震撼:Vallejo,CA makes ‘dying cities’ list

N年前(1998)与一个青年拉丁美女护士聊天,大家都complain Cupertino的房子如何烂,如何贵。她和老公刚有一个小孩,花26万在Vallejo买了一个新大宅。现在看,该房没升值,而且社区比较乱,不安全。对小孩的成长也不好。如果当时在Cupertino的好区买,而且忍到现在,房子应该值60-80万。

 

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Rachel Raskin-Zrihen, The (Vallejo) Times-Herald

Vallejo made a new Newsweek magazine list of 10 "dying" American cities, though several city officials and the director of an economic think tank strongly question that characterization.

Vallejo is the only California city to make the list, which is dominated by old, industrial towns such as Pitt*****urgh, Pa., and Detroit. But only New Orleans, which is still suffering the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, is shedding residents faster than Vallejo, according to Newsweek's list.

The "dying cities" list comes just days after a Times-Herald report on a Forbes magazine list ranking the Vallejo area the ninth most "miserable" in the U.S. The Newsweek list was actually published in January.

Read more coverage on Vallejo.

The foreclosure crisis was one reason the Vallejo area made the list, an accompanying article notes, saying, "even as recently as December, one in every 113 homes was foreclosed on, one of the highest rates in the country."

This, the story notes, "has made the city a less desirable place to live and unfortunately, not much may change in the near future."

Jeffrey Michael, director of the University of the Pacific Eberhardt School of Business, Business Forecasting Center, disagrees. He said that while growth here was less robust than expected in recent years, the trajectory is still north.

"I wouldn't characterize Vallejo as a dying city. We think it will start growing again along with the rest of the Bay Area," Michael said.

He and Vallejo Councilman Michael Wilson said they can't imagine any Bay Area city actually dying, and suggest the designation is entirely too strong.

"There is the mysterious non-growth in population, but we see growth in Vallejo -- slow growth, but growth," Michael said. "And after the dot-com bust, the Bay Area population generally declined, with many people moving out of California entirely."

Wilson said Vallejo "is not dying, but reinventing."

City Councilwoman Marti Brown compared the city to a butterfly coming out of its chrysalis, and Mayor O*****y Davis said he resents the list's implication.

"We should not allow journalists or surveys to define who we are," Davis said. "I don't accept that we're No. 2 among America's dying cities. That implies no hope and no chance of improvement, and that's false, I believe."

The list was based on the most recent Census Bureau data on metropolitan areas with a population exceeding 100,000, the story's authors said. This was used to find the 30 cities that suffered the steepest population decline from 2000 to 2009.

The Vallejo area's population grew only slightly in 2010, but that's expected to pick up through 2015 to just under 1 percent annually, Michael said.

Dying cities

Newsweek magazine's list of "America's Dying Cities" based on declining population:

1. New Orleans

2. Vallejo

3. Hialeah, Fla.

4. Rochester, N.Y.

5. Cleveland

6. Pitt*****urgh, Pa.

7. Detroit

8. South Bend, Ind.

9. Flint, Mich.

10. Grand Rapids, Mich.

Source:

Newsweek.com

Vallejo, at a glance
Vallejo, according to Newsweek's Main Street list:
Total population (2009): 114,622
Proportion under 18 (2009): 24.4 percent
Change in total population (2000-2009): -1.8 percent
Change in residents under 18 (2000-2009): -3.2 percentage points
Source: Main Street report for Newsweek

所有跟帖: 

买房子,安全第一. -ca2004- 给 ca2004 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:12:33

值得玩味。社区很重要。长远要考虑升值潜力。 -bigassfollower- 给 bigassfollower 发送悄悄话 bigassfollower 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:16:47

老黑及老墨居民多的地方好象都不怎么升值? -bigassfollower- 给 bigassfollower 发送悄悄话 bigassfollower 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:22:08

加洲, 中小学的学生的种族比例, 老墨超过50%了.... -ca2004- 给 ca2004 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:24:26

Fremont Mission / Cupertino Monta Vista估计80%以上是老中老印 -bigassfollower- 给 bigassfollower 发送悄悄话 bigassfollower 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:27:58

我感觉20年后,加洲老墨可能过50%了. -ca2004- 给 ca2004 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:30:11

不意外. America's 20 Most Miserable Cities, 加州有几? -美西游子- 给 美西游子 发送悄悄话 美西游子 的博客首页 (1494 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:18:03

买房子, 不只是看学区,还要看犯罪率, 种族分布,教育程度, 平均收入,年龄, 自住/出租比, -ca2004- 给 ca2004 发送悄悄话 (25 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:22:54

Vallejo is very far from Cupertino -tank- 给 tank 发送悄悄话 (149 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:36:52

青年拉丁美女护士当时在Santa Clara,估计正在准备转到Vallejo的Kaiser Hospital -bigassfollower- 给 bigassfollower 发送悄悄话 bigassfollower 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 23:57:07

If 下20,30年将是农民矿工的时代, do you believe -天下无马- 给 天下无马 发送悄悄话 天下无马 的博客首页 (583 bytes) () 02/14/2011 postreply 15:37:22

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