See below

来源: CaLoanAgent 2010-09-09 15:02:47 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1419 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ CaLoanAgent ] 在 2010-09-09 17:16:26 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.
Sorry, I did not come to contribute as much as before.
I did post my opinion about the rate trend on my blog
once in a while.

Here are some of the thoughts:
1)The lowest rates may be behind us.
At least in the short term.

2)The mortgage rate is still driven by the economic
news. The rate is higher with better news, and lower
with bad news.

3)What's the possibility of 4% interest rate for 30 yr fixed? The mortgage industry talked about this rate about one month ago. And the market is preparing for it. The bond market started trading 3.5% coupons for the lower rates. But so far there is some possibility for lower rates, but still it depends on
whether we will have a double dip.

4)The long term bond still over-bought.
柳眉儿posted similar articles before(I could not find the link). It's normal for the current interest rate inched up.


5)Will the mortgage go higher in the short/long term?
With the Fed purchasing the treasury/MBS, and the clouds about the economy recovery. I don't see higher rates for at least another 6 months.

6)The trading range is very narrow for the mortgage rates. It's still within 0.125% to 0.25% range. Sometimes, the locking period will make a little bit difference for the rates. The best strategy is still locking at the valley and floating at the top. For today's market, it's pretty safe to float.

所有跟帖: 

many thanks for sharing, as always! -美西游子- 给 美西游子 发送悄悄话 美西游子 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 09/09/2010 postreply 16:06:39

Thanks, CaLoanAgent! -RE8888- 给 RE8888 发送悄悄话 RE8888 的博客首页 (220 bytes) () 09/09/2010 postreply 16:26:22

好帖,谢谢! -方圆贷款- 给 方圆贷款 发送悄悄话 方圆贷款 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 09/09/2010 postreply 16:52:00

Thanks a lot for sharing! Very valuable point! -金色风铃- 给 金色风铃 发送悄悄话 金色风铃 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 09/10/2010 postreply 06:31:51

Thanks a lot for the insights! How about Prime Rate? -CirrusCloud- 给 CirrusCloud 发送悄悄话 (191 bytes) () 09/10/2010 postreply 07:03:15

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