我相信你的一直解释符合EWT general rule. 但是在已知规则下可能有多种浪的画法都符合EWT general rule,要根据股价未来的走势继续判断。我觉得这是千人千浪的说法的由来。比如说triangle的判断,也和三个subwave structure以及 Fabonacci 结构不矛盾。
In Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), there can be multiple ways to label the waves (hypotheses), and each of those hypotheses must be consistent with the established rules of the theory. As the market progresses, analysts monitor the price action to determine whether the previously hypothesized wave counts still align with the unfolding price movement, or whether they need to be revised or abandoned due to violations of the rules.
This iterative process of adjusting hypotheses based on new data (in this case, market movement) is indeed somewhat similar to Bayesian reasoning. In Bayesian inference, hypotheses are updated as new evidence is observed, and probabilities are adjusted accordingly. However, in the context of Elliott Wave Theory, this process doesn't strictly involve updating probabilities in the same mathematical sense that Bayesian reasoning does, but it does involve continuous evaluation and adjustment of the wave counts as new information becomes available.