最近一直在关注美国各个都市区的房价指数,因为随着利率的增高,短期内房价下行已是大势,尤其是热点城市,所以一直在关注拐点会在什么时候出现。
这是今天(2022年9月1日)Freddie Mac刚刚发布的美国各都市区房价指数,最新数据到7月份(Freddie Mac一般是这个月底发布上一个月的房价指数,所以8月底发布到7月的房价指数)。
在Freddie Mac房价指数所涵盖的所有382个都市区内,我们来看看最近三个月(5月、6月和7月)的环比房价指数(跟上月相比房价增幅百分比)。以下是各都市区房价涨幅百分比:
Ranking | Metro | 2022M6~2022M7 | 2022M5~2022M6 | 2022M4~2022M5 | 2021M7~2022M7 |
1 | Napa CA | -1.1 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 3.6 |
2 | Santa Cruz-Watsonville CA | -1.1 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 5.4 |
3 | San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward CA | -0.9 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 4.6 |
4 | Santa Rosa CA | -0.9 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8 |
5 | Vallejo-Fairfield CA | -0.9 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 |
6 | Yakima WA | -0.9 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 7.5 |
7 | Bremerton-Silverdale WA | -0.8 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 9.7 |
8 | Redding CA | -0.8 | -0.8 | 0.1 | 6.1 |
9 | Chico CA | -0.7 | -0.9 | 0.2 | 6.7 |
10 | Kennewick-Richland WA | -0.7 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 13.2 |
11 | Modesto CA | -0.7 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 9.1 |
12 | Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA | -0.7 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 12.8 |
13 | Bellingham WA | -0.6 | -0.8 | 0.3 | 12.6 |
14 | Hanford-Corcoran CA | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 10.0 |
15 | Longview WA | -0.6 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 11.7 |
16 | Mount Vernon-Anacortes WA | -0.6 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 |
17 | Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade CA | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 10.1 |
18 | Salinas CA | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 9.6 |
19 | San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara CA | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 8.0 |
20 | Yuba City CA | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.2 | 9.5 |
21 | El Centro CA | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 11.6 |
22 | Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim CA | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 11.2 |
23 | Madera CA | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 12.5 |
24 | Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura CA | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 10.6 |
25 | Stockton-Lodi CA | -0.5 | -0.6 | 0.4 | 10.3 |
26 | Wenatchee WA | -0.4 | -0.6 | 0.4 | 13.6 |
27 | Boise City ID | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 9.4 |
28 | Fresno CA | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 12.7 |
29 | Grants Pass OR | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 8.8 |
30 | Merced CA | -0.3 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 12.5 |
31 | Olympia-Tumwater WA | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 15.5 |
32 | San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles-Arroyo Grande CA | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 13.0 |
33 | Visalia-Porterville CA | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 12.7 |
34 | Walla Walla WA | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 17.9 |
35 | Bakersfield CA | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 14.0 |
36 | Medford OR | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 6.9 |
37 | Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro OR-WA | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 10.5 |
38 | Santa Maria-Santa Barbara CA | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 12.4 |
39 | Spokane-Spokane Valley WA | -0.2 | -0.5 | 0.6 | 14.7 |
40 | Boulder CO | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.7 | 12.6 |
41 | California-Lexington Park MD | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.9 |
42 | Colorado Springs CO | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 13.7 |
43 | Fort Collins CO | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 13.0 |
44 | Grand Junction CO | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 13.0 |
45 | Greeley CO | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 12.1 |
46 | Pueblo CO | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.7 | 13.0 |
47 | Coeur d'Alene ID | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 14.9 |
48 | Corvallis OR | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 10.1 |
49 | Denver-Aurora-Lakewood CO | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 13.5 |
50 | Odessa TX | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4.2 |
51 | Pocatello ID | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 14.6 |
52 | Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario CA | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.9 | 15.9 |
53 | Salem OR | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 11.4 |
54 | San Diego-Carlsbad CA | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 16.6 |
55 | Baltimore-Columbia-Towson MD | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 9.4 |
56 | Beaumont-Port Arthur TX | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 7.7 |
57 | Eugene OR | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 12.0 |
58 | Idaho Falls ID | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 15.3 |
59 | Midland TX | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.7 |
60 | Ogden-Clearfield UT | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 15.9 |
61 | Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 7.9 |
62 | Albany OR | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 14.2 |
63 | Harrisonburg VA | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 11.0 |
64 | Laredo TX | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.9 |
65 | Lewiston ID-WA | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.9 | 14.6 |
66 | Mankato-North Mankato MN | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 8.3 |
67 | Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington MN-WI | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 9.3 |
68 | Rochester MN | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 9.1 |
69 | Salt Lake City UT | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 15.6 |
70 | Williamsport PA | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 8.2 |
