Market is NOT an encrypted code. It's a stochastic process

本帖于 2011-08-24 09:43:46 时间, 由普通用户 jy101 编辑
回答: market is not randomtrendspike2011-08-24 07:10:01

Market is NOT an encrypted code. It's a stochastic process.

Encrypted code is a DESIGN! okay, Market could be affected. But if it's designed, then it's against the most basic principle the whole market economy and capitalism's running.

first, Market is not designed.

second, market is not deterministic.

third, market has to be a stochastic process. It follows stochastic pattern. But in your mind, something random are always unknown, that's totally wrong. Sorry for pointing that out. Have you heard anything about chaos and fractals?

You said "Even the random number generated by computer is not random at all." that's absolutely true. That's a simulated random, computer cannot do the real random for sure. But that cannot disapprove the random nature. The most basic law of universe, the Quantum theory is built on random theory. The nonlinear thoery is also built on random theory. Your thinking is too Newtonic, if you flip a coin, you'd argue the head/tail are deterministic. But that's not true.

Not only quantum theory, even for Newtonion N body problem (N>3), the nonlinear equation itself leads to a random solution. Random is the foundable to build something you see which are not random.

所有跟帖: 

the point is market is predictable. that is all. no need to disc -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:43:54

no need to discuss what random means. -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:44:49

if you do not believe market predictable -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (285 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:47:48

now you learnt something, that's a progress for you -大家帮我买房- 给 大家帮我买房 发送悄悄话 大家帮我买房 的博客首页 (137 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:58:22

did i say market is deterministic? i only say market is not rand -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:05:15

I said market is NOT deterministic -大家帮我买房- 给 大家帮我买房 发送悄悄话 大家帮我买房 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:06:42

prediction only means high probable outcome. -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (128 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:08:48

your 2 examples were totally wrong too -大家帮我买房- 给 大家帮我买房 发送悄悄话 大家帮我买房 的博客首页 (130 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:01:13

what time frame? -noconfusion- 给 noconfusion 发送悄悄话 noconfusion 的博客首页 (454 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:04:04

15 min chart. -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:09:28

BTW, I never said "market not predictable". Don't put your words -大家帮我买房- 给 大家帮我买房 发送悄悄话 大家帮我买房 的博客首页 (306 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:05:03

lots of times, the market acts like a rubber. -trendspike- 给 trendspike 发送悄悄话 (119 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:13:04

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