The key of this article is this paragraph:

来源: miat42 2007-10-02 10:50:37 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (884 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ miat42 ] 在 2007-10-02 17:37:49 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.
在封闭经济中,通货膨胀就是一场财富再分配的零和博弈。收益固定的投资者受损,而借款者获利。由于美国对外负债非常庞大,通货膨胀(至少是其中不可预期的部分)就可为美国经济增值。它确实能鼓励美联储容忍更高的通胀。那么,为什么美联储不干脆彻底放任通胀,让所有外债都灰飞烟灭呢?这是因为,外国投资者可能会看出苗头,并立刻出售所有证券,而这将引起美国债券市场崩溃,给美国经济带来灾难。所以,只有当外国投资者蒙在鼓里时,通胀才能使美国获益。

Actually, the smartest investors are still on the Wall street. Many people thought that China is upping the US in this game, quite contrary, China is footing the bills for US. It's very much like the relationship between a tenant and a landlord. Unfortunately, in this relationship, China is a tenant, footing the bills for his landlord. This analogy may not be exact, so don't take it literally. But that's the best analogy I can come up with.

所有跟帖: 

Yeah, all the foreign investors/countries are too dumb -mnosense- 给 mnosense 发送悄悄话 mnosense 的博客首页 (124 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:05:19

You have perfect understanding: They have NO choices -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (166 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:10:11

this unequal game will not last forever. -pediatrician2- 给 pediatrician2 发送悄悄话 pediatrician2 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:15:23

这样对美国也有问题:制造业完了 -dividend_growth- 给 dividend_growth 发送悄悄话 dividend_growth 的博客首页 (262 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:24:00

制造业 is not a future for US anyway. The future in US -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (64 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:31:16

还是需要的,为了保险起见。 -dividend_growth- 给 dividend_growth 发送悄悄话 dividend_growth 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:36:43

true -miat42- 给 miat42 发送悄悄话 miat42 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 10/02/2007 postreply 11:40:51

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