71 | Bend-Redmond OR | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 15.3 |
72 | Columbus GA-AL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 8.0 |
73 | Cumberland MD-WV | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 10.8 |
74 | Gettysburg PA | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 9.0 |
75 | Lima OH | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 9.0 |
76 | Logan UT-ID | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 19.3 |
77 | Provo-Orem UT | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 17.0 |
78 | San Angelo TX | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.8 |
79 | Sierra Vista-Douglas AZ | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 12.2 |
80 | St. Cloud MN | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 11.1 |
81 | St. George UT | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 18.1 |
82 | Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 12.4 |
83 | Wheeling WV-OH | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.7 |
84 | Winchester VA-WV | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 12.8 |
85 | Abilene TX | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 13.3 |
86 | Altoona PA | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 10.4 |
87 | Lancaster PA | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 11.9 |
88 | Muncie IN | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 11.1 |
89 | Richmond VA | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 13.0 |
90 | Roanoke VA | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 14.2 |
91 | Toledo OH | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 10.3 |
92 | Weirton-Steubenville WV-OH | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 9.4 |
93 | Youngstown-Warren-Boardman OH-PA | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 11.5 |
94 | Amarillo TX | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 13.0 |
95 | Bay City MI | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 9.8 |
96 | Blacksburg-Christiansburg-Radford VA | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 12.5 |
97 | Carson City NV | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 13.3 |
98 | Charlottesville VA | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 14.5 |
99 | Cleveland-Elyria OH | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 10.8 |
100 | Dayton OH | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 11.7 |
101 | Dover DE | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 12.4 |
102 | Duluth MN-WI | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 12.2 |
103 | Enid OK | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 8.2 |
104 | Evansville IN-KY | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 10.2 |
105 | Lafayette-West Lafayette IN | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 10.5 |
106 | Lebanon PA | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 11.0 |
107 | Lincoln NE | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 9.7 |
108 | Morgantown WV | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 8.1 |
109 | Pittsburgh PA | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 10.2 |
110 | Reading PA | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 12.9 |
111 | State College PA | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 10.4 |
USA | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 14.6 | |
112 | Victoria TX | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 12.7 |
113 | York-Hanover PA | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 12.3 |
114 | Battle Creek MI | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 11.0 |
115 | Bloomsburg-Berwick PA | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 11.9 |
116 | Columbus OH | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 14.1 |
117 | Elkhart-Goshen IN | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 12.1 |
118 | Grand Island NE | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 11.1 |
119 | Huntington-Ashland WV-KY-OH | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 8.8 |
120 | Johnstown PA | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 11.8 |
121 | Manhattan KS | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 10.3 |
122 | Mansfield OH | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 13.6 |
123 | McAllen-Edinburg-Mission TX | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 14.2 |
124 | Niles-Benton Harbor MI | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 9.8 |
125 | Reno NV | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 13.7 |
126 | Springfield MA | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 11.3 |
127 | Urban Honolulu HI | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 10.9 |
128 | Akron OH | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 10.7 |
129 | Boston-Cambridge-Newton MA-NH | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 11.7 |
130 | Canton-Massillon OH | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 9.6 |
131 | Cape Girardeau MO-IL | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 11.6 |
132 | Charleston WV | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 10.1 |
133 | Cincinnati OH-KY-IN | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 14.0 |
134 | Corpus Christi TX | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 14.5 |
135 | El Paso TX | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 14.7 |
136 | Fargo ND-MN | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9.8 |
137 | Farmington NM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 12.1 |
138 | Flint MI | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 11.8 |
139 | Grand Forks ND-MN | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 8.8 |
140 | Hagerstown-Martinsburg MD-WV | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 16.2 |
141 | Lake Havasu City-Kingman AZ | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 17.9 |
142 | Lansing-East Lansing MI | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 9.3 |
143 | Lynchburg VA | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 16.1 |
144 | Michigan City-La Porte IN | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 12.8 |
145 | Monroe MI | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 9.4 |
146 | Parkersburg-Vienna WV | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 9.1 |
