Using ratio put spread 200-185, and butterfly 185-175-165, the results are as follows. Looks like the cost didn't further go down from 185 to 175. What is the point of using this butterfly if anticipating price drop won't be further away from 175?
Scenario | BA Close | Shares Acquired | Option Profit | Total Cash Out | Avg Cost / Share | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | > $200 | 0 | $0 | $0 | – | No assignment |
2 | $185–$200 | 0 | $500–$1,500 | $0 | – | Take profit |
3 | $185 | 100 | $1,500 | $18,500 – 1,500 = 17,000 | $170.00 | 1 assigned put |
4 | $175 | 300 | $2,500 | $53,500 – 2,500 = 51,000 | $170.00 | Peak assignment |
5 | $165 | 300 | $3,500 | $53,500 – 3,500 = 50,000 | $166.67 | Lower cost due to higher put profit |
6 | $155 | 300 | $4,500 | $53,500 – 4,500 = 49,000 | $163.33 | Risk flattened due to 165 long put |