• 古道啊,我刚才发觉我那个不完整,漏喂了几个文件,回头给你个完整的,你继续分析啊 - 未完的歌 -
(0 bytes) (0 reads) 11/23/2025 19:14:42
AI的分析结果
基于提供的文件内容,以下是关于 Larry Summers 与 Keyu Jin(文中称为 "peril"、"she" 或 "Keyu")关系的完整分析:
1. 核心定性:有过性史的前任情侣(Ex-Lovers with Sexual History)
这段关系最核心的定性并非单纯的“导师与学生”或单方面的迷恋,而是一段分手后极其复杂的纠缠关系。
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情侣事实: Larry Summers 在邮件中明确向 Jeffrey Epstein 承认他们“曾经是一对情侣(had been a couple)”。
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性关系确认: 对话中多次隐晦或直接地指涉了性关系。Epstein 曾调侃“再次上床(in bed again)”的概率,Larry 也使用了“横躺(getting horizontal)”来代指性行为。Larry 痛苦地意识到自己正从亲密伴侣沦为“没有福利的朋友(friend without benefits)”,这证实了双方过去存在实质性的亲密关系。
2. 职业捆绑:以导师身份维持的“锚点”
在亲密关系降温后,职业上的师徒关系成为了两人维持联系的主要纽带。
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Keyu 的需求: Keyu 似乎希望将 Larry 锁定在“经济学导师”和“强力盟友”的角色上。她利用 Larry 的地位为自己的文章、演讲提供修改建议,并感谢他对她父亲工作的支持。她倾向于切断私人联系,只保留专业联系。
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Larry 的策略: Larry 清楚这一点,但他利用这种职业依赖作为维持关系的杠杆。在 Epstein 的建议下,他继续帮她口述社论,因为这是保持接触的低风险策略,也是他目前手中最有力的牌。
3. 情感博弈:不对等的投入与“备胎”恐惧
Larry 在这段关系中表现出强烈的情感依恋和不安全感,而 Keyu 则处于相对强势的掌控地位。
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Larry 的迷恋与挣扎: Larry 形容 Keyu “聪明、自信、美丽动人”,并感叹自己“完了”。他不仅在情感上并未走出这段关系,还时刻关注 Keyu 的一举一动(如她的着装、演讲表现)。
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嫉妒与被降级: 2019 年 3 月的“Guy #3”事件是双方权力失衡的集中体现。Keyu 为了见另一个男人而取消了与 Larry 的周末计划,这让 Larry 感到极度愤怒和被羞辱。他敏锐地察觉到 Keyu 对新男人的身体吸引力,感到自己沦为了用来对抗其他男人的“备胎”或杠杆,并在“送礼竞赛”中处于劣势。
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Keyu 的态度: 在 Larry 眼中,Keyu “以自我为中心”,对他表现出一种“后视镜里的温暖”。她精明地利用 Larry 的愧疚(如关于已婚身份的道歉)和职业资源,同时在情感和身体上保持距离。
4. 外部干预:Jeffrey Epstein 的“军师”角色
Jeffrey Epstein 在这段关系中充当了 Larry 的知心密友和战略顾问。
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情感支持: Epstein 经常安抚 Larry 的焦虑,肯定他的价值,并断言 Keyu “注定”会回到 Larry 身边,因为她找不到第二个像 Larry Summers 这样的人("Probability ZERO" she finds another)。
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策略建议: 他建议 Larry 保持冷静,利用幽默化解尴尬,并鼓励 Larry 继续进行职业上的帮助(如修改文章),以此作为长线投资。他甚至引用契诃夫的小说《带小狗的女人》来隐喻 Larry 的处境——一个已婚男人陷入了无法解决的深爱,既不能离开家庭也无法割舍情人的困境。
5. 未来预期:Larry 的“长期游戏”
Larry 并没有完全放弃,而是采取了一种计算精密的“长期游戏(Long Game)”策略。
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被迫的等待: 在受伤期间,Larry 采取了“被迫等待模式”。他计算了未来成功的几率(认为是三分之一或五分之一)。
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最终目标: 他的目标是迫使 Keyu 意识到,即使不结婚,她也无法在剥离“浪漫与性”的情况下单独享受他的职业资源。他希望 Keyu 最终会发现他在生活中的不可或缺性,从而被迫接受包含亲密关系在内的双重关系模式。
总结
Larry Summers 和 Keyu Jin 的关系是一场未完成的“分手”,充满了权力博弈和利益交换。Larry 不甘心只做提供资源的“前任”或“导师”,他试图利用手中的智力资本和职业影响力,通过长期的战略博弈,试图恢复与 Keyu 的浪漫和性关系;而 Keyu 则试图在享受 Larry 带来的职业红利的同时,剥离情感和身体的义务,寻求新的伴侣。
以下是根据所有提供的文件,整理的完整时间线通信内容
11/20/2018
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11/20/2018 12:46 PM Keyu → Larry: [Email] Did RA come back with answers to the yellow highlighted? did you take a look at the section that was written up? apart from your revision of intro there was the first section.