147 | Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington PA-NJ-DE-MD | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 11.9 |
148 | Staunton-Waynesboro VA | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 16.0 |
149 | Wausau WI | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 9.5 |
150 | Wichita Falls TX | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 15.8 |
151 | Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton PA-NJ | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 13.7 |
152 | Bloomington IN | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 13.2 |
153 | Champaign-Urbana IL | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 10.6 |
154 | Columbus IN | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 13.0 |
155 | Decatur IL | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 9.8 |
156 | Detroit-Warren-Dearborn MI | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 11.3 |
157 | Erie PA | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 14.1 |
158 | Fort Wayne IN | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.7 |
159 | Harrisburg-Carlisle PA | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 13.7 |
160 | Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land TX | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 15.3 |
161 | Jackson MI | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 11.3 |
162 | Longview TX | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 18.1 |
163 | Louisville/Jefferson County KY-IN | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 11.1 |
164 | Oklahoma City OK | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 14.1 |
165 | Saginaw MI | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 11.4 |
166 | St. Joseph MO-KS | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 12.1 |
167 | Tucson AZ | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 17.8 |
168 | Worcester MA-CT | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 12.5 |
169 | Yuma AZ | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 18.3 |
170 | Ann Arbor MI | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 12.5 |
171 | Bismarck ND | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 8.5 |
172 | Carbondale-Marion IL | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 11.3 |
173 | Chambersburg-Waynesboro PA | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 14.6 |
174 | Chicago-Naperville-Elgin IL-IN-WI | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 10.9 |
175 | College Station-Bryan TX | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 17.2 |
176 | Danville IL | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 11.3 |
177 | Grand Rapids-Wyoming MI | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 15.3 |
178 | Kokomo IN | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.9 |
179 | Lubbock TX | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 16.0 |
180 | Macon GA | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 15.3 |
181 | Memphis TN-MS-AR | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 15.6 |
182 | Muskegon MI | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 14.2 |
183 | Omaha-Council Bluffs NE-IA | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 12.8 |
184 | Prescott AZ | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 18.7 |
185 | Racine WI | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 11.0 |
186 | San Antonio-New Braunfels TX | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 18.0 |
187 | Scranton--Wilkes-Barre--Hazleton PA | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 16.0 |
188 | Springfield OH | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 15.8 |
189 | Topeka KS | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 14.3 |
190 | Tuscaloosa AL | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 10.7 |
191 | Davenport-Moline-Rock Island IA-IL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 10.1 |
192 | Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson IN | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 16.2 |
193 | Kalamazoo-Portage MI | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 15.0 |
194 | Kansas City MO-KS | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 15.5 |
195 | La Crosse-Onalaska WI-MN | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 12.4 |
196 | Midland MI | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 17.1 |
197 | Salisbury MD-DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 19.2 |
198 | South Bend-Mishawaka IN-MI | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 14.8 |
199 | Springfield IL | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 11.4 |
200 | St. Louis MO-IL | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 12.0 |
201 | Tallahassee FL | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 17.6 |
202 | Terre Haute IN | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 15.2 |
203 | Waco TX | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 20.1 |
204 | Wichita KS | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 14.7 |
205 | Albany GA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 17.3 |
206 | Alexandria LA | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.9 |
207 | Appleton WI | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 12.7 |
208 | Athens-Clarke County GA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 17.8 |
209 | Beckley WV | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 14.8 |
210 | Bowling Green KY | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 14.9 |
211 | Brownsville-Harlingen TX | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 21.3 |
212 | Gainesville FL | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 18.3 |
213 | Green Bay WI | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 13.6 |
214 | Iowa City IA | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 8.7 |
215 | Jacksonville NC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 20.3 |
216 | Jefferson City MO | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 16.1 |
217 | Lake Charles LA | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.5 |
218 | Lawrence KS | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 15.9 |
219 | Lawton OK | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 15.1 |
220 | Lexington-Fayette KY | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 14.2 |
221 | Peoria IL | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 13.2 |
