新冠神药Paxlovid有效性的欺骗性

楼下有人贴了， 其中包括Paxlovid最新的有效性数据。

表面上看，服用了Paxlovid能够帮助住院率从0.37%降低到0.13%, 把死亡率从0.02% (近4万人中死亡7个) 降低到零(2万人中没有死亡)。

其实这些数据是没有意义的，因为住院率和死亡率都太低。 

如果随机找4万人(为了方便讨论，接近于上面的38690人)，按年死亡率0.8% (美国2021年死亡率为 841.6/每十万人)，一年就要去世320人， 也就是平均每天要死去一个人。 如果观察期为2个星期的话，死亡12人都属于正常。 现在没有服用Paxlovid的，死亡才7个，就意味着如今新冠死亡率并不超过正常的死亡率。

既然这样，还需要什么新冠神药?  岂不是脱裤子放-P?

 

原贴:https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/health/1064169.html

For example, there 27 hospitalizations (0.13%) and zero deaths among 20,407 peoplein that age who were treated with Paxlovid and who had been fully vaccinated and had had a booster. Among the 38,689 adults in the fully vaccinated, boosted group who were not treated with Paxlovid there were 143 hospitalizations (0.37%) and seven deaths (.02%). That works out to a hospitalization rate that is almost three times higher among those not treated with Paxlovid compared with those that were.

所有跟帖： 

• 有效率本身就是一个忽悠数据 -julie116- ♀ (0 bytes) () 11/02/2022 postreply 10:06:42

• 所谓有效率，还没有将药物或者疫苗的副作用计算在内，所以，根本上，是误导性的指标。 -枫林晓- ♂ (0 bytes) () 11/02/2022 postreply 11:19:03