吃咸肉能致癌?

http://www.cancer.org/cancer/news/world-health-organization-says-processed-meat-causes-cancer

 

如果每天吃一个热狗肠,一辈子的大肠癌发病率会提高到6%, 而一般人的发病率是5%。  是这么解读吗? 

 

Processed meat includes hot dogs, ham, bacon, sausage, and some deli meats. It refers to meat that has been treated in some way to preserve or flavor it. Processes include salting, curing, fermenting, and smoking. Red meat includes beef, pork, lamb, and goat.

Twenty-two experts from 10 countries reviewed more than 800 studies to reach their conclusions. They found that eating 50 grams of processed meat every day increased the risk of colorectal cancer by 18%. That’s the equivalent of about 4 strips of bacon or 1 hot dog. For red meat, there was evidence of increased risk of colorectal, pancreatic, and prostate cancer.

Overall, the lifetime risk of someone developing colon cancer is 5%. To put the numbers into perspective, the increased risk from eating the amount of processed meat in the study would raise average lifetime risk to almost 6%.

所有跟帖: 

法国媒体有说过这个研究的10个国家里没有法国和意大利,2个美食大国,不知道中国是否在其中。有人了解更多原研究报告? -Gbdjw- 给 Gbdjw 发送悄悄话 (77 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 09:17:00

当年那个关于fat free的报告也没有法国和意大利的数据。 -Gbdjw- 给 Gbdjw 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 09:18:12

同意,过度吃任何一样食物都会出unintended consequences,即便是所谓的“好”食物。 -Gbdjw- 给 Gbdjw 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:10:32

这个研究里也是假设每天都吃一个热狗或等量的其他腌制。烟熏肉食,一生如此。 谁会这么吃? 统计学如果没有 -双喜丸子- 给 双喜丸子 发送悄悄话 (136 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 13:21:51

我个人是这么理解的:大肠癌发病率增加1%,单看这个好像没有什么;但是,我越来越多 -蓍草为yarrow- 给 蓍草为yarrow 发送悄悄话 蓍草为yarrow 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:09:58

为啥只看见每个因素的递增,而没人研究相互抵消的机制?大自然绝不可能无限制地递增,一定同时还有相反的抵消 -Gbdjw- 给 Gbdjw 发送悄悄话 (26 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:12:43

不同癌症发病率不能相互抵消。每个癌症发病率都要拿健康和生活质量去抵消。 -蓍草为yarrow- 给 蓍草为yarrow 发送悄悄话 蓍草为yarrow 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:17:25

按只递增的理论,把各个单一癌症的发病率加一起已超过100%=人人都应该得癌了 -Gbdjw- 给 Gbdjw 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 11:12:15

超不过的。因为大部分的癌症发病率都极低。肠癌则不同,它是高发癌种。 -好好先生*- 给 好好先生* 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 12:00:59

啊? 其他studies -双喜丸子- 给 双喜丸子 发送悄悄话 (108 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 13:35:58

当然是不同的研究。没有一个研究能够涵盖所有的癌症心脏病所有的疾病。我家 -蓍草为yarrow- 给 蓍草为yarrow 发送悄悄话 蓍草为yarrow 的博客首页 (44 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 14:21:05

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