222 | Pittsfield MA | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 16.2 |
223 | Rockford IL | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 13.0 |
224 | Santa Fe NM | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 15.7 |
225 | Warner Robins GA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 18.0 |
226 | Albuquerque NM | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 17.2 |
227 | Birmingham-Hoover AL | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 15.3 |
228 | Bloomington IL | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 15.4 |
229 | Chattanooga TN-GA | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 21.3 |
230 | Cleveland TN | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 21.4 |
231 | East Stroudsburg PA | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 20.5 |
232 | Elmira NY | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 8.9 |
233 | Fond du Lac WI | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 13.0 |
234 | Goldsboro NC | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 19.9 |
235 | Jackson TN | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 22.3 |
236 | Janesville-Beloit WI | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 13.2 |
237 | Kankakee IL | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 14.9 |
238 | Knoxville TN | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 22.4 |
239 | Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis WI | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 11.9 |
240 | Montgomery AL | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 14.2 |
241 | New Bern NC | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 19.0 |
242 | New York-Newark-Jersey City NY-NJ-PA | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 12.4 |
243 | Oshkosh-Neenah WI | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 13.8 |
244 | Sheboygan WI | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 14.6 |
245 | Sherman-Denison TX | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 23.9 |
246 | Tulsa OK | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 17.8 |
247 | Tyler TX | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 21.7 |
248 | Valdosta GA | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 19.2 |
249 | Wilmington NC | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 20.2 |
250 | Asheville NC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 21.1 |
251 | Augusta-Richmond County GA-SC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 18.0 |
252 | Austin-Round Rock TX | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 22.7 |
253 | Brunswick GA | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 21.0 |
254 | Columbia MO | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 15.5 |
255 | Dalton GA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 20.1 |
256 | Decatur AL | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 18.7 |
257 | Eau Claire WI | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 14.0 |
258 | Flagstaff AZ | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 24.3 |
259 | Florence SC | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 13.9 |
260 | Gainesville GA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 23.9 |
261 | Greensboro-High Point NC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 19.3 |
262 | Greenville NC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 18.4 |
263 | Johnson City TN | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 21.2 |
264 | Kingsport-Bristol-Bristol TN-VA | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 23.4 |
265 | Las Cruces NM | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 17.6 |
266 | Owensboro KY | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 15.5 |
267 | Panama City FL | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 23.7 |
268 | Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent FL | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 21.7 |
269 | Rocky Mount NC | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 19.3 |
270 | Springfield MO | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 18.6 |
271 | Trenton NJ | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 14.9 |
272 | Winston-Salem NC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 20.1 |
273 | Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell GA | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 22.6 |
274 | Barnstable Town MA | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 20.9 |
275 | Baton Rouge LA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 12.5 |
276 | Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin FL | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 22.3 |
277 | Des Moines-West Des Moines IA | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 11.9 |
278 | Elizabethtown-Fort Knox KY | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 17.7 |
279 | Glens Falls NY | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 13.4 |
280 | Houma-Thibodaux LA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 11.8 |
281 | Killeen-Temple TX | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 26.2 |
282 | Madison WI | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 14.3 |
283 | Mobile AL | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 15.7 |
284 | Monroe LA | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 12.0 |
285 | Morristown TN | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 23.0 |
286 | New Orleans-Metairie LA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 13.3 |
287 | Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford FL | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 23.8 |
288 | Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 24.3 |
289 | Shreveport-Bossier City LA | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 11.8 |
290 | Sumter SC | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 19.0 |
291 | Waterloo-Cedar Falls IA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 11.3 |
292 | Watertown-Fort Drum NY | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 10.8 |
293 | Binghamton NY | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 13.2 |
294 | Cedar Rapids IA | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 12.3 |
295 | Clarksville TN-KY | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 23.6 |
