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来源: greenoasis 2018-12-27 08:10:25 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 0 次 (4063 bytes)
回答: 贴一篇关于中国人口问题的文章greenoasis2018-12-27 08:09:19

How big a problem is the low birth rate?

According to China's National Statistics Bureau, there were 17.86m births in 2016, and the Chinese population grew by 1.31 million, with a rate of 12.95 births per 1,000 people, the fastest since 2001.

But in 2017, which should have seen the full effect of the two-child policy, there were 17,230,000 births, a decrease of 630,000 compared with 2016; the birth rate stood at 12.43 per 1,000, down 0.52% from 2016.

This is below even the most pessimistic forecast before the new policy was introduced.

Predictions for the future look even bleaker:

  • The birth rate will continue to decline from 2018 onwards
  • In the next 10 years, the number of Chinese women aged 23-30 will decrease by 40%, a huge drop in this child-bearing age group
  • In 10 years' time, there will only be about 8 million births per year

所有跟帖: 

现在每年有1700万人口出生。10年以后,800万。育龄妇女23-30岁人数会减低40% -greenoasis- 给 greenoasis 发送悄悄话 (59 bytes) () 12/27/2018 postreply 08:12:56

目前最重要的应该是老龄化问题 -我爱栀子花- 给 我爱栀子花 发送悄悄话 我爱栀子花 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/27/2018 postreply 08:28:22

40,50年代每年的出生人口数量也是一千多万,他们是怎么生出后面每年2000万人口的? -north88- 给 north88 发送悄悄话 north88 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/27/2018 postreply 08:49:36

也好,世界上人太多了没有目的地活着。。。。。 -borisg- 给 borisg 发送悄悄话 borisg 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/27/2018 postreply 08:14:03

关键是一个多上班的人要养一个老人。养老医疗太贵了,负担不起 -greenoasis- 给 greenoasis 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/27/2018 postreply 08:17:32

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