Housing: no bull market for a whole generation? ZT

Charles Hugh Smith:

What If Housing Is Done for a Generation?

What if housing valuations are in a structural, multi-decade decline?

A strong case can be made that the fundamental supports of the housing market-- demographics, employment, creditworthiness and income--will not recover for a generation. It can even be argued that housing has lost its status as the foundation of middle class wealth, not for a generation, but for the long term. ...

full article: http://www.oftwominds.com/blogapril12/housing-done4-12.html

所有跟帖: 

听起来很吓人,能否介绍一下著者的背景 -commonsense888- 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (30 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 15:58:03

这有啥吓人的? --企鹅-- 给 -企鹅- 发送悄悄话 -企鹅- 的博客首页 (49 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 16:31:38

越悲观越好!物极必反 - housing bottom up -逍遥流云- 给 逍遥流云 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 17:17:01

look at the issues, consider the merits of the article,,, -hercules007- 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (380 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 18:19:54

一个generation是不是10年?好像80后,90后之类的。如果是10年也不长,现在都6年过去了。 -Luckyd- 给 Luckyd 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 20:34:05

My understanding: 40 years -hercules007- 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (401 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 21:06:58

这摩西也够坏的,为一己选择就能让同胞跟他在沙漠里受苦40年 -canyonbear- 给 canyonbear 发送悄悄话 (37 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 13:24:25

Moses was carrying out God's wish, so says the Bible -hercules007- 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 17:00:14

过度恐慌说明市场已经像钟摆一样走向极端了,下一步应该会往回修正 -canyonbear- 给 canyonbear 发送悄悄话 (377 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 13:15:55

多说一句,我认为任何号称对今后40年世界形势的预测都是瞎扯 -canyonbear- 给 canyonbear 发送悄悄话 (145 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 14:06:58

maybe you can put the question to Mr. Hugh-Smith -hercules007- 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 15:00:23

Look,,,, -hercules007- 给 hercules007 发送悄悄话 hercules007 的博客首页 (546 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 15:06:25

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