让数据慢慢飞：东西沿海与内陆房产升值数据

来源: commonsense888 于 2012-03-31 20:13:21 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (239801 bytes)
本帖于 2012-03-31 22:10:12 时间, 由普通用户 commonsense888 编辑

好像这里有一共识，东西沿海好区的升值潜力比内陆好。虽然我来美国后就一直住在西海边，在海边城市也有出租房，在内陆买投资房是最近一两年的事。所以很好奇。周末查了查。选了六个代表性城市,三个海边好区，三个最近跌得力害的内陆城市。

根据下面20年的数据，1）沿海的升值比内陆好。2）年升值率沿海（4%+）比内陆（2%+）高2%，3）内陆城市如果去除近几年的大幅下降，过去15年年升值率比沿海低1%多一点。这三个城市现在租金回报率在10-15% 之间。如果近几年这几个城市房价没跌，租金回报率肯定会低很多。

从投资角度看，结论是比较清楚的。

后记，应一些看了原帖网友的要求，又加了4个内陆城市，san antonio, boise, de moines, mineaolis, 看来上面第一条都难成立了。

San Francisco appreciation rates

Population805,235

San Francisco

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
CA*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

145.38%

4.42%

8

7

Last 10 Years

48.82%

4.06%

5

4

Last 5 Years

-10.34%

-2.16%

9

2

Last 2 Years

-4.00%

-2.02%

8

4

Last 12 Months

0.62%

0.62%

8

6

Latest Quarter

-0.45%

-1.78%

7

4

 

* 10 is highest

Boston

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
MA*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

127.41%

4.04%

9

5

Last 10 Years

51.87%

4.27%

7

5

Last 5 Years

-9.33%

-1.94%

7

2

Last 2 Years

-1.53%

-0.77%

8

5

Last 12 Months

1.46%

1.46%

9

7

Latest Quarter

0.20%

0.81%

9

7

 

* 10 is highest

 

Newport Beach

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
CA*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

178.99%

5.07%

10

8

Last 10 Years

107.52%

7.57%

10

10

Last 5 Years

-5.66%

-1.16%

9

3

Last 2 Years

5.85%

2.88%

10

9

Last 12 Months

3.99%

3.99%

10

9

Latest Quarter

0.44%

1.78%

9

8

Riverside

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
CA*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

62.88%

2.38%

2

1

Last 10 Years

47.50%

3.96%

4

4

Last 5 Years

-37.80%

-9.06%

3

1

Last 2 Years

-6.02%

-3.06%

6

3

Last 12 Months

0.30%

0.30%

8

6

Latest Quarter

-0.56%

-2.21%

6

4

 

* 10 is highest

Las Vegas

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
NV*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

61.23%

2.33%

3

1

Last 10 Years

12.31%

1.17%

2

1

Last 5 Years

-45.02%

-11.28%

2

1

Last 2 Years

-21.31%

-11.30%

3

1

Last 12 Months

-4.69%

-4.69%

6

1

Latest Quarter

-2.24%

-8.66%

3

1

 

* 10 is highest

Phoenix

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
AZ*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

73.15%

2.68%

3

1

Last 10 Years

12.12%

1.15%

2

1

Last 5 Years

-42.15%

-10.37%

1

1

Last 2 Years

-24.96%

-13.37%

2

1

Last 12 Months

-9.64%

-9.64%

4

1

Latest Quarter

-3.78%

-14.28%

1

1

 

* 10 is highest

 Minneapolis

PERIODTOTAL APPRECIATIONAVG. ANNUAL RATECOMPARED TO
MN*		COMPARED TO
AMERICA*
Since 1990 131.35% 4.13% 3 5
Last 10 Years 31.80% 2.80% 2 2
Last 5 Years -14.72% -3.13% 2 2
Last 2 Years -7.93% -4.05% 2 2
Last 12 Months -1.53% -1.53% 2 3
Latest Quarter -1.91% -7.44% 2 1
* 10 is highest

San Antonio

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
TX*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

96.59%

3.31%

4

3

Last 10 Years

41.79%

3.55%

4

3

Last 5 Years

10.92%

2.09%

3

6

Last 2 Years

-0.48%

-0.24%

4

6

Last 12 Months

-0.01%

-0.01%

6

5

Latest Quarter

0.20%

0.79%

7

7

 

* 10 is highest

Boise City

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
ID*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

141.11%

4.33%

2

6

Last 10 Years

37.27%

3.22%

2

3

Last 5 Years

-10.34%

-2.16%

1

2

Last 2 Years

-20.25%

-10.70%

1

1

Last 12 Months

-8.68%

-8.68%

1

1

Latest Quarter

-2.11%

-8.18%

3

1

 

* 10 is

Boise City

 

 

 

PERIOD

TOTAL APPRECIATION

AVG. ANNUAL RATE

COMPARED TO
ID*

COMPARED TO
AMERICA*

Since 1990

141.11%

4.33%

2

6

Last 10 Years

37.27%

3.22%

2

3

Last 5 Years

-10.34%

-2.16%

1

2

Last 2 Years

-20.25%

-10.70%

1

1

Last 12 Months

-8.68%

-8.68%

1

1

Latest Quarter

-2.11%

-8.18%

3

1

 

* 10 is

所有跟帖： 

• 这个样本太差了。内陆城市只有las vegas和phoenix。看看san Antonio，Boise，De Moines，Mi -sweetptt- ♂ 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 20:29:13

• Mineapolis等等更具代表性的城市。没有研究过，所以很感兴趣。 -sweetptt- ♂ 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 20:30:28

• Mineapolis等都加上了 -commonsense888- ♀ 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 21:05:18

• san Antonio，Boise，De Moines，Mi数据 -commonsense888- ♀ 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (90875 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 20:38:51

• 德州大多地方房价没怎么长也没怎么跌的。 -dddb- ♀ 给 dddb 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 20:56:55

• 这说明内陆城市有工作机会的房价涨得也快。 -sweetptt- ♂ 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 21:55:38

• 谁说的，乔治亚/德州的大多地方就没怎么涨。 -dddb- ♀ 给 dddb 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 22:01:17

• 数据分析能力还是要加强啊。 -sweetptt- ♂ 给 sweetptt 发送悄悄话 sweetptt 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 22:12:55

• Areas of primary economic activity lead areas of secondary econo -borisg- ♀ 给 borisg 发送悄悄话 borisg 的博客首页 (83 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 20:32:10

• 要现金流的，去中部买；要靠升值的，就去东西岸买， -马嘉- ♀ 给 马嘉 发送悄悄话 马嘉 的博客首页 (13 bytes) () 03/31/2012 postreply 21:40:50

• 回复：让数据慢慢飞：东西沿海与内陆房产升值数据 -Cecilia- ♀ 给 Cecilia 发送悄悄话 (94 bytes) () 04/01/2012 postreply 07:56:17

• 我的论点是什么？你的是什么？ -commonsense888- ♀ 给 commonsense888 发送悄悄话 (53 bytes) () 04/01/2012 postreply 10:09:41

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