Market is NOT an encrypted code. It's a stochastic process

来源: 2011-08-24 07:32:17 [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读:

Market is NOT an encrypted code. It's a stochastic process.

Encrypted code is a DESIGN! okay, Market could be affected. But if it's designed, then it's against the most basic principle the whole market economy and capitalism's running.

first, Market is not designed.

second, market is not deterministic.

third, market has to be a stochastic process. It follows stochastic pattern. But in your mind, something random are always unknown, that's totally wrong. Sorry for pointing that out. Have you heard anything about chaos and fractals?

You said "Even the random number generated by computer is not random at all." that's absolutely true. That's a simulated random, computer cannot do the real random for sure. But that cannot disapprove the random nature. The most basic law of universe, the Quantum theory is built on random theory. The nonlinear thoery is also built on random theory. Your thinking is too Newtonic, if you flip a coin, you'd argue the head/tail are deterministic. But that's not true.

Not only quantum theory, even for Newtonion N body problem (N>3), the nonlinear equation itself leads to a random solution. Random is the foundable to build something you see which are not random.