吉利德的瑞德西韦的随机双盲试验表明对新冠病有效

本帖于 2020-04-29 08:38:52 时间, 由普通用户 TBz 编辑

 

vial in bag

 

ULRICH PERREY/POOL/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

 

Agovernment-run study of Gilead’s remdesivir, perhaps the most closely watched experimental drug to treat the novel coronavirus, showed that the medicine is effective against Covid-19, the disease caused by the virus.

Gilead made the announcement in a statement Wednesday, stating: “We understand that the trial has met its primary endpoint.” The company said that the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, which is conducting the study, will provide data at an upcoming briefing.

The finding — although difficult to fully characterize without any data for the study — would represent the first treatment shown to improve outcomes in patients infected with the virus that put the global economy in a standstill and killed at least 218,000 people worldwide. 

But the NIAID study, which was not expected to be released so soon, was by far the most important and rigorously designed test of remdesivir in Covid-19. The study compared remdesivir to placebo in 800 patients, with neither patients nor physicians knowing who got the drug instead of a placebo, meaning that unconscious biases will not affect the conclusions.

The main goal of the study is the time until patients improve, with different measures of improvement depending on how sick they were to begin with. While the result means that the drug helps patients improve faster, it is not possible to say how dramatic those improvements are.

“Remdesivir isn’t a home run but looks active and can be part of a toolbox of drugs and diagnostics that substantially lower our risk heading into the fall,” he said.

The FDA previously issued an emergency authorization for the malaria drug hydroxychloroquine to treat Covid-19, even though at least some studies suggesting the medicine was not effective. “If hydroxychloroquine met [the emergency] standard, then remdesivir would have seemed to cross that line a while ago, especially in the setting of treating critically ill patients,” Gottlieb said.

Remdesivir, which must be given intravenously, is likely to remain a treatment for patients who are hospitalized. But it is also likely that it will be most effective in patients who have been infected more recently, said Nahid Bhadelia, medical director of the special pathogens unit at Boston Medical Center.

“We know that with most antiviral medications the earlier you give it the better it is.” said Bhadelia, who had experience giving remdesivir as an experimental treatment for Ebola in Africa, where results are less encouraging. That means that better diagnostic testing will be essential to identifying patients who could benefit. “What will be important is that we find people on the outpatient side,” Bhadelia said. “Again, testing becomes important, we want to have them come to the hospital as soon as possible. “

Gilead also released results Wednesday from its own study of remdesivir in patients with severe Covid-19. This study showed similar rates of clinical improvement in patients treated with a five-day and 10-day course of remdesivir, the company said.

“Unlike traditional drug development, we are attempting to evaluate an investigational agent alongside an evolving global pandemic. Multiple concurrent studies are helping inform whether remdesivir is a safe and effective treatment for COVID-19 and how to best utilize the drug,” said Merdad Parsey, MD, PhD, Chief Medical Officer, Gilead Sciences, in a prepared statement.

Gilead said that its own study in severe patients showed that it may be possible to treat patients with a five-day treatment of remdesivir, not the 10-day course that was used in the NIAID trial.

The company’s study is enrolling approximately 6,000 participants from 152 different clinical trial sites all over the world. The data disclosed Thursday are from 397 patients, with a statistical comparison of patient improvement between the two remdesivir treatment arms — the five-day and 10-day treatment course. Improvement was measured using a seven-point numerical scale that encompasses death (at worst) and discharge from hospital (best outcome), with various degrees of supplemental oxygen and intubation in between.

The study design means that by itself it doesn’t reveal much about how well remdesivir is working, because there is no group of patients who were not treated with the drug. The conclusion is that the two durations of treatment are basically the same.

Peter Bach, the director of the Center for Health Policy and Outcomes at Memorial Sloan Kettering Medical Center, said he is eager to see the data from the NIAID study but renewed his criticism of Gilead’s severe study for lacking a control group of untreated patients. That would have allowed researchers to make important conclusions about how the drug works that are just not possible now, he said.

“They’ve squandered an unbelievable opportunity,” Bach said. “It’s not going to tell us what to do with 80-year-olds with multiple comorbidities compared to 30-year-olds who are otherwise healthy. We’re still going to be foundering around in the dark, or at least in a dim room, when we could have learned more.”

In the study, the median time to clinical improvement was 10 days in the five-day treatment group and 11 days in the 10-day treatment group. More than half of the patients in both groups were discharged from the hospital by day 14. At day 14, 64.5% of the patients in the five-day group and 53.8% of the patients in the 10-day group achieved clinical recovery.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/29/gilead-says-critical-study-of-covid-19-drug-shows-patients-are-responding-to-treatment/

 

 

所有跟帖: 

后面那个Peter Bach批评说没有对比组。随机双盲怎么会没有对比组? -viewfinder- 给 viewfinder 发送悄悄话 viewfinder 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 08:53:31

两组试验,一个是随机双盲,另一个不是。 -TBz- 给 TBz 发送悄悄话 TBz 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 09:02:17

