If you look at the history,

来源: A-mao 2007-06-13 19:33:02 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (342 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ A-mao ] 在 2007-06-13 21:50:55 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.
Not every 16 year periods, Sp 500 achieved 12% annual return. And another danger is that when you take 12% out, if it is a down year ( of Sp 500), then you might have trouble to catch up for the later years.

If some one could be sure for 10% return, i bet I would go for it. It might take 25 years. Hhowever, it's still a good deal.

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nothing is exact -BayFamily- 给 BayFamily 发送悄悄话 BayFamily 的博客首页 (168 bytes) () 06/13/2007 postreply 19:36:14

I'd like to bet 25 year--I have 12 years to go. -A-mao- 给 A-mao 发送悄悄话 A-mao 的博客首页 (166 bytes) () 06/13/2007 postreply 19:42:16

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