296 | Columbia SC | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 18.5 |
297 | Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 23.8 |
298 | Dubuque IA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 12.1 |
299 | Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton NC | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 22.5 |
300 | Hinesville GA | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 23.9 |
301 | Ithaca NY | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 15.1 |
302 | Jacksonville FL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 25.3 |
303 | Lakeland-Winter Haven FL | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 26.5 |
304 | Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise NV | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 23.8 |
305 | Lewiston-Auburn ME | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 18.9 |
306 | Manchester-Nashua NH | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16.5 |
307 | Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach FL | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 25.5 |
308 | Norwich-New London CT | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 12.8 |
309 | Ocean City NJ | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 19.3 |
310 | Providence-Warwick RI-MA | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 15.7 |
311 | Sebring FL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 26.5 |
312 | Sioux Falls SD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 17.0 |
313 | Texarkana TX-AR | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 19.4 |
314 | Vineland-Bridgeton NJ | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 17.7 |
315 | Albany-Schenectady-Troy NY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 14.0 |
316 | Anniston-Oxford-Jacksonville AL | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 18.1 |
317 | Auburn-Opelika AL | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 17.9 |
318 | Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk CT | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 14.6 |
319 | Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach FL | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 26.9 |
320 | Dothan AL | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 18.5 |
321 | Fairbanks AK | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 11.6 |
322 | Gadsden AL | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 18.9 |
323 | Greenville-Anderson-Mauldin SC | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 22.2 |
324 | Joplin MO | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 20.0 |
325 | Kingston NY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 16.5 |
326 | Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin TN | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 26.5 |
327 | Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville FL | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 27.9 |
328 | Portland-South Portland ME | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 17.1 |
329 | Savannah GA | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 23.7 |
330 | Sioux City IA-NE-SD | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 15.4 |
331 | Syracuse NY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 13.7 |
332 | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 29.3 |
333 | Anchorage AK | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 12.5 |
334 | Atlantic City-Hammonton NJ | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 19.6 |
335 | Bangor ME | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 20.3 |
336 | Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls NY | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 15.4 |
337 | Burlington NC | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 25.4 |
338 | Daphne-Fairhope-Foley AL | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 19.7 |
339 | Durham-Chapel Hill NC | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 24.4 |
340 | Fayetteville NC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 22.1 |
341 | Florence-Muscle Shoals AL | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 19.7 |
342 | Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford CT | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 14.3 |
343 | Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina HI | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 24.3 |
344 | Lafayette LA | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 14.2 |
345 | New Haven-Milford CT | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 14.3 |
346 | Pine Bluff AR | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 13.1 |
347 | Rapid City SD | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 21.1 |
348 | Rome GA | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 26.4 |
349 | Spartanburg SC | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 21.5 |
350 | Utica-Rome NY | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 15.1 |
351 | Ames IA | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 15.3 |
352 | Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC-SC | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 24.7 |
353 | Great Falls MT | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 19.4 |
354 | Homosassa Springs FL | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 31.0 |
355 | Huntsville AL | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.0 |
356 | Missoula MT | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.9 |
357 | Ocala FL | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 29.8 |
358 | Port St. Lucie FL | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 29.6 |
359 | Raleigh NC | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 27.2 |
360 | Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Beaufort SC | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 25.4 |
361 | Jackson MS | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16.7 |
362 | Rochester NY | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 15.4 |
363 | Sebastian-Vero Beach FL | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 31.0 |
364 | Cape Coral-Fort Myers FL | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 34.3 |
365 | Fort Smith AR-OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 17.6 |
366 | Hammond LA | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 19.2 |
