Where Buffett may be wrong?

回答: Buffett correct or wrong?天下无马2011-03-07 14:13:21

Buffett mislead the public intetionally or unintentionally.

He counts the cash flow on a constent value, which is the currency it denominates.

While currency is losing its value, the real return is not as promising as it appears to be.

Are we making the same mistake about cash flow?

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can what you said be applied to gold too? -longterminvestor- 给 longterminvestor 发送悄悄话 longterminvestor 的博客首页 (220 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 14:57:30

That is why you need to understand the currency. -天下无马- 给 天下无马 发送悄悄话 天下无马 的博客首页 (529 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 15:24:48

you can use currency to buy food, shelter, -longterminvestor- 给 longterminvestor 发送悄悄话 longterminvestor 的博客首页 (868 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 16:13:23

mmm. :) -天下无马- 给 天下无马 发送悄悄话 天下无马 的博客首页 (277 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 16:21:02

now, you are talking about real long term return -longterminvestor- 给 longterminvestor 发送悄悄话 longterminvestor 的博客首页 (72 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 16:27:30

Not very long, 50 year since Brettonwood break. -天下无马- 给 天下无马 发送悄悄话 天下无马 的博客首页 (1508 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 16:40:23

that is only index, if you consider compounded -longterminvestor- 给 longterminvestor 发送悄悄话 longterminvestor 的博客首页 (322 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 17:31:23

:) Do you think a single company represents stock market? -天下无马- 给 天下无马 发送悄悄话 天下无马 的博客首页 (546 bytes) () 03/07/2011 postreply 19:27:23

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