联储很孤单

指望亚洲和中东的白衣骑士来救华尔街,他们就是不来。只好把Bear Sterns贱卖了。

美元对日元都1:100 了,指望日本人入场干预, 可日本人说了除非到1:85 否者不干预。

降息要欧洲央行配合, 可人家就是不配合。

想出用好苹果(Treasury Bonds)换坏苹果 (mortgage backed bonds)来救急, 现在好苹果也没人要了

联储降了 3%,贷款利息就是不动

所有跟帖: 

Bond market is more important than stk mkt. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (358 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 08:33:17

20% treasury? that sounds attractive to me :-) -729418- 给 729418 发送悄悄话 729418 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 08:40:12

if there is no hyperinflation, that's unlikely to happen. -729418- 给 729418 发送悄悄话 729418 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 08:49:41

it happened in history. Now is worse than history. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:01:17

That is exactly why long bond mutual fund is doomed. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:05:55

元老阿,呵呵。请教: -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (70 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:24:45

The household income growth is way behind monetary expansion -Aceofspades- 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (301 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:45:58

so you also support that deflation is more likely -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (21 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:49:03

I put bets on hyper-DEflation followed by hyperinflation -Aceofspades- 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (116 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:56:14

I put bets on deflation followed by inflation. hehe. :P -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:58:49

Sorry, -Aceofspades- 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (27 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:58:53

hyperinflation = headline inflation > 10%? -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:00:56

Hyperinflation means bankrupcy of a debtor country. -Aceofspades- 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (76 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 13:16:11

How about yours? 3% I assume, due to low inflation.:) -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (586 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:49:12

if the banks cannot lend, how can people borrow? -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (442 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 09:57:34

so where will the money injected by Feb go? -冬里- 给 冬里 发送悄悄话 (358 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:05:00

Cant agree any more.:) -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (649 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:18:13

fed's money's going nowhere if the banks are not -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (851 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:20:43

FYI. I just received a mail from citi. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (421 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:28:04

only because they think you can afford it... -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (288 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:36:31

No,no,no.. A lot of peole can afford. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (376 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:48:47

suggest you take it if you are THAT confident about hyper-inflat -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:42:24

I am not those leverage bunch. I have enough to play.. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:50:24

This is exactly Fed wants to bail out BSC at any cost. -冬里- 给 冬里 发送悄悄话 (575 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:38:58

i support fed's BSC bail-out whole-heartedly. :D -赵飞燕- 给 赵飞燕 发送悄悄话 赵飞燕 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 10:43:58

If FED keeps bailing out, do you believe there will -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (16 bytes) () 03/19/2008 postreply 18:04:29

I was amazed to observe how easy this Feds Chairman's -2526- 给 2526 发送悄悄话 2526 的博客首页 (340 bytes) () 03/20/2008 postreply 01:21:46

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