SP500 - Makes it or Breaks it

来源: 越王剑 于 2026-03-20 10:03:35 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (789 bytes)
本帖于 2026-03-20 10:03:58 时间, 由普通用户 越王剑 编辑

Disclaim: Personal opinion. YMYD. Not the advise to buy or sell.

The key level is getting tested now. Even it is going to break, it could bounce to drag many people back in first before collapses. However, market timing is very difficult. Checking investors sentiment, asset valuation, crowded trades will work much better than TA timing.

AAII sentiment of today: Retails are not as bearish as they felt last Apr. (See below). But it is getting closer. 

 

AAII sentiment of Apr 2025: 

所有跟帖： 

• 所以应该干什么呢，按兵不动？ -Firefly2023- ♀ 给 Firefly2023 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/20/2026 postreply 10:10:00

• 目前没什么可干的 -越王剑- ♂ 给 越王剑 发送悄悄话 越王剑 的博客首页 (264 bytes) () 03/20/2026 postreply 10:20:54

• 韭菜猫草里面，悄悄观风向 -胡雪盐8- ♂ 给 胡雪盐8 发送悄悄话 胡雪盐8 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/20/2026 postreply 11:58:46

• 一定break，然后就没然后了。 -flyingdust11- ♀ 给 flyingdust11 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/20/2026 postreply 12:19:20

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