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11/20/2018 01:36 PM Larry → Jeffrey: [转发 Keyu 的邮件] Think no response for a while probably appropriate. Just had lunch w Jamie D Is trump getting crazier as many of my pals think or is it steady crazy.
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11/20/2018 06:44 PM Jeffrey → Larry: steady crazy, but now frightened.. yes quiet... lets see if the pace picks up or slows, she's already begining to sound needy :) nice
11/21/2018
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11/21/2018 07:07 PM Jeffrey → Larry: if you can hold out till tomorrow. and write something along the lines that when people talk about giving thnks, I think of how lucky i am to have met you. blah blah
11/29/2018
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11/29/2018 03:07 PM Jeffrey → Larry: [发送视频附件] <137cae2c-8e79-4ab3-895a-134381421cc0-1.MP4>
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11/29/2018 04:45 PM Larry → Jeffrey: I ll show it to her. U have returned to the press
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11/29/2018 04:47 PM Jeffrey → Larry: short lived, no worry
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11/29/2018 04:48 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Is there risk that u are staked our re tmrw night
11/30/2018
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11/30/2018 10:35 PM Jeffrey → Larry: im a pretty good wing man, no? anymore, how great larry is comments and i would have had to barf. great fun
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11/30/2018 10:46 PM Larry → Jeffrey: You were good. Thought if u didn't know that we had been a couple she gave it away w familiarity and barbed comments. Think for now I'm going nowhere with her except economics mentor. I think I'm right now in the seen very warmly in rear view mirror category. She did not want to have a drink cuz she was "tired" I left the hotel lobby somewhat abruptly. When I'm reflective I think I'm dodging a bullet. There are huge ups with her but very self involved and to get her to be good probably requires more firmness than I enjoy. Think right thing is to cut off contact. Suspect she will miss it. Problem is I will too.
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11/30/2018 10:53 PM Jeffrey → Larry: once you decide which way, we can set it up with option to purchase
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11/30/2018 10:54 PM Larry → Jeffrey: What number?
12/01/2018
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12/01/2018 08:57 AM Jeffrey → Larry: results?
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12/01/2018 09:08 AM Larry → Jeffrey: I sent a note just asking her to txt when she was up cuz I had something brief to say to her. Didn't want to push cuz she takes her 930 presentation here very seriously. Better after her talk. Am I thanking her or being sorry re my being married. I think the former.
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12/01/2018 09:11 AM Jeffrey → Larry: thanking her for fortitude in dealing with what has obvioulsy been a tough situation. and acknowlegin both how difficult it has been coupled with your mate insensitivty. and apologizing for not fully recogbnizing how difficult it has been
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12/01/2018 10:29 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Game day at conference she was extremely good Smart Assertive and clear Gorgeous. I'm fucked.
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12/01/2018 10:31 AM Jeffrey → Larry: well your debating tips obviously worked as ? youre fucked, was my expression inserted as one to remember:)
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12/01/2018 10:38 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Yup
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12/01/2018 01:52 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Call me or give number She did well was mostly into that Took my suggestions re her talk Interested in my commentary on her outfits Was appreciative but seemed very dry eyed on my message re marriage pigheaded etc I referenced your having figured us out told me to be fair and got me thinking Suspects she thinks richer dialog between us. Think cooling off while I'm away is good thing
12/14/2018
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12/14/2018 06:12 PM Larry → Jeffrey: She wants no contact except re article I'm having very good time w lisa I'm avoiding contact I'm off to China. Told her.
12/15/2018
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12/15/2018 10:07 AM Jeffrey → Larry: news?
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12/15/2018 12:27 PM Larry → Jeffrey: In China. Too much talk may be mistake.
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12/15/2018 09:00 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Is calling from here prudent
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12/15/2018 10:38 PM Jeffrey → Larry: 561 655 7626
12/16/2018
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12/16/2018 01:52 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Ok
12/21/2018
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12/21/2018 06:29 PM Jeffrey → Larry: you back?
