多数人即使投资指数或好的基金,最终也跑不赢指数。人性使然。

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转:Between 1977 and 1990 – under Lynch’s stewardship – Magellan generated an average annual return of 29%. That was enough to transform every $1,000 invested at the start into more than $27,000 by the end of that 13-year run.

It’s one of the best long-term track records in the history of professional investing. And it’s practically unheard of in the otherwise mediocre world of mutual funds.

You’d probably assume that anyone smart enough to invest in Lynch’s fund made a killing. But you’d be wrong.

Fidelity (Magellan 是其旗下的基金)itself did some research. And the company’s findings were almost as stunning as Lynch’s track record.

Not only did the typical investor NOT make 29% a year – they didn’t make anything at all.

You read that correctly. During a stretch that saw the fund double every two or three years, the average Magellan investor lost money.

And this is just one example of an overwhelmingly consistent trend.

Most individual investors earn far less than the “average returns” of the stock market benchmarks.

所有跟帖: 

一个历史上最好的基金,13年年平均29%,普通投资者都是亏钱的 -commonsense888- 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 07:57:18

牛经,孟牛,福虎,美洲虎,田牛,灵山,智能,皆秒杀之 -nobullbobear- 给 nobullbobear 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:44:26

In 13 years -麻你- 给 麻你 发送悄悄话 麻你 的博客首页 (106 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 07:59:48

Fear and greed ——- 太频繁地进进出出 -commonsense888- 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:06:16

不一定是同一批人进进出出。铁打的营盘流水的兵 -commonsense888- 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:43:22

这个数学上可能吗? -自了汉- 给 自了汉 发送悄悄话 (627 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:11:44

那个年代,没有网上交易 -自了汉- 给 自了汉 发送悄悄话 (45 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:28:08

我记得那个时候麦哲伦基金是要付load的 -自了汉- 给 自了汉 发送悄悄话 (66 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 10:14:37

数学上可能,只要投的越少的投资者越爱输钱,越不得不频繁买卖。 -龙湾故事会- 给 龙湾故事会 发送悄悄话 龙湾故事会 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:33:51

我能想到的就是像ARKK那样 -自了汉- 给 自了汉 发送悄悄话 (180 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 08:41:01

麦哲伦基金头五年没有对外开放 -自了汉- 给 自了汉 发送悄悄话 (178 bytes) () 06/29/2024 postreply 14:15:12

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