都在讲白菜房增值机会不好。可是去年全美房价涨的最好的是前几年遍地白菜的凤凰城，涨了12%，远远高于美国平均的0.2%，硅谷的 3.4%。不是所有的白菜都一样的。因为房价一时distressed， 反弹是很有希望的。房价distressed，租金没distressed,现金流就好，房价反弹，升值也好。有时鱼和熊掌是可以兼得的。
Zillow: Phoenix home prices up 12% to lead nation
Phoenix Business Journal by Kristena Hansen, Reporter
Date: Tuesday, July 24, 2012, 10:51am MST
- Kristena Hansen
- Reporter- Phoenix Business Journal
- Email | LinkedIn | Twitter
U.S. home values have posted their the first year-long gain since 2007, and the rapid rebound of the metro Phoenix housing market once again far outpaced anywhere else in the country, according to a new report released Tuesday by Zillow Inc.
Phoenix-area home prices surged 12.1 percent in the second quarter compared with the same period last year -- by far the biggest year-over-year leap of any of the 167 metropolitan areas covered by Zillow’s Real Estate Market Report.
Phoenix also saw the largest increase from the first quarter of 2012, posting a 6 percent gain in home values to an average $136,200 in the second quarter.
The Phoenix housing market was among 53, or nearly one-third, of the metro areas examined in the study that posted gains from a year earlier during the second quarter ended June 30.
Trailing behind Phoenix in second place was the Miami-Fort Lauderdale metro area in Florida, which saw a 6.4 percent jump from the second quarter of last year to an average value of $148,300. Straggling behind in third, fourth and fifth places were Denver’s 3.5 percent gain to an average of $211,300; San Jose, Calif.’s 3.4 percent rise to an average of $566,400; and Pitt*****urgh’s 3.3 percent increase to an average of $108,700, the report said.
Nationwide, the Zillow Home Value Index rose 0.2 percent year-over-year to an average value of $149,300. It was the first time the country posted gains in four consecutive quarters since 2007, just before the housing bust.
“The housing recovery is holding together despite lower-than-expected job growth, indicating that it has some organic strength of its own. Looking forward, we expect home values to remain relatively flat as the market works through a backlog of foreclosures and high rates of negative equity,” said Stan Humphries, Zillow chief economist, in a prepared statement.
While Zillow analysts expect the boost to continue over the next year by 1.1 percent, they anticipate metro Phoenix will continue leading the nation with a 9.9 percent annual gain.
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