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12/21/2018 06:42 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Yup. Want to discuss the Donald at some point Curious re Dersh
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12/21/2018 07:01 PM Jeffrey → Larry: im in palm beach all weekend
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12/21/2018 08:23 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Will Call tonite or at some point. Will u be visiting Mara Lago.
12/22/2018
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12/22/2018 12:49 AM Keyu → Larry: [Email] I also wanted to say how grateful I am and have been for your support, and also your support of my father's work. I don't say these things often enough but it is I hope implied.
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12/22/2018 07:03 AM Larry → Jeffrey: [转发 Keyu 的邮件] Sent 45 minutes after she sent an outline. I had sent a comment in mtg w her father flattering her father and saying other China officials had flattered him as well.
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12/22/2018 07:18 AM Jeffrey → Larry: trump - borderline insane. dersh, a few feet further from the border but not by much
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12/22/2018 07:54 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Of course. Who knows whether I'm serious? Not at this moment me. Will trump crack into insanity?
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12/22/2018 01:04 PM Jeffrey → Larry: this is not a new phenomenon for him. in the past he was told not to come out of his apt. thats how he got through near personal bankruptcy. is strength is remarkable. he is pounded 24/7. I hope someone close to him gets indicted, but not sure, otherwise the pressure of the unkown will force him to do crazy things.
12/25/2018
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12/25/2018 09:26 AM Jeffrey → Larry: being asked for 3 names to replace mnuchin
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12/25/2018 01:06 PM Larry → Jeffrey: What number ru at?
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12/25/2018 01:29 PM Jeffrey → Larry: 561 655 7626
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12/25/2018 01:37 PM Larry → Jeffrey: I ll call sometime today.
12/26/2018
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12/26/2018 08:36 AM Jeffrey → Larry: davos nothing personal-- trying to bring more sitting rather than former. demand 150% of past for attendance.
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12/26/2018 01:54 PM Larry → Jeffrey: If i want to go can u get me invited.
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12/26/2018 02:51 PM Jeffrey → Larry: not likely. ive gotten 6 so far, and was told after 4 no more
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12/26/2018 02:53 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Too bad Can we lock in next year now. Will only revert if Chinese dynamics require.
01/04/2019
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01/04/2019 01:24 PM Jeffrey → Larry: back?
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01/04/2019 07:01 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Tmrw Modestly interesting developments re dear Abby issue. Quite confused. Trump seems about same
03/16/2019
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03/16/2019 01:59 PM Larry → Jeffrey: guy 3 seems to be in London for weekend which is why my visit cut short. I got mad. Didn't send angry note after call though. This is a ridiculous activity.
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03/16/2019 02:10 PM Jeffrey → Larry: how was it communicated to you?
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03/16/2019 03:08 PM Larry → Jeffrey: We talked on phone. Then "I can't talk later". Dint think I can talk tomorrow". I said what are you up to. She said "I'm busy". I said awfully coy u are. And then I said. Did u really rearrange the weekend we were going to be together because guy number 3 was coming" She said no his schedule changed after we changed our plans. I said ok I got to go call me when u feel like it. Tone was not of good feeling. I dint want to be in a gift giving competition while being the friend without benefits. Think time to just stay away for a while. If there is potential here she ll find way back. I think I'm too eager weak at this point. The Prada thing by someone else is natural. By me seems desperate. Had good sense not to send off a note. She must be very confused or maybe wants to cut me off but wants professional connection a lot and so holds to it. I think life as stand by in case she needs leverage against another guy sucks. But I get when I think about it stay cool.
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03/16/2019 03:19 PM Jeffrey → Larry: shes smart. making you pay for past errors.. ignore the daddy im going to go out with the motorcycle guy, . you reacted well.. annoyed shows caring., no whining showed strentgh.
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03/16/2019 03:57 PM Larry → Jeffrey: I'm really mad at the deception. Should I just wait for her to call? This guy different. Maybe married or old or something. I sense from body language she is really attracted but he is unsuitable as partner. I can hardly be possessive under circumstances but schedule changing because she gets a better offer is not acceptable. If I say this she will rage back about times I changed plans because of family and work constraints. She knew I was upset. I think significant chance she ll send note saying this may not be fair to you why Not take time off or that she will say this. In her way very tough. But nothing for now.
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03/16/2019 04:16 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Just send, happy for the time we spent together- have fun see you soon
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03/16/2019 04:33 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Doesnt work I talked to her for 45 minutes.
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03/16/2019 05:10 PM Jeffrey → Larry: And?
