MU Memory 会快过剩吗?

https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/cfzh/53419.html 

I do not know the answer. 

I used chatGPT to list new Western fabs (China not included). Normally memory use wafers is about 1/3. 

 

Updated Fab Capacity with Approx. Monthly Wafer Throughput (WSPM) next 3 years

Company / Fab Location Tech Focus Approx. Monthly Capacity (WSPM) Expected 300?mm Ops
TSMC – Fab?21 (Phase?1) Arizona, USA Logic (4?nm/5?nm) ~20,000 → ~30,000 2025–2027
TSMC – Fab?21 (Full campus) Arizona, USA Logic (3?nm/2?nm) ~20,000–40,000+ 2027–2030+
TSMC – Taiwan Advanced Node Fabs Taiwan (Hsinchu/Kaohsiung) Logic (3?nm/2?nm/1.4?nm) ~40,000–80,000+ 2025–2028
Samsung – Taylor Texas, USA Logic ~20,000–30,000 2026–2028
Texas Instruments – Sherman Texas, USA Analog & Power ~20,000–30,000 2025–2028
GlobalFoundries – Fab?8.2 Malta, NY, USA Specialty & RF ~30,000–50,000 2026–2027
Micron – Idaho (ID1) Idaho, USA DRAM ~20,000–40,000 2027
Micron – Idaho (ID2) Idaho, USA DRAM ~20,000–40,000 2028
Micron – Taiwan (P5 acquired) Taiwan (Tongluo) DRAM ~30,000–50,000* 2H 2027
Micron – P5 (initial) Taiwan (Tongluo) DRAM ~20,000–30,000 (early) 2H 2027
SK hynix – Yongin Fab?1 Korea DRAM/HBM ~40,000–60,000 2027
SK hynix – Cheongju (M15X) Korea DRAM ~30,000–50,000 2025–2026
Samsung – Pyeongtaek (P5) Korea Memory ~40,000–60,000 2028
SanDisk/Kioxia – Kitakami Fab?2 Japan NAND Flash ~30,000–50,000 2025–2026
TSMC / JASM Phase?2 Japan Logic ~20,000–40,000 2027
ESMC (TSMC+ Partners) Germany Specialty Logic ~20,000–40,000 2027–2028
Intel – Fab 52 & Extensions (Ocotillo) Arizona, USA Logic / Intel Foundry ~15,000–25,000 (current throughput) Operational today
Intel – New Albany “Ohio One” Ohio, USA Logic (future) Not meaningful 2025–2028 Delayed to 2030+

 

 

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