -marketreflections- ♂ (1956 bytes) () 07/18/2010 postreply 20:39:05