Bullish Sentiment High But Still Below 50% (图)

Bullish Sentiment High But Still Below 50% With the Dow up more than 50% since its lows in March, it is no surprise that sentiment among newsletter writers has improved dramatically. As shown below, the percentage of bullish newsletter writers has increased from a low of 22.4% in October 2008 to 47.2% today. While sentiment has improved, we would note that some investors are still uneasy. With bullish sentiment below 50%, this implies that over half of newsletter writers are anticipating a bear market or at least a 10% correction. Additionally, even as the major indices have all hit new highs off the lows, bullish sentiment is down from its peak of 51.6% in late August and at its lowest levels since the first week of August.

所有跟帖： 

• 文国庆 价值中枢就是一个长期看来的平均值,股票指数和名义GDP的关系长期来看就是这样的对应关系 -marketreflections- ♂ (4642 bytes) () 10/14/2009 postreply 15:01:55

• 投资者分布: 处于正态分布顶端的考研人 -marketreflections- ♂ (2783 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 11:37:21

• 科斯定律新解 群体不简单地只是个人的集合体而已 -marketreflections- ♂ (9552 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 11:59:42

• 科斯定律指出由于“交易成本”的存在使得企业组织成为比市场更合适的组织形式已 -marketreflections- ♂ (204 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 12:10:53

• 摩尔定律，梅特卡夫定律和科斯定律 -marketreflections- ♂ (5759 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 12:12:51

• 大量失败和少数非凡成功式的幂率分布: breat out pattern -marketreflections- ♂ (121 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 12:15:28

• 跟随盘感的自我感觉 冲动性交易 2nd tier herd -marketreflections- ♂ (6507 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 12:21:48

• "正态分布人" 获得约 4,560 条结果 -marketreflections- ♂ (34 bytes) () 10/16/2009 postreply 12:23:27

• 基本面，客观面基波; ，技术面，心理面, 谐波 -marketreflections- ♂ (4052 bytes) () 10/17/2009 postreply 08:32:44

• 傅立叶变换给出了一个非周期时域函数(方波、三角波、矩形脉冲)的频域描述 -marketreflections- ♂ (1794 bytes) () 10/17/2009 postreply 09:35:48

• 拷贝理念 摒弃模式的携程第二 旅游和二手车行业有相同之处的话，那么信息不对称、竞争混乱、行业潜力巨大应该位列前三 -marketreflections- ♂ (1784 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 05:59:04

• ctrp 在线旅游模式三足鼎立 谁能真正赢在中国 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (4976 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 06:05:40

• ctrp 携程 超过3000万会员 -marketreflections- ♂ (1271 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 06:10:03

• ctrp 携程度假业务始于2004年，和酒店、机票预订、商旅业务一起组成携程四大业务 -marketreflections- ♂ (9824 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 06:22:06

• ctrp 携程旅行网度假数据显示，截至目前，8月份赴日旅游预订出行人数同比翻番，与7月出行人数相比更有2倍以上增长 -marketreflections- ♂ (2814 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 08:42:52

• ctrp 度假业务占携程网营收的约8% http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/US1 -marketreflections- ♂ (653 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 09:00:26

• ctrp 携程网管理层解读2009年第二季度财报 -marketreflections- ♂ (10085 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 09:19:36

• 中国民航2009年8月份主要运输生产指标统计 (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (147 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 09:52:15

• 孙洁：机票业务,我们的市场份额在快速提高 我们市场份额的增速并没有放慢 -marketreflections- ♂ (10083 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 18:05:11

• 如家酒店集团CEO孙坚认为，尽管与去年同期相比，国内酒店市场还是有些下降，但整个行业已经开始恢复 -marketreflections- ♂ (728 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 10:04:55

• 全国旅游星级饭店经营情况监测报告 全国旅游星级饭店经营情况监测网 -marketreflections- ♂ (4047 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 10:13:29

• 杨春燕　东方证券 旅游行业2009年三季报前瞻:需求进一步回暖 -marketreflections- ♂ (1925 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 10:42:09

• 携程，一张机票平均抽40元左右的佣金，200元以上一晚的酒店，平均能抽60元 -marketreflections- ♂ (5152 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 11:04:35

• 携程佣金模式之辩 -marketreflections- ♂ (6028 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 11:13:07

