market is not random

the sharper you are, you can see more opportunities from the market. I know a guy who can identify most of intraday trends with 95% accuracy. there is James simons too who is consistently profitable. I am also coding a system which can capture most part of intraday waves with at least 75% accuracy.

let me give you an example, a picture of dog, if represented in digit form, is just 0110101100110011111010. it is random to naked eye, but it shows a dog on webpage. so you think a picture of dog is random or not?

Even the random number generated by computer is not random at all. randomness is only meant to the untrained eye. you need inspiration to see through the randomness. it is true not everyone has the capability, and for some people, no matter how intelligent and how much effort invested, they can not see the true picture. 

 

所有跟帖： 

• Market is NOT an encrypted code. It's a stochastic process -大家帮我买房- ♂ (1290 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:32:17

• the point is market is predictable. that is all. no need to disc -trendspike- ♂ (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:43:54

• no need to discuss what random means. -trendspike- ♂ (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:44:49

• if you do not believe market predictable -trendspike- ♂ (285 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:47:48

• now you learnt something, that's a progress for you -大家帮我买房- ♂ (137 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 07:58:22

• did i say market is deterministic? i only say market is not rand -trendspike- ♂ (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:05:15

• I said market is NOT deterministic -大家帮我买房- ♂ (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:06:42

• prediction only means high probable outcome. -trendspike- ♂ (128 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:08:48

• your 2 examples were totally wrong too -大家帮我买房- ♂ (130 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:01:13

• what time frame? -noconfusion- ♂ (454 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:04:04

• 15 min chart. -trendspike- ♂ (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:09:28

• BTW, I never said "market not predictable". Don't put your words -大家帮我买房- ♂ (306 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:05:03

• lots of times, the market acts like a rubber. -trendspike- ♂ (119 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 08:13:04

• 牛。投坛里藏龙卧虎，一个个在出现 -windlight- ♀ (67 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 10:03:36

• 大师不来以后这个坛子水贴少了，但是有价值的讨论贴多了。。。 -wxc1894- ♀ (0 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 10:23:49

• 这个问题大家可以吵到世界末日也没个答案。 -dividend_growth- ♀ (63 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 12:30:45

• How long have you been using your 75% accurate system? -392- ♂ (40 bytes) () 08/24/2011 postreply 17:42:07