AI还是比不过人呀。
If Trump meant $2 billion/day from tariffs:
- Annual Total: $2 billion × 365 days = $730 billion/year.
- Context: U.S. Customs Service collected $88 billion in tariffs in 2024 (CBP data). Trump’s new tariffs (10% on all imports, 49-54% on China, Canada, Mexico) aim to multiply this. Total U.S. imports were $3.3 trillion in 2024. A flat 10% tariff yields $330 billion/year; adding 50% on China ($427 billion in imports) bumps it to ~$540 billion/year—still short of $730 billion.
Feasibility
- Economic Models: The Peterson Institute (2024) estimated Trump’s campaign proposal (10% global tariff, 60% on China) would generate $225 billion/year—about $616 million/day, not $2 billion. Even doubling tariffs wouldn’t hit $730 billion without crushing import volumes, as high rates deter trade (e.g., 2018 tariffs reduced Chinese imports).
- Historical Precedent: Trump’s first-term tariffs peaked at $80 billion/year (2019), or $219 million/day. Scaling to $2 billion/day requires a 9x increase, implausible without unprecedented trade shifts.
- Trade Fallout: Posts on X (April 5) and Reuters (April 3) note retaliatory tariffs and market drops ($6.4 trillion since April 2), suggesting revenue could be offset by economic drag.
Verdict
Trump didn’t say "2 billion dollars a day" verbatim in 2025, and the figure doesn’t align with realistic projections. His "trillions" rhetoric fuels big expectations, but $2 billion/day ($730 billion/year) exceeds credible estimates (max ~$540 billion/year, or $1.48 billion/day) and ignores trade war risks. It’s likely a fan exaggeration or misheard hyperbole from his tariff boasts. If you heard it elsewhere (e.g., a specific speech), let me know—I’ll double-check! For now, it’s not true as a direct quote or feasible outcome.