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03/16/2019 05:16 PM Larry → Jeffrey: No I meant that thanking her will be wierd because we had 45 minutes of friendly convo before the bit I described. I'll wait till tmrw and send her some article and then say some version of your msg. At some point need more firmness though.
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03/16/2019 05:27 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Firm delivered through humor
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03/16/2019 05:38 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Figuring out how. Could say she has now used up 80 percent of what she was owed through my changes in plan. Or say xi changes meeting w trump. I think she is tired of this alas. Sustaining w secrecy hard.
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03/16/2019 07:07 PM Jeffrey → Larry: you could say something like. try not to call him larry by mistake.. though it would be amusing.
03/17/2019
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03/17/2019 01:56 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Not funny
06/14/2019
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06/14/2019 01:45 PM Jeffrey → Larry: in paris, weather great
06/15/2019
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06/15/2019 06:35 AM Larry → Jeffrey: I ll call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril? Think she was off w some guy falling in love w Buddhist art? Not sure who or what.
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06/15/2019 06:48 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Drake equation probability estimation is garbage in garbage out but this not same thing as saying concept of a probability is wrong. Do I think meaningful to talk about prob of trump being re-elected or my getting horizontal w peril which are one shots.
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06/15/2019 06:54 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Cannot use the concept of probability with only one example and not a repeated space. Gromov said its a question his children might ask and hopefully only once!
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06/15/2019 06:56 AM Jeffrey → Larry: III have red ink on my summer s dollar thank you. -It should be a ten as you did add - with gusto-jeffrey, that is REALLY stupid
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06/15/2019 06:57 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Don't know Gromov. This is clearly wrong. Soviet doctrinaire sounds like. Do u think Question of prob that stock market will rise till end of 2019 is meaningless? You have one strong willed authority with achievements in some other sphere. So what.
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06/15/2019 06:58 AM Larry → Jeffrey: U r better at understanding Chinese women than at probability theory. At understanding movement of money too.
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06/15/2019 07:07 AM Jeffrey → Larry: The stock market models as a contiuous function. With a history and many past events. More like what is the probability you being reincarnated .
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06/15/2019 07:09 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again with peril.. 0
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06/15/2019 07:21 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Uh oh. Lhopital s rule
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06/15/2019 07:33 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Not exactly getting within the limit is NOT the same as IN
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06/15/2019 07:34 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Just called
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06/15/2019 07:47 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Try now
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06/15/2019 08:26 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Just tried back
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06/15/2019 08:34 AM Larry → Jeffrey: U called but I couldn't hear anything
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06/15/2019 12:44 PM Jeffrey → Larry: [分享 NYT 关于新泽西机场的报道链接]
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06/15/2019 03:37 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Got it
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06/15/2019 04:54 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Subjective probability is a type of probability derived from an individual's personal judgment or own experience about whether a specific outcome is likely to occur. It contains no formal calculations and only reflects the subject's opinions and past experience rather than on data or computation. Subjective probabilities differ from person to person and contain a high degree of personal bias.
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06/15/2019 05:11 PM Larry → Jeffrey: This is silly.
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06/15/2019 05:13 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Exactly
06/16/2019
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06/16/2019 07:45 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Later. In meantime, strategy w peril?
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06/16/2019 07:46 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Continue to dictate -little downside
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06/16/2019 07:48 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Re later - you can read up on questions -re life on other planets described as " subjective probability " ie. Total nonsense
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06/16/2019 07:48 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Red ink
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06/16/2019 07:51 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of exogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces.
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06/16/2019 07:52 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Not at all. Long game
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06/16/2019 07:53 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it is a binary decision appropriate to use " odds"
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06/16/2019 07:57 AM Larry → Jeffrey: On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w Angela Jolie
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06/16/2019 08:04 AM Larry → Jeffrey: ?
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06/16/2019 08:06 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Odds are limited to binary outcomes.. since you are immobile. Do some homework. . I concede your point on pessimism but would under bayesian rules. Feel comfortable. As humans are biased toward bad outcome avoidance. . She is never ever going to find another Larry summers. Probability ZERO
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06/16/2019 08:16 AM Larry → Jeffrey: That can't be right. There are odds on dem nominee w many outcomes possible. For objective or subjective probability u need well defined events.
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06/16/2019 12:55 PM Jeffrey → Larry: When are you able to walk again without crutches. Its wholly impolite for me to mentally attack a cripple
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06/16/2019 12:57 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Handicapped, not cripple
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06/16/2019 01:15 PM Larry → Jeffrey: 6 or 7 weeks.
