12/11/2012：弱股撑盘

来源: FreeTrader 于 2012-12-11 14:01:40 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读：次 (3541 bytes)

12/11/2012：弱股撑盘

今天指数大涨，个股普涨。

有条件能创新高的股比如CMCSA/QCOM/EBAY/YHOO/AMGN/C/BAC/CSCO都表现软弱。如果真正强，就都应该象PG那样，今天就该领导市场突破或顺势突破，果断突破了。

弱股比如MSFT/INTC/AAPL/AMZN/GOOG/GE反而涨幅较大带起指数，表明指数实际上弱。比如，AMZN所处的位置，如果强，现在就应该突破创历史新高了。

The ongoing local uptrend is for AAPL distribution, which accounts for substantially high percentage of trading dollar amount.

CSCO/MSFT/INTC/AMZN/CMCSA/ORCL/QCOM are not on the same pace. So at least, it might be safe to say that the ongoing local consolidation and breakout of the uptrend is not healthy enough. For example, CSCO/QCOM/AMZN are not on trending, instead, they are oscillating stocks. AMZN might be arguable regarding it's a trending stock or an oscillating stock. Since AAPL has topped, however, there is no good reason to think AMZN is still trending.

Take a look at COST/BIDU, the above major components may follow the pattern.

Tomorrow, Wedn Dec 12th is FOMC release, an important timing point. If it goes down after FOMC release or on Thur Dec 13th, today shall be a typical bull trap. Or even Santa Clara Rally is taking place, it's not worth to participate the final revelry.

Since the market crash that happened in early August 2011, anti-TA has been much more frequent.

对弱股Short持仓，可参考Sell weekly covered put，选择主要支撑线位置为Strike Price，进行保护性平仓。