• 艾瑞读财报：二季度携程机票酒店营收大幅增长 -marketreflections- ♂ (3424 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 11:56:21

• 庄宇翔 ctrp executive -marketreflections- ♂ (52 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 14:28:40

• 携程的市场营销方式是会员制﹢呼叫中心﹢信息技术 -marketreflections- ♂ (2764 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 14:34:39

• 携程商旅管理市场份额已跃居国内第三(第一为美国运通，第二为CWT -marketreflections- ♂ (873 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:00:33

• 携程为什么能独领风骚？ (图) -marketreflections- ♂ (1658 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:03:35

• 携程每天订票量有4.5万张,除去电话方式,来自网络销售机票有1万多张 -marketreflections- ♂ (982 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:05:54

• 亚洲最大网络零售商淘宝网 淘宝机票频道能够解决中小代理商信誉不足,宣传力度不够的问题 -marketreflections- ♂ (474 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:07:39

• 易游网：游金章在旅游电子商务领域，易游网的经验比携程网更丰富 -marketreflections- ♂ (6197 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:14:54

• 携程度假商旅业务实现快速增长 和国内外旅游局合作 -marketreflections- ♂ (3587 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:22:07

• 商旅业务承载大未来环球旅讯 携程70%的业务就来自于3000人呼叫中心 -marketreflections- ♂ (3645 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 12:26:17

• ctrp 机票预定收入同比增长32%，环比增长20%，占总营收的44% -marketreflections- ♂ (1584 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 09:25:03

• 酒店预定收入同比增长16%，环比增长21%，占总营收的45% -marketreflections- ♂ (39 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 09:30:28

• 赵焕焱 今年7月上海入境游市场终于出现久违的正增长 -marketreflections- ♂ (3307 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 10:22:50

• 携程网在中国机票订购市场上所占份额仅为6%，摩根士丹利2008年底预计，未来五年中，通过携程销售的机票金额有望上升至机票订购总额 -marketreflections- ♂ (27714 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 11:39:41

• 2008个人电子客票网上交易额增速达440.7%，全年交易额达495.6亿元，业内人士预计，2009年该市场将达到706亿元，2 -marketreflections- ♂ (2874 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 11:51:59

• 2009年,携程机票预定业务已经占到国内市场的10% -marketreflections- ♂ (1349 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 14:42:55

• 携程旅行网有全亚洲最大的呼叫中心,也仍未能在自己的本行业做到让所有的客户满意,而电信移动想 -marketreflections- ♂ (3846 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 14:47:53

• 艾瑞 2009Q3中国网上旅行预订市场规模为10.00亿元，相比09Q2的9.05亿元，环比增长10.5%；相比08Q3的7.5 -marketreflections- ♂ (1866 bytes) () 10/29/2009 postreply 13:23:19

• China Business News @ The China Perspective -marketreflections- ♂ (101 bytes) () 10/29/2009 postreply 13:24:57

• 中国民航局统计 -marketreflections- ♂ (56 bytes) () 12/22/2009 postreply 08:25:47

• 民航局统计数据 2009８月，国际航线运输三大指标继续大幅增长 -marketreflections- ♂ (3461 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 09:47:50

• "PEG ratio (five-year growth rate" -marketreflections- ♂ (124 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 17:17:48

• moneycentral.msn.com reuters earning estimate -marketreflections- ♂ (97 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 17:20:46

• 理念 矛盾，不均衡，向均衡运动，会产生各种反映，信息不对称，情绪波动等，能量溢出，从而被剥削 -marketreflections- ♂ (221 bytes) () 10/27/2009 postreply 18:02:35

• "The Big Picture":Mohamed El-Erian vs Lakshman Achuthan -marketreflections- ♂ (863 bytes) () 11/06/2009 postreply 15:49:17

• 汇丰银行驻纽约外汇策略师林奇 风险尚未消失，可能这就是风险和美元仍反向而动的原因。 -marketreflections- ♂ (1668 bytes) () 11/08/2009 postreply 15:25:16

• WORLD FOREX Robert Lynch -marketreflections- ♂ (5766 bytes) () 11/08/2009 postreply 15:32:18

• The four-week average of claims 325,000 with a healthy economy. -marketreflections- ♂ (291 bytes) () 10/22/2009 postreply 06:51:01