哈,经老玩家嘴就放大,不过这次还好你给个LINK,还是读CDC Director原话靠谱:)

来源: pickshell 2020-08-24 04:29:33 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (3086 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ pickshell ] 在 2020-08-24 17:51:08 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

CDC Director变“CDC老板”。在真实感染数据未出炉前,CDC Director目前的粗略预估已被感染人数可能介于30 and 60 million之间,到你这立刻变“已有6千万人感染了新冠” 唉。。

把你提供的LINK原文贴这。。。

As many as 60 million Americans could have been infected with coronavirus, Director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Dr. Robert Redfield told the Journal of the American Medical Association Thursday.

The CDC released a report in June, published in JAMA, showing an infection rate in the United States of about 10%. Redfield said at the time he believed testing had missed 90% or more of cases. 

Redfield said Thursday an infection rate of between 10-20% translates into as many as 60 million people who may have already been infected, but there’s not really any good data on the numbers yet.

“We’re in the process of obviously following up with the report that we did in JAMA that kind of let us understand that maybe for the 2 million cases we diagnosed, we had an estimated 20 million people infected,” Redfield said in the video interview.

“We've now expanded that throughout the country, so very large surveillance work in progress,” he said.

Redfield said he didn’t want to speculate on the number of Americans who may actually be infected with the virus, but he did offer an estimate.

“I really want to be data driven but there is enormous geographic variation. I can tell you that we have some areas that we're looking at less than 1% and we have other areas we're looking at 20%,” he said.

“I think if you're going to do a crude estimate, somewhere between 30 and 60 million people -- but let's let the data come out and see what the data shows.”

Confirmed cases: As of Thursday night, at least 5,573,501 coronavirus cases have been recorded across the US, according to Johns Hopkins University. The total includes at least 174,248 deaths

所有跟帖: 

好像意思不大一样。 “预估” ~ 预先估计; “could have been infected” ~ 可能已经被感染。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (294 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 05:54:51

唉。估计可能介于30 and 60 million之间 =/= 真实已经60 million。 -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:04:39

都知道是估计值,对这没有异议。“预估” 的意思不一样吧。预先估计?预估 =/= 估计。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (163 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:26:00

唉,统计数据未出来前 那叫预估/估计,等真实数据出来后还需“估计”吗? -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 18:09:50

你把 "预估“ 两字已经改成 “估计” 了,没有争论的必要了。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:28:49

读文章请抓重点:数据。即在真实感染数据未出来前,目前的估算。"预估““估计”啥区别? -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (768 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:40:56

如果你开始写的 “预估” 与 估计 的意思一样,你为什么要改动? 不可能有整个群体的真实感染数据,只有可靠性不一样的群体估计值。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:53:16

真无所谓,改预估。此文章焦点是在数据出来之前的估算,你给歪成疫情新冠感染前。。 -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 07:02:42

老兄不仅英文没读对,帖子里的中文“估计”是什么意思也没理解对嘛,LOl -老玩家- 给 老玩家 发送悄悄话 老玩家 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 08:34:12

这招一直是老玩家理亏穷尽标配。来看看这句原文,你的翻译?别说你不会。。 -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (204 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 08:44:29

即使用抗体实测结果分析感染比率,强调绝对数字也毫无意义。也只是“也许,估计".,何况统计计算结果。LOL -老玩家- 给 老玩家 发送悄悄话 老玩家 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:00:16

哈哈,老玩家明摆着在歪,在躲避问题焦点。。 -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:04:59

CDC老板用“也许有6千万人被感染了”,说法很专业。LOL -老玩家- 给 老玩家 发送悄悄话 老玩家 的博客首页 (239 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:11:41

别歪别附加你个人臆想,把CDC Director原话翻译下有那么难吗? -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:47:56

这么简单的英文还读不懂,中文也看不懂,这样黄帝经怎么念?无理取闹,LOL -老玩家- 给 老玩家 发送悄悄话 老玩家 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 11:35:59

你扯那么多无聊废话,唯没胆直视2句原文,你究竟躲/害怕什么? -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 13:18:19

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