pay attention to sector rotation

来源: noconfusion 2012-09-21 07:11:59 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1057 bytes)

1 easy mistake to make is to ignore the rotation, and pigeon hole oneself into a particular stock/sector.

stuff goes in/out of favor - unless you just buy total global index and forget about it.. but i think paying attention to the rotation probably brings extra 2-3% return, which is significant over long term.

I used to monitor 1-2 dozen country/region ETFs, have since added a dozen or so index leaders, (borrowing a page from FreeTrader's book).

following these everyday, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see the rotation.

then the play is not hard.... when the broad market retreats, absort the stronger sectors, when the broad market goes high, get rid of the weaker sector holdings.

when is low, when is high? it's not exact science... I'd say the lows are quite easy to identify, VIX spike, media doom and gloom, retest of previous low etc.. the highs are not easy to identify, need to take some chances.

just go around the block a few times, it will gradually feel like riding a bicycle.

所有跟帖: 

Tried, failed miserably, 5555~.:(. -Morning3evening4- 给 Morning3evening4 发送悄悄话 Morning3evening4 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 07:16:29

:) -noconfusion- 给 noconfusion 发送悄悄话 noconfusion 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 07:21:51

每个人都认为自己掌握了真理,其实都是盲人摸象! -qiaoshe- 给 qiaoshe 发送悄悄话 qiaoshe 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 07:35:27

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