period of deny is really long! You see the market is

really not smart. The problem is that we are not smart either (otherwuse, we are busy counting money now).

When the first round of mortage problem started April of this year, we were terrified. Then markets rebouced back nicely and we assumed "intuitively" that things are fine, as evidenced by "big rebouce of financials". Then it came down again when big banks started to write down big. If financials rebouce back again in the next couple of weeks, we will forget this problem again until bigger news comes out later (the leverage function of mortage has not started to unveil in the other way yet. The loss you see at this moment is the loss of direct money loss at the second level of leverage chain reaction).


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from this point, Jim Rogers is really smart. I am hat off. -pediatrician2- 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (226 bytes) () 11/20/2007 postreply 10:40:09

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