Top economist 跟你的说法很不同，Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius说：

来源: 春绿酒浓 于 2025-04-10 06:16:04 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (523 bytes)

Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius on Tariff Pause:
"This leaves in place all prior taiffs and the 10% minimum portion of the reciprocal tariff, and we continue to expect addtional sector-specific tariffs.  Together, these tariffs are likely to sum to something close to our previous expectation of 15pp increase in the effective tariff rate.   As  a result, we are reverting to our previous non-recession baseline forecast with GDP growth of 0.5% and and 45% probability of recession."

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