CRCL ER coming almost exactly as expected.

本帖于 2025-08-12 06:02:14 时间, 由普通用户 三心三意 编辑

Positive

  • Management provided 40% CAGR for the USDC circulation, alleviating the worst case fear of 30% or below.
  • Very confident in their B2B payment network and pointing investors to this as a key growth area going forward

Negative:

  • Not really addressing the interest rate impact (this is kind of beyond their control)
  • CPI number today has pretty much made Sept rate cut a certainty, and 3 rate cut possiblity has gone up from 45% to 52% after the release of CPI

Overall, CRCL should stablize and range trade for some time

 

所有跟帖: 

thanks to follow up, 三心!! -tornj- 给 tornj 发送悄悄话 tornj 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:05:27

看上去还不错,150以下应该比较难了 -穆丹之乡- 给 穆丹之乡 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:06:16

$120短期进不来了? -BBL123- 给 BBL123 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:06:25

Hard to say. 100-220 range is my best guess for 2H -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:10:23

请问: 什么是2H? CRCL还有可能回测100-120? 多谢! -学龄前- 给 学龄前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:49:12

second half of 2025 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 07:11:55

THANKS! -学龄前- 给 学龄前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 07:15:18

三心大侠,您早. 对大盘趋势有最新的看法吗?是回调还是继续向北?还是需要再看几天?多谢! -学龄前- 给 学龄前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:07:24

Nothing has changed. 如果大盘直接冲新高,我们需要提高阶梯 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:08:53

不再重新对冲了? -BBL123- 给 BBL123 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:10:39

Not now, no sign of turning south yet -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:11:30

多谢! -BBL123- 给 BBL123 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:14:48

多谢回复! 想从AMZN, NVDA, PLTR, ORCL, AMD中选两家建仓,但又担心追高, 您能给建议吗?多谢! -学龄前- 给 学龄前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:22:46

Buy NVDA at market pullback, safest bet :) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:27:00

非常感谢!!! -学龄前- 给 学龄前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:31:26

9月份不知道qqq 能不能回撤?还是 qqq 最安心 -家家幸福- 给 家家幸福 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 07:24:13

加一句:长期投资的逻辑没有丝毫变化, 这次财报加固了这个逻辑 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:15:55

So will continue to accumulate when opportunity presents -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:16:28

如想建仓CRCL长持,什么价位可买? 多谢! -学龄前- 给 学龄前 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:35:20

这个问提我已经多次说明我的观点,nothing has changed -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 三心三意 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 08/12/2025 postreply 06:38:56

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