20 years ago US and world were quite difference

本帖于 2007-11-07 17:49:03 时间, 由普通用户 表情符号 编辑

Some people try to compare to last housing recession and financial trouble. It has some similarity but many big differences.

Financial engineering was just started by 1990 and there was no subprime, 2/28 and other products, no CDO, SIV, condit, ABOP fancy financial tools. US dollar was very high and oil is $9. Russia was in deep trouble. China, India, Brazil all were just started. One Euro was 80 cents US. Fed was fighting very hard for the inflation. US was not in any major war. Japan was big but by itself US can handle it.

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That's how fast they can run a great country to ground. -yogiho- 给 yogiho 发送悄悄话 yogiho 的博客首页 (220 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:09:28

Well, Bush is pro oil and defense industries -77ll8- 给 77ll8 发送悄悄话 (221 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:15:04

Do you know LTCM blow up and junk bonds? China rising -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (435 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:17:52

you hit right on the head! -ryanx30- 给 ryanx30 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:30:54

should an oil shock hit all your happy talks will stop. -Aceofspades- 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (145 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:32:47

Oil shock is a great event. 70s oil debacle was worse -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (377 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:41:16

非常赞同,不过你是对牛弹琴。 -dividend_growth- 给 dividend_growth 发送悄悄话 dividend_growth 的博客首页 (44 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 18:06:34

Yes, pessimism or optimism is indeed in DNA -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 18:10:13

you don't have to judge my DNA -Aceofspades- 给 Aceofspades 发送悄悄话 (189 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 18:14:36

How much LTCM lost? 4.6 billion. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (1117 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 18:06:01

I agree that investors should not be saved. But -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (623 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 18:17:00

I though euro were introduced in 1999 and in market 2002 -ryanx30- 给 ryanx30 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 17:29:13

agreed. Debts and deficits do matter. -山高月小- 给 山高月小 发送悄悄话 山高月小 的博客首页 (233 bytes) () 11/07/2007 postreply 18:10:02

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