No, I don't think it's best case, just normal case

来源: miat42 于 2007-11-14 16:15:52 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (538 bytes)

because at the beginning of last slump, 1990, the economic conditions were FAR WORSE than today's. Actually, the recession was triggered by massive employment loss. Today, despite all the problems we have, even the credit crunch, employment is doing very okay. If you weigh today's trouble with 1990's trouble, we are much less troubled today. I am not sure you personally experienced 1990, I did, that's why I know today's much better.

Despite the severity of last slump, it only took the market 8 years to start recover.

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• 回复：No, I don't think it's best case, just normal case -pediatrician2- ♂ 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (344 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:20:13

• the only "innovation" I can think of in the next -pediatrician2- ♂ 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (219 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:23:57

• See, how different we think! No. construction is not -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (255 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:30:41

• Innovation can't be printed out from thin air. -Aceofspades- ♀ 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (141 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:36:18

• No problem because America has its VC structure -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (700 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:41:52

• We will need tons of luck to just have depression like Japan -Aceofspades- ♀ 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (195 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:33:06

• Sorry, I don't see that happening. You too pessimistic:-) -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:36:30

• Sometimes I hate to be bearish, -Aceofspades- ♀ 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (162 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:42:55

• hehe, we still have china, man! One of them will work. -pediatrician2- ♂ 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (86 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:44:23

• In fact, both US and China will prosper but today -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (379 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:50:51

• But I suspect you are too bearish this time :-) -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (69 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:45:04

• Several candidates for new innovation: -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (588 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:28:35

• 回复：Several candidates for new innovation: -pediatrician2- ♂ 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (552 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:40:04

• hopefully, some companies will find near-cure drug -pediatrician2- ♂ 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (115 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:50:59

• You know what? The longer the bio bubble doesn't come -miat42- ♂ 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (389 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 16:53:58

• are u sure this statement? -山高月小- ♂ 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (185 bytes) () 11/14/2007 postreply 19:05:33

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