再细看发现CDC的研究简单粗糙,不合常理,推导荒谬结论。请看:

本帖于 2022-02-01 12:43:52 时间, 由普通用户 value_hunter 编辑
回答: 猜想CDC研究的问题是value_hunter2022-02-01 10:19:55

CDC比较每1000人感染数,住院数和死亡数。结论Omicron比Delta住院下降78至27,死亡下降13到9。那岂不是说Omicron住院者死亡率远高于Delta住院者(9/27 vs 13/78),高出一倍。这明显不合常理,甚为荒谬。我们都知道Omicron住院病人通常较轻,很少有上呼吸机的。能推导出如此结论,明显研究方法有问题。很难相信CDC这样的文章也能发表。

 

原文:

The ratio of peak ED visits to cases (event-to-case ratios) (87 per 1,000 cases), hospital admissions (27 per 1,000 cases), and deaths (nine per 1,000 cases [lagged by 3 weeks]) during the Omicron period were lower than those observed during the winter 2020–21 (92, 68, and 16 respectively) and Delta (167, 78, and 13, respectively) periods. 

请您先登陆,再发跟帖!