367 | Hattiesburg MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 17.5 |
368 | North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton FL | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 33.6 |
369 | Punta Gorda FL | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 35.3 |
370 | The Villages FL | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 32.2 |
371 | Billings MT | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 21.1 |
372 | Charleston-North Charleston SC | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 25.8 |
373 | Cheyenne WY | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 14.5 |
374 | Hot Springs AR | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 17.3 |
375 | Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway AR | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 16.1 |
376 | Gulfport-Biloxi-Pascagoula MS | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 20.9 |
377 | Jonesboro AR | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 17.8 |
378 | Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach SC-NC | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 27.7 |
379 | Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island FL | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 39.9 |
380 | Casper WY | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 14.0 |
381 | Burlington-South Burlington VT | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 19.5 |
382 | Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers AR-MO | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 27.5 |
(注:
第3列是7月对6月月增幅,以此排名
第4列是6月对5月月增幅
第5列是5月对4月月增幅
第6列是2022年7月对2021年7月年增幅
)
需要说明的,房价指数的月增幅数据是非常volatile的, 并且下月新的数据出来后最近几个月的数据会有较大的修正,即便这样这个数据还是有相当说服力的(注:别小看1%的平均月跌幅, 因为即便在次贷危机低谷,全国平均月跌幅也没有超过2%的,房价月增长2%不算新鲜事,但平均月跌2%还是非常少见)。
这是本周期Freddie Mac房价指数第一次显示多都市区同时出现房价下滑。这篇文章本来是上个月的数据还没出来之前写的, 我当时估计不少都市区应该出现房价下跌,但上月数据出来后, 只有 Napa CA 下跌了0.1%,没有数据支持,我也不能胡说八道, 只好再等了一个月到今天数据出来后再发。
由于房价指数有一定的滞后性(详见:如何理解历史房价指数和买卖数据 ),比如7月份过户的房子估计售价在5月份或6月份就早已经定了,所以7月的房价指数实际反映的是一两个月之前的价格。随着高利率的坚挺,以后房价指数中下跌的都市区会越来越多,趋势会越来越明显。
可以看出,向来做为趋势引领者的加州部分地区,尤其是房价奇高的北加,以及华盛顿州,和受益于加州人口外溢而炙手可热的爱达荷、犹他、科罗拉多等西部山地州的泡沫正在破裂,由于价格超出家庭承受能力也正在下调。正所谓蹦得越高就跌得越惨,加州周边各州在过去涨幅太过凶猛,价格下跌是在情理之中。股票可以一年涨40%,房市一年涨40%就太离谱了。
再对我感兴趣的几个地区加几句评论和瞎预测。
德州在上次的次贷危机中受影响不大,这次就不会有那么好运了。房价上涨凶猛的奥斯汀价格应该会有不小幅度的下调。就连达拉斯和休斯顿可能也会有小幅调整。
佛州目前房市仍然是坚挺,在过去的一两年中,佛州是美国房价涨幅最快的州:
Ranking | State | 2022M6~2022M7 | 2022M5~2022M6 | 2022M4~2022M5 | 2021M7~2022M7 |
1 | FL | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 27.1 |
2 | NC | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 23.4 |
3 | MT | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 23.1 |
4 | AZ | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 22.5 |
5 | TN | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 22.5 |
6 | SC | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 |
7 | GA | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 21.8 |
8 | VT | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 20.3 |
9 | AR | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 20.1 |
10 | NV | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 19.8 |
11 | TX | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 19.7 |
12 | ME | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 18.2 |
13 | SD | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 17.9 |
14 | MS | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 17.9 |
15 | WY | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 17.6 |
16 | RI | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 17.3 |
17 | AL | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 17.1 |
18 | UT | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 16.6 |
19 | NH | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 16.6 |
20 | NM | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 15.8 |
21 | OK | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 15.5 |
22 | MO | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 14.8 |
USA | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 14.6 | |
23 | KS | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 14.5 |
24 | HI | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 14.5 |
25 | NJ | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 14.3 |
26 | CT | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 14.2 |
27 | KY | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 14.1 |
28 | ID | -0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 13.8 |
29 | CO | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 13.8 |
30 | IN | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 13.6 |
31 | WI | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 13.1 |
32 | DE | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 12.9 |
33 | WA | -0.6 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 12.8 |
34 | LA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 12.8 |
35 | AK | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 12.8 |
36 | NY | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 12.5 |
37 | IA | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 12.5 |
38 | MI | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 12.4 |
39 | NE | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 12.2 |
40 | OH | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 12.1 |
41 | MA | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 12.1 |
42 | PA | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 11.3 |
43 | VA | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 11.2 |
44 | OR | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 11.1 |
45 | IL | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 11.1 |
46 | CA | -0.5 | -0.6 | 0.4 | 10.7 |
47 | ND | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 10.3 |
48 | WV | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 10.1 |
49 | MN | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 9.6 |
50 | MD | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 9.2 |
51 | DC | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5.9 |
但不要高兴的太早,佛州的房市向来是后知后觉,其实如果不包括过去两年, 除南部迈阿密等地区外,佛州其它地区的房价涨势也并不是太凶猛,尽管比全国平均要好些。再说,美国中西部很多鸟不拉屎的地方在过去两三年涨势也很凶猛,都算是补涨。这都是些跟屁虫,不能算是趋势的引领者。由于房市的趋势一旦形成,不可能马上终止,所以估计佛州的房市还会继续上涨,到年底包括Tampa等在内的热点城市的房价可能就该到顶并开始下调了。当然,下调的幅度取决于全国经济形势,毕竟佛州自己的经济撑不起它的地产业。
房价调整应该主要会局限在蹦得高跌得很的所谓热点地区,而对房价相对稳定的广大中西部地区的人们来说,咱们该干嘛还干嘛,别听了兔子叫耽误种豆子,BRRRR好就继续BRRRR,只要有现金流就不怕。
一孔之见,一孔之见! 若误信我的胡言乱语而造成损失,我只负一毛的责任,哈哈!
建宁 2022/09/01