是的,对于这个问题就应该客观地看问题,以事实说话看待中美双方在这个博弈中各自的

位置,谁更占据上风,才能客观预测未来大致可能发生什么以及我们该如何应对。不用因为自己站在某一边就justify,昨天和女儿讨论这一现象,女儿脱口而出心理学上有一个词叫“Cognitive Dissonance ", 查了一下,她非常准确地概括了这一现象:

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Cognitive Dissonance In Psychology: Definition and Examples
Cognitive dissonance is the psychological discomfort or tension people feel when they hold two or more conflicting ideas, beliefs, or values, or when their actions contradict their beliefs. This uncomfortable mental state motivates individuals to reduce the dissonance by changing their attitudes or behaviors, rationalizing their actions, or dismissing the conflicting information to restore internal consistency. 
How Cognitive Dissonance Works
 
  • Inconsistency Creates Discomfort:The mind naturally seeks consistency between one's thoughts and actions. When there's a clash, like a person who believes smoking is harmful but continues to smoke, it creates a state of psychological discomfort or tension. 
  • Motivation to Reduce Dissonance:To alleviate this discomfort, people are motivated to resolve the inconsistency. 
  • Methods of Resolution:Individuals may use several strategies:
    • Change their behavior: A smoker might reduce smoking to align with their belief.
    • Change their beliefs: They might downplay the risks of smoking.
    • Add new cognitions (rationalize): They might add a belief, such as, "I exercise a lot, so it doesn't matter".
    • Trivialize the inconsistency: They might decide the conflicting information isn't important.
    • Deny or avoid contradictory information: They might ignore news about the dangers of smoking. 
Examples of Cognitive Dissonance
 
  • Smoking:A person who smokes but believes smoking is dangerous experiences dissonance, which may be resolved by quitting, rationalizing their habits, or ignoring the health risks. 
  • Ethical Dilemmas:An individual who values honesty but tells a lie might feel guilt (a manifestation of dissonance) and then minimize the lie's importance or blame others to restore their self-image as an ethical person, as noted by YouTube. 
  • Consumer Behavior:Someone who buys an expensive product they don't really need might later rationalize the purchase by emphasizing its positive qualities to justify the expenditure. 
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