don't forgot the condition

回答: can you define HIV检查的准确率为95% ?junjunbos2004-07-14 15:39:11

Don't forgot the condition when you apply the theorem. You assumed that test results is independent of whether the person has HIV or not, which is not always true! AND I don't believe that a good hospital should use the overall accuracy as a criterion, that's why it's a lousy hospital, or that's the trick the hospital used to cheat people, one should not care much about the overall accuracy here, instead one should care other two independ values. If you rate a hospital using the overall accuracy rate, then you are a lousy statistician too! Unfortunately, I guess many companies are doing this to cheat regular people who don't understand statistics well.

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I'm happy to see a real -sentinel- 给 sentinel 发送悄悄话 (291 bytes) () 07/14/2004 postreply 18:11:46

回复:I'm happy to see a real -heg- 给 heg 发送悄悄话 (348 bytes) () 07/14/2004 postreply 19:01:10

Thanks! -sentinel- 给 sentinel 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 07/14/2004 postreply 19:05:47

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