如果房贷利率从5%升到7.5%，房价可能下降13%到30%

这是那篇研究报告中的结论：

"... So when we conduct our scenario analysis, we see that a simple increase in the mortgage rate from 5 to 7.5, we would expect to see a 13% decrease in housing prices over three years. The worst case scenario at 95% would be a 45.8% drop. If inflation really showed its ugly head and rates go to 11.75%, we would expect a 30% drop in real housing prices with a worst case scenario of a 45% drop..."

http://www.economypolitics.com/2010/07/correlation-of-mortgage-rates-with-real.html

所有跟帖： 

• Very believable. When currency crisis resumes, watch bond and RE -天下无马- ♂ (0 bytes) () 07/09/2010 postreply 21:14:37