那他批的是open-label的那个。其实多个试验一起做,互相补充,挺好。并没有浪费什么机会。 -viewfinder- 给 viewfinder 发送悄悄话 viewfinder 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 09:11:22

这个病最重要是让人不要变成重症甚至死亡,轻症后病人可以自愈。 -fourwaves- 给 fourwaves 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 09:29:22

看上去还没有正式发表 Data。单看五天和十天用药结果有一点差别,五天用药出院率更高些,比十天用药高出10%,也许不具统计学意义 -饿狼陀- 给 饿狼陀 发送悄悄话 饿狼陀 的博客首页 (322 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:03:27

觉得就是变相的炒作,这药没啥大用。有用的话,中国早就开始用了,也不会像现在的样子 -pssci- 给 pssci 发送悄悄话 pssci 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:09:30

NIAID官方两小时前发表的Preliminary临床试验结果。 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (252 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:28:54

谢谢! 等着看正式发表的Data。还要看更多的临床试验能不能证实这个发现。 -饿狼陀- 给 饿狼陀 发送悄悄话 饿狼陀 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:35:52

是,还要等这个和其他三期临床试验的详细结果。 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 13:40:29

好奇,若真有效,为啥不赶紧用,昨天美国死亡又接近最高点了。 -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:30:49

NIAID的preliminary报告说:缩短recovery time和提高生存率(但p=0.059)。 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:38:26

看来是有效,只是不足够有效。这样的抗病毒药物,氯喹也算在内,早用才能显现其效力。 -吃与活- 给 吃与活 发送悄悄话 吃与活 的博客首页 (128 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:48:45

瑞德西韦的临床数据比羟氯喹分量重不少,希望快点给大家用 -viewfinder- 给 viewfinder 发送悄悄话 viewfinder 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:51:42

这样一个体外体内实验都确凿无疑的药物尚且难以得到临床试验的数据的肯定,可以想象那些作用似有似无的中药方子是不可能在有限数目的中国 -吃与活- 给 吃与活 发送悄悄话 吃与活 的博客首页 (281 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 13:01:39

西药临床,无论效果如何,都能很快出数据。但中药无论效果好坏,拿不出过硬数据,出不了国际上认可的论文。这是个大问题。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (146 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 13:19:40

西药的问题是有数据,而且都很好,但就是治不了病。 -医者意也- 给 医者意也 发送悄悄话 医者意也 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 14:15:32

乱讲。靶向抗癌药物,抗生素,抗疟疾药物,... 。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 15:08:22

那就拭目以待看看人民希望最终的治愈率呗 -医者意也- 给 医者意也 发送悄悄话 医者意也 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 16:12:35

看看实战行不行 -医者意也- 给 医者意也 发送悄悄话 医者意也 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/30/2020 postreply 09:43:00

老兄与世隔绝了 -npoaks03橡树- 给 npoaks03橡树 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 15:36:39

帮你说了,西医西药都不行,中医是唯一的人类救星。当然还有:美国不行,中国伟大。 -原上草2017- 给 原上草2017 发送悄悄话 原上草2017 的博客首页 (152 bytes) () 04/30/2020 postreply 09:27:52

从另一个角度说,通不过临床试验,并不一定是药没用。可能是对一部分人有用,平均以后失去统计意义 -viewfinder- 给 viewfinder 发送悄悄话 viewfinder 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 16:00:14

+, 例子很多。 -欲千北- 给 欲千北 发送悄悄话 欲千北 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 16:35:29

是的。改变一下试验设计,就可能看出效果。 -吃与活- 给 吃与活 发送悄悄话 吃与活 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 16:48:43

重症病人都寄希望于Remdesivir或Actemra,但现在看前者效果不明显,纽约的死亡率已经间接提示了这个结果。 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 13:20:56

Remdesivir阻断病毒复制,对轻中症有用,可一旦病情转重引起细胞因子风暴,就不管用了。 -TBz- 给 TBz 发送悄悄话 TBz 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 14:07:54

是这样。但前一段的炒作把它吹成神药了,而且临床上也没有别的希望和选择。Actemra是IL-6 inhibitor,是针对因子风 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 14:16:41

Actemra是IL-6 inhibitor,是针对因子风暴的。也在做三期临床,算是另一个希望吧。 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 14:18:06

是好希望。 -TBz- 给 TBz 发送悄悄话 TBz 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 14:33:29

同意。等等看FDA怎么批吧,可能和给Hydroxychloroquine 的一样,批准紧急使用。 -老道- 给 老道 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 12:53:50

参与双盲实验患者选择很关键,抗病毒药应早期用,难道这点那些主持实验的专家们都不知道吗? -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (327 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 14:34:27

因为不吃药也可能自愈?让大多数人自己扛 -tax2- 给 tax2 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 19:43:46

猜,这药禁忌和副作用都很大,对于轻证,弊大利小? -pickshell- 给 pickshell 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/01/2020 postreply 06:21:53

某些人就是希望有人病死?故意不早收治任其发展成重症? -Ucan111- 给 Ucan111 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/29/2020 postreply 20:21:40

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