一次要不了命，不过是上下车而已

For example, SP500 9/2018 was 2900.  10/2018 fell to 2700, so I sold all because I sense there was a bear market coming.

What if I was wrong?  I pick up my position at 2900, I lost 7%, big deal? not really.

But what if I was right?  I might avoid loss of 25% or more.  

Sensing market is not pure luck, you have to follow the news and make your own judgment.  Jan 18 there was a similar correction I did not sell, but this time is different. 

所有跟帖： 

• 是的。用leverage的，作option的是可能wipe out的。只买卖股票的，wipe out的可能性，在 proper -艾克- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/28/2018 postreply 11:14:29

• 一会说死守股市，一会说leverage，你能不能不走极端啊？ 我给的建议都是折中的方法。 -柠檬椰子汁- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/28/2018 postreply 11:21:24

• 也许我没说明白，也许你没看明白，也许我说的根本就不对。也许有一天我会写个短篇系列把这些想法总结一下再供你批判。 -艾克- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/28/2018 postreply 11:26:15

• 问题是股市这样的10%以上的起飞可以很多次，你事先不知道那次是真的如2009那样大跌。Peter lynch就幽默的说，这种小的 -艾克- ♂ (231 bytes) () 12/28/2018 postreply 11:20:11

• 其实Peter lynch已经总结的很好了，人们为准备recession丢的钱比recession带来的损失大多了， -艾克- ♂ (0 bytes) () 12/28/2018 postreply 11:22:09

• 又一个被peter lynch洗脑的人。 -柠檬椰子汁- ♂ (276 bytes) () 12/28/2018 postreply 11:37:57