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06/16/2019 01:16 PM Jeffrey → Larry: On tues. I ll have the math professor explain to you some things. And then wait until you are unable to claim your arguments were driven by the high level of pain killers. . on peril. Forced holding pattern in your interest
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06/16/2019 01:21 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Why in my interest. Odds of success. I think another encounter at some point one third. Sustained series one fifth. Best shot for me. She gives up on marriage. Finds me invaluable and interesting and get her to conclude she can't have it without romance/sex without deciding I'm weak or vengeful
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06/16/2019 01:26 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Over time. She is doomed to be with you
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06/16/2019 01:27 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Unless she marries someone else. She is more monogamous than most
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06/16/2019 01:28 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Painkillers?
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06/16/2019 01:47 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Not for me??
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06/16/2019 01:47 PM Jeffrey → Larry: Your views formed by your meds?
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06/16/2019 09:01 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Not formed by meds. Other than being a Bayesian rather than a pure math freak which wrong view do I have
06/17/2019
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06/17/2019 02:21 AM Jeffrey → Larry: She continues to be in contact
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06/17/2019 02:22 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Things are good - davos is set for you / she is there because program person is chinese
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06/17/2019 02:22 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Funny
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06/17/2019 05:33 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Thx re davos. Happy to help re g20
06/23/2019
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06/23/2019 11:09 PM Jeffrey → Larry: How are you
06/24/2019
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06/24/2019 02:05 AM Jeffrey → Larry: If Bernie were to cancel all student debt. . how Is that reflected on govt books/?
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06/24/2019 02:05 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Do the borrowers get income?
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06/24/2019 02:20 AM Larry → Jeffrey: I doubt borrowers get income but not certain. If they did many who struggle w debt service would get a whopping tax bill. I suspect a balance sheet impact but not a deficit impact. Depends on whether it's framed as a give away or recognition of reality.
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06/24/2019 03:34 AM Jeffrey → Larry: How's the rehab. ?
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06/24/2019 03:36 AM Jeffrey → Larry: My mathemactics guys. All said the propensity of the common man to put numbers on things where they don't belong is the answer to the odds probability questions et.
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06/24/2019 03:40 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Send peril flowers
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06/24/2019 04:13 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Your math guys are not that worldly. I ll call u later
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06/24/2019 09:56 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Ok
06/30/2019
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06/30/2019 04:25 AM Jeffrey → Larry: ?? U ok?
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06/30/2019 04:27 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Yes. Sorry I will update you on developments. Will Ehud Be PM
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06/30/2019 04:28 AM Jeffrey → Larry: 331 441 70210. Doubtful. But 1. He is not to be underestimated. 2. Unlikely top job. But depends on coalition. 3. Driving me crazy
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06/30/2019 09:27 AM Jeffrey → Larry: ?
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06/30/2019 11:35 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Tried back
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06/30/2019 11:39 AM Jeffrey → Larry: I just tried back
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06/30/2019 11:53 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Try again
07/05/2019
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07/05/2019 10:39 AM Jeffrey → Larry: All good?
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07/05/2019 10:46 AM Larry → Jeffrey: At cape w mother brothers kids and nephews nieces. Bit of an Ibsen play.
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07/05/2019 10:46 AM Larry → Jeffrey: With perspective all good.
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07/05/2019 10:47 AM Jeffrey → Larry: Better than checov
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07/05/2019 10:47 AM Larry → Jeffrey: Then I may misunderstand checov. Or Ibsen
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07/05/2019 10:50 AM Jeffrey → Larry: E. J. Dillon thought "the effect on the reader of Chekhov's tales was repulsion at the gallery of human waste represented by his fickle, spineless, drifting people"
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07/05/2019 10:54 AM Jeffrey → Larry: "The Lady with the Dog" (also translated from the Russian as "Lady with Lapdog"), which depicts what at first seems a casual liaison between a cynical married man and a woman who meet while holidaying in Yalta. Neither expects anything lasting from the encounter. Unexpectedly though, they gradually fall deeply in love and end up risking scandal and the security of their family lives. The story masterfully captures their feelings for each other, the inner transformation undergone by the disillusioned male protagonist as a result of falling deeply in love, and their inability to resolve the matter by either letting go of their families or of each other.
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07/05/2019 12:13 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Jesus!!!!
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07/05/2019 12:14 PM Jeffrey → Larry: I think you meant. Budhha
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07/05/2019 01:27 PM Larry → Jeffrey: Ha