Learning from Japanese Real Estate

本帖于 2007-08-14 22:33:42 时间, 由普通用户 表情符号 编辑

China's real estate market may very well look like this.




This is a closer look after the bubble burst:



所有跟帖: 

Will You Be Afraid After Seeing This Chart? :) -fafafaya- 给 fafafaya 发送悄悄话 (89 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 19:53:31

Not afraid for US because US doesn't have Japan's issue -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (320 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 20:12:36

US is the only superpower. Japs are WWII loser. They must 买单 for -77ll8- 给 77ll8 发送悄悄话 (42 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 20:44:25

logical projection. It seems from this model, the -wonder1- 给 wonder1 发送悄悄话 (273 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 20:39:36

Japan was nailed by negative population growth and no immigrants -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 20:07:31

有什么道理中国要和日本一样。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (188 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 20:32:55

China's RE Won't Be The Same As Japan -fafafaya- 给 fafafaya 发送悄悄话 (764 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 20:53:51

That's good point -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:05:23

你说的对,国情不同。所以这种跨国的比较,没有用 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:07:47

Something to ponder: -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (504 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:03:23

不同意。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (351 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:12:27

Let's deep analyze your 1,2,3 -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (1532 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:28:27

M老兄,打字飞快,欺负我。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (506 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:37:09

No denying China's price will go up very high over long term -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (933 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:49:05

全国的形式是这样的。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (543 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 22:00:32

India Is Very Different Indeed -fafafaya- 给 fafafaya 发送悄悄话 (858 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 22:11:36

现在钉子户太多了。市中心根本没法拆了。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 22:15:42

good point. I could feel the -wonder1- 给 wonder1 发送悄悄话 (629 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:21:18

that is why i said 奥运前夕 is due time! smarter people -pediatrician2- 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (136 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:25:35

奥运会跟全国的房地产有什么关系? 逻辑是? -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:29:44

大家没那么傻。有几个人把奥运会当回事。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (32 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:26:57

还是有很大关系的。中国还是把奥运当回事的。还同 -pediatrician2- 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (24 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:30:12

开奥运,跟我明天买不买房子有什么关系? -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:39:25

people in China believe that the housing market and -wonder1- 给 wonder1 发送悄悄话 (108 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:34:35

你怎以为大家有那么傻?说说而已。奥运会和股市有什么关系? -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:38:22

but in fact, most of them believe so. My friends say -wonder1- 给 wonder1 发送悄悄话 (39 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:42:10

唉,让我说什么好。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (153 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:49:53

market is smart eventually. But Ms. market always -pediatrician2- 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (59 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:54:22

谢谢提醒。我就是这个意思。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 22:01:25

I wish you could be right:) Just called a friend again, -wonder1- 给 wonder1 发送悄悄话 (423 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 21:56:18

她要是炒短线,劝她赶紧卖,先卖一半。 -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (44 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 22:04:20

en, I will tell her :) -wonder1- 给 wonder1 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/14/2007 postreply 22:06:23

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