Are the Chinese really 盲目乐观

来源: upsidedown 于 2005-08-24 06:18:27 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (1524 bytes)

Recently there is a topic in this forum regarding sustainable economic growth of China. This is an interesting topic that I think worth further discussion.

Will the economic boom of China be able to continue until she becomes an advanced country??

During the late 80’s and late 90’s I spent my time playing money games in Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore. Some of you here might still remember that economy of Malaysia and Thailand were booming at that time, and the whole world (well, almost) was predicting this region (Asia-Pacific excluding China and Japan) will become the 4th economic power in the 21th century, after USA, EU, and Japan. But just within 3 months in the mid 1997, most of the foreign investments within this region were pulling out, during which the financial crisis happened. By that time every aspect of these countries remain the same, the retreated foreign investors just wanted to find a better investment place for lower product cost sake. That’s why the foreign investments come to China.

We all know that the recent economic boom of China is purely due to the huge foreign investments, and the investors are predicting China will become a economic superpower in this century. All these things look and sound familiar to me. My concern is, will the foreign capitals go to other places once the production cost in China reaches the level of Thailand and Malaysia? If the answer is yes, does China foresee it and is finding the solutions to sustain the economic boom?

所有跟帖： 

• 外资的投入只是小部分 -你真是庸人自扰- ♀ 给 你真是庸人自扰 发送悄悄话 (44 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 06:49:20

• 外资的投入是大部分 -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (246 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 06:56:18

• 回复：外资的投入是大部分 -你真是庸人自扰- ♀ 给 你真是庸人自扰 发送悄悄话 (281 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:09:46

• jump out from text books -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (150 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:31:09

• 你自己都说不清楚，怎么 -convince人家- ♀ 给 convince人家 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:55:02

• lazy to explain -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (108 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 08:04:21

• 回复：回复：外资的投入是大部分 -aegis- ♀ 给 aegis 发送悄悄话 (243 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 10:27:14

• 扩大内需，中国人过上美国人的日子， 能源哪里来？ -beavisssss- ♀ 给 beavisssss 发送悄悄话 (10 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:28:50

• neclear power.wind power -solarpower- ♀ 给 solarpower 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 10:46:02

• you are kidding rite -butt-head0- ♀ 给 butt-head0 发送悄悄话 (8 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 12:44:05

• 没问题，中国人多B多能生， 成本高不了 -beaviss- ♀ 给 beaviss 发送悄悄话 (24 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:08:00

• To Africa -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (263 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:26:34

• it is certainly a wrong -predicatio- ♀ 给 predicatio 发送悄悄话 (34 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:59:28

• 回复：Are the Chinese really 盲目乐观?? -ChineseEco- ♀ 给 ChineseEco 发送悄悄话 (837 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:16:56

• Your point is resonable -beavisssss- ♀ 给 beavisssss 发送悄悄话 (195 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:27:17

• I agree with your points -soundsrite- ♀ 给 soundsrite 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 08:27:01

• You are totally -wrong!!- ♀ 给 wrong!! 发送悄悄话 (131 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 11:16:38

• you are wrong -hg1001- ♀ 给 hg1001 发送悄悄话 (65 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 03:13:45

• My opinion -borisg- ♀ 给 borisg 发送悄悄话 (1977 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:35:10

• my prediction -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (331 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 07:49:36

• 回复：my prediction -aegis- ♀ 给 aegis 发送悄悄话 (112 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 10:19:32

• not really -hg1001- ♀ 给 hg1001 发送悄悄话 (311 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 03:19:05

• 回复：Are the Chinese really 盲目乐观?? -aegis- ♀ 给 aegis 发送悄悄话 (278 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 10:24:07

• when average Chinese income -reach1/7us- ♀ 给 reach1/7us 发送悄悄话 (208 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 10:53:45

• should be 1/4.which is 9000 -usdpercap- ♀ 给 usdpercap 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2005 postreply 11:22:51

• Don't be superficial -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (999 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 03:09:15

• 回复：Don't be superficial -borisg- ♀ 给 borisg 发送悄悄话 (1036 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 09:25:34

• 回复：Don't be superficial -aegis- ♀ 给 aegis 发送悄悄话 (529 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 09:45:44

• 回复：Don't be superficial -aegis- ♀ 给 aegis 发送悄悄话 (514 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 09:56:13

• you know nothing -upsidedown- ♀ 给 upsidedown 发送悄悄话 (428 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 05:40:50

• 回复：Are the Chinese really 盲目乐观 -zheng_yuan- ♀ 给 zheng_yuan 发送悄悄话 (903 bytes) () 08/25/2005 postreply 14:38:43

• A good choice CCP raise a war -Leader- ♀ 给 Leader 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 20:06:14

• Nuclear War, PLA Gen Zhu says -RealWorld- ♀ 给 RealWorld 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 21:29:27

• Mass destruction, long range -SmartIdea- ♀ 给 SmartIdea 发送悄悄话 (47 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 21:33:12

• One stone for two birds -TGTT- ♀ 给 TGTT 发送悄悄话 (472 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 21:44:45

• 准备西安以东的所有城市被摧毁 -西安以西- ♀ 给 西安以西 发送悄悄话 (214 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 21:51:05

• 党的命运与整个世界的命运捆绑，如果共产党完中国就完世界就完了 -要死大家死到一起- ♀ 给 要死大家死到一起 发送悄悄话 (917 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 22:29:01

• 你不会写汉字啊？真想挺死你Ya -龟头正挺- ♀ 给 龟头正挺 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 04:04:05

• 你的英语怎么这么差阿。还是用中文写吧。 -还是用中文写吧。- ♀ 给 还是用中文写吧。 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 19:52:02

• 一帖多少银子？回复：你的英语怎么这么差阿。还是用中文写吧。 -做帖的是- ♀ 给 做帖的是 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/26/2005 postreply 20:03:09

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