通过阅读这篇文章,就可以理解测量数字和实际传染数字之间的delay,以及之间的关系. 在爬坡前期,实际传染数字可能是测量数字的十来倍。
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca?from=groupmessage&isappinstalled=0
Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now
Politicians, Community Leaders and Business Leaders: What Should You Do and When?
Tomas Pueyo
Updated on 3/19/2020. This article has received over 40 million views in the last week. 28 translations at the bottom. The next article is ready: Coronavirus, The Hammer and the Dance
- With everything that’s happening about the Coronavirus, it might be very hard to make a decision of what to do today. Should you wait for more information? Do something today? What?
- Here’s what I’m going to cover in this article, with lots of charts, data and models with plenty of sources:
- How many cases of coronavirus will there be in your area?
- What will happen when these cases materialize?
- What should you do?
- When?