How to sell NDVA? Please review。三心,opst请指正

本帖于 2025-05-28 14:53:21 时间, 由普通用户 BrightLine 编辑

To execute a strategy to sell NVDA stock effectively when it's currently trading at $140.35, the approach you've outlined — selling a covered call (CC) at 150 and layering a butterfly spread up to 165 — is a smart way to manage potential upside while generating premium. Here’s a breakdown of this strategy and some best practices to consider:


Strategy Overview

1. Sell Covered Call (CC) at $150

  • What it means: You own the NVDA shares, and you sell a call option at $150 strike price (e.g., for 1-2 weeks out).

  • Goal: Earn premium while capping your upside at $150.

  • Benefit: Collect income if NVDA stays below $150.

  • Risk: If NVDA spikes above $150, you may be forced to sell your shares at that strike, capping your gain.

2. Buy Butterfly Spread (150/157.5/165)

  • Structure:

    • Buy 1 call at $150 (to close your short CC leg if needed),

    • Sell 2 calls at $157.5,

    • Buy 1 call at $165.

  • Goal: Profit from a sharp rally without buying more stock.

  • Butterfly payoff: Peaks at $157.5 but provides some exposure if NVDA flies up to $165.


Why This Combo Works

  • Downside protected: You hold NVDA shares.

  • Flat to moderate upside: Covered call pays you a steady income.

  • Sharp rally hedge: Butterfly lets you benefit if NVDA pops past $150.


Example Scenario

NVDA at $140.35
Target expiration: 2 weeks out

  1. Sell 1x $150 CC for ~$1.50 (depending on IV & expiry)

  2. Buy butterfly:

    • Buy 1x $150 call (~$1.50)

    • Sell 2x $157.5 calls (~$0.80 each)

    • Buy 1x $165 call (~$0.25)

Net cost of butterfly: ~$0.15–$0.25
Total premium collected: CC ($1.50) – Butterfly ($0.25) ≈ $1.25 net income


Key Considerations

  • Timing: Shorter-dated options (1-2 weeks) maximize theta decay.

  • IV (Implied Volatility): Higher IV boosts premiums but also increases risk.

  • Adjustment: If NVDA hits $150, roll the CC up and out to higher strikes.

  • Exiting: Close the butterfly if NVDA runs past $160 to lock in gains.


Summary

This hybrid strategy:

  • Monetizes a flat or gently rising market (via CC),

  • Adds a low-cost bullish lottery ticket (butterfly),

  • And is ideal when you believe NVDA has room to spike — but not certainty.

 

所有跟帖: 

看得眼花缭乱。这个计策比writeCC好是把向上的覆盖率提高了 -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (1812 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 14:51:55

是有点昏,哈哈 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 14:54:41

我觉得应该可以建立一个数学模型,做个小程序来帮助制定一个Option 计划 -桃花源里人家- 给 桃花源里人家 发送悄悄话 桃花源里人家 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:13:17

川普的政策有利于NVDA,川普就是要赚钱,把美国芯片卖给全世界川普乐呵呵 -Pilot007- 给 Pilot007 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 14:56:24

外国不是买波音就是买nvda -Pilot007- 给 Pilot007 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:04:56

中国这个市场的芯片需求大大于其他国家的需求,这和波音还不完全相同 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:08:42

真复杂,我还是keep it simple ,call/put -成功的兔- 给 成功的兔 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 14:56:26

这是三心在下面贴的,哈哈,不行就卖个CC和买个put同时进行 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 14:57:15

卖CC和买put同时做,这是指ER前还是ER后? -成功的兔- 给 成功的兔 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:17:21

我觉得我们要不停地去试错才知道取款机的原理 -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (167 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 16:17:39

哈哈哈,I wish too :) -成功的兔- 给 成功的兔 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 17:27:41

To understand this, first need know the basics of butterfly -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 14:59:05

这些期权的基本原理只需要no more than 3 hrs to learn. -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:00:03

我明白原理,哈哈,就是复杂,是不是就卖个cc加上一个put就差不了多少。 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:01:40

Butterfly 是补救cc 的策略 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:06:47

补救卖光牛... -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:11:08

如果有时间天天在这发帖, 为什么不花3个小时去学习? -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:01:34

哈哈,这是说我吗? -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:02:13

哈哈哈 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:05:43

发帖就是学习,哈哈 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:07:03

是的 -cnrhm2017- 给 cnrhm2017 发送悄悄话 cnrhm2017 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:07:00

+1 肯定是的, 哈哈 -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:10:28

好的,学习去 -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:09:14

我是笨的咋也学不会 就老老实实做正股吧 -huahuaflower- 给 huahuaflower 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:27:50

What if the price jump directly to 175 after it gradually -btcgo2026- 给 btcgo2026 发送悄悄话 (126 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:29:29

study butterfly first..... -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:35:35

对我来说, butterfly是CC fail后的补救措施 -opst- 给 opst 发送悄悄话 opst 的博客首页 (848 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:42:35

谢谢OP哥。看着适合于牛市尾期,不知道牛市走多久的时候。如果是牛转熊了,就用write CC+buy puts是吗? -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:54:00

我就是TA太差,看不准牛熊转换时机,所以只好采用option来辅助 -opst- 给 opst 发送悄悄话 opst 的博客首页 (220 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 16:01:06

提个问题,熊市卖正股,是不是通过卖CC不停roll down会比直接卖正股收益好些? -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 16:15:06

我自己的体会是除非卖ITM的CC, 否则大跌时premium应该抵不上正股的损失 -opst- 给 opst 发送悄悄话 opst 的博客首页 (125 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 17:04:39

Op哥人慧心善,解释得很清晰! -gladys- 给 gladys 发送悄悄话 gladys 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 17:13:19

Thanks for sharing, very insightful! -dancingpig- 给 dancingpig 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 17:19:05

This is best used during or towards end of 5th wave -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (106 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 16:40:21

got it. Thanks for the advice! -dancingpig- 给 dancingpig 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 17:44:22

LOL, 同样的时间我花在寻找要突破的板块和股票上 -云起千百度- 给 云起千百度 发送悄悄话 云起千百度 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 15:50:56

correct, you are a trader while he -pega- 给 pega 发送悄悄话 pega 的博客首页 (70 bytes) () 05/28/2025 postreply 18:09:38

请您先登陆,再发跟帖!