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Can Bond Markets predict a World War?
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
18:29:51
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Per bloomberg news, the U.S. bond market crash is spreading.
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
18:50:38
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Does it make sense to you?
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
18:59:38
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I read the news, and it says the collapse in bonds now ranks
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:02:16
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among the worst market crashes in history.
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:02:46
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Crash! That’s pretty eye-catching.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:08:29
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Is it due to inflationary and high interest rate?
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:09:26
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U.S.bonds are U.S. backed.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:06:12
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BlackRock warns the worst US bond rout in history is far
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:11:22
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from over...
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:12:40
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We have to ask this basic question: why do we buy
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:16:15
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U.S. savings bonds?
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:17:02
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For steady returns?
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:33:54
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And Americans tend to have faith in America.
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renqiulan -
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10/12/2023
09:35:48
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The bond market broke down after FOMC meeting, per JPMorgan
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:06:55
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When America sneezes, the world catches cold. Does the world
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:12:54
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catch cold? If not, why not?
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:14:02
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You wanna see the world in chaos?
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:19:53
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From history I have learned one thing. There's something
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:28:18
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called "a rainbow of chaos." Chaos is part and parcel of
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:30:13
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order. Let's check if we're living in this rainbow.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:31:37
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Disorder and unpredictability? We are in danger then.
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:44:12
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We are always in danger of some kind. But then,
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:49:09
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danger and opportunity are yin and yang.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:49:46
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危机 = 危险+ 机遇
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:53:30
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We Americans are born to take risks.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:58:19
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Actually, we humans are born to take...
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:05:54
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human enough.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:06:29
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Bravo !
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:16:20
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Encore!
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:06:04
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A rise in the 10 year-Treasury yield reflects a
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renqiulan -
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10/12/2023
09:42:14
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more optimistic view of our economy going forward.
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renqiulan -
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10/12/2023
09:44:11
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Do we still have faith in America? Do we still have faith in
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:19:28
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ourselves? Right now, we are hearing a lot of noise---the
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:21:27
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noise of a roller coaster. It happened before. It's
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:23:07
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happening now. It'll happen again.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:24:18
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Can you please elaborate on what you mean by "the noise"?
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:36:05
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The noise is the random, unwanted variation or fluctuation
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:46:42
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that interferes with the signal.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:47:15
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The signal is the meaningful information that
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:47:48
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you're actually trying to detect.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:48:20
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噪音,干扰人的正确判断。
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
19:52:17
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盈盈,你问得棒,太感谢了!胆敢一问,对茅盾的《子夜》,觉得甚样呢?
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:57:30
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秋兰读过茅盾的《子夜》?!真是被惊到了!非常棒的的联想。茅盾笔下描写了各种复杂的社会矛盾。确实和当前时政有某些类似之处。
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:03:43
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茅盾的《子夜》,很有左拉《金钱》的影子。茅盾写得最好的,个人觉得是《腐蚀》,其次是《春蚕》。
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:22:22
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我只读过茅盾的短篇。秋兰,你读过的中文书,可能比很多中国人还多。佩服!
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:27:13
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让我第一时间摘掉高帽子。自问爱书,爱读书,虽然读得少。
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
21:07:01
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噗~~高帽子?你也知道这个词?LOL
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/11/2023
07:06:54
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小说里有不少生活常用词汇,算是学了点点滴滴。
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:00:14
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又看了一遍你的帖子。目前美国债券市场崩盘,会重演过去的历史,像以前一样成为战争的预兆吗?
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:09:28
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盈盈,你的直觉认为会吗?
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:18:47
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A great book review with intriguing facts and deep thoughts!
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:39:48
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Will we get a 3rd one?!
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:43:37
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As long as we don't rest on our laurels, we'll be OK.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:13:52
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RMS Titanic sank because of its owner's hubris.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:15:58
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Sounds good.
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
20:31:04
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...
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:08:56
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Hi, 小西! It is a fact that history and money mix.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
19:53:59
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Hi, 秋兰!Yes, money is anywhere and anytime in history :)
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
20:02:50
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Whenever we add value to something, we also expect
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:13:08
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some profit in return.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:13:37
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Shells could be money, if you will. Money is currency.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:15:38
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Currency is for exchange, which is for trade. No trade,
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:17:43
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no modern civilization. History is progress toward
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:18:48
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modern civilization, hopefully.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:19:18
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geological fault lines VS geopolitical fault lines is like
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:49:58
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A super-earthquake VS A world war. Both make sense.
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:52:17
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Yes, analogically speaking.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:19:57
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Smart suggestions: if the market smells like roses when
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:55:20
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it's not supposed to. Be a cat, so as to smell a rat.
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:56:36
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谢谢秋兰分享好文好建议!
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
19:57:35
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有小西你这位好读者,我惭愧自己不是个好作者。当然,因为不是个好作者,所以更要作下去。业精于勤嘛!
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:02:31
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哈哈哈,秋兰小心发胖,因为谦虚使人发月半 :)从盈盈那儿学来的,现学现用,哈哈哈。
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
20:05:31
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Getting fat and lazy? No way. Hey, I'm a runner.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:07:47
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I may not run fast, but I keep running.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:08:58
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I beat the legendary hare lately. Yeah!
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
20:09:29
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哈哈,中国有龟兔赛跑的故事,秋兰读过吗?原来你是那位胜利者。LOL
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:14:20
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这方面的“国情”,不大熟悉。只知道澳门逸园赛狗,用的是电兔。较喜欢卖电池广告的那个打鼓的电兔。
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
21:17:58
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卡哇伊~~
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/11/2023
07:09:45
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Awsome, congratulations!
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
20:14:43
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哈哈。晚安小西,晚安秋兰,晚安美坛 ~ ~
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:17:25
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盈盈辛苦了,晚安, sweet dreams ~ ~ ~
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
20:23:30
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盈盈晚安!你的勤奋,令我佩服不已。
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
21:09:43
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谢谢楼上二位。酒逢知己千杯少。不辛苦。my pleasure ~~
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/11/2023
07:08:35
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Good for you!
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CBA7 -
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10/10/2023
20:10:35
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Olfaction helps.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:23:27
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If something is too good to be true, it probably is.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:21:11
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A scam is a rat wearing perfume.
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
17:27:10
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A bigger earthquake in financial system may lead to a war?
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方外居士 -
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10/10/2023
20:12:51
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That's my question too.
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/10/2023
20:19:42
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Time will tell. Thank you, 方外居士!
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
21:21:51
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小西,thanks for providing me with food for thought! Goodnight.
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renqiulan -
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10/10/2023
21:25:40
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I am reading and it would take me a while :-)
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Oona -
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10/11/2023
06:09:01
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我昨天也是反复看了几遍。不好懂。秋兰文章,深邃,有文化底蕴。:)
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盈盈一笑间 -
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10/11/2023
07:11:33
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谢谢盈盈!文化底蕴谈不上,拙文还有无限的改进空间。
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
16:36:22
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Oona, you are truly appreciated!
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
16:31:02
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I agree with you. I invest significant percentage on gold..
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唐宋韵 -
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10/11/2023
09:22:48
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Seize the day. Seize the golden opportunity. Hi, 唐宋韵!
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renqiulan -
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10/11/2023
16:39:35
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