国债为什么掉

来源: 三心三意 于 2025-04-08 20:57:33 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (613 bytes)

1: Margin call so someone had to sell Bond to raise cash to cover stock loss

2: China and Japan selling bonds

3: Hedge fund "bond carry trade" and now have to unwind

4: Tariff introduce worry of inflation

5: Treasure Auction tomorrow so far has weak instituion demand and thus raise fears

Keep in mind, Bond market is much much much larger than stock market. So, there is a clear run for liquidity right now on the market. 

I think Wall Street is forcing Trump's hand. If Bond market collapse, so goes rest of the world.

所有跟帖： 

• 这个解释比较合理 -桃花源里人家- ♂ 给 桃花源里人家 发送悄悄话 桃花源里人家 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:03:35

• 大师提醒的好 -与庄共舞- ♂ 给 与庄共舞 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:04:00

• Fed has plenty of ammunition and step in when necessary -KC28- ♀ 给 KC28 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:04:01

• Fed doesn't want to pay for the mistake Trump is making -KC28- ♀ 给 KC28 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:05:04

• 国债如过山车，糊里糊涂拿着4.5%的票息，川卫兵不至于把国债作废吧？ -Octobter- ♂ 给 Octobter 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:08:46

• Spx要是能直接杀到4200就爽了，肯定有不少爆仓的 -伯克希尔哈萨维- ♂ 给 伯克希尔哈萨维 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:11:05

• Maintain price stability takes priority over max employment -KC28- ♀ 给 KC28 发送悄悄话 (157 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:16:27

• 1,3 不太象, 一般基金没那么大账户吧 -mobius- ♂ 给 mobius 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:19:20

• LOL, there are trillion $$ at risk here :) -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (360 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:25:33

• Citadel could be wiped out if this is not addressed -三心三意- ♂ 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:27:11

• 要是能清零几个为富不仁的就太好了 -mobius- ♂ 给 mobius 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:29:24

• bond market和股市本来都是大概50T的规模，不过股市最近掉了差不多10个T -丁丁在美洲- ♂ 给 丁丁在美洲 发送悄悄话 丁丁在美洲 的博客首页 (71 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:41:21

• 怪不得有说法要救债市, 牺牲股市. -mobius- ♂ 给 mobius 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:46:30

• US dollar has strengthenedn against Chinese Yuan -KC28- ♀ 给 KC28 发送悄悄话 (111 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:42:47

• 会不会资本外逃央行要稳住？ -mobius- ♂ 给 mobius 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:47:47

• Foreign investment in China dropped about 90% from 2021 peak -KC28- ♀ 给 KC28 发送悄悄话 (112 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 21:58:21

• China FDI: Year 2021, $344B; Year 2024, $116B. -BeLe- ♀ 给 BeLe 发送悄悄话 BeLe 的博客首页 (1929 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 22:47:25

• 转一个bond 大牛的分析：债卷市场有事，但应该不是中国干的。 -mobius- ♂ 给 mobius 发送悄悄话 (81 bytes) () 04/08/2025 postreply 22:07:54

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