Where are we with Tesla....

Currently, Tesla sits right below 50D EMA + 0.382 retracement from the big trend that started in Oct of 2024. Taking into consideration that 0.382 is the minimal retracement for a correction, Tesla certainly has two paths forward

1: If Tesla can hold the level around today and start to rally, it would meet the minimal correction requirement + successfully defend the 50D EMA, and on its way to climbing towards 5th wave. To confirm that 5th wave is indeed underway, Tesla needs to take out 440 which is a key resistance level.  

2: However, a normal correction is typically between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement. This would take Tesla to roughly 330 +/- 20 points level. A pullback to this level is "completely" normal, and frankly, I would prefer it goes there, because this would set it up for a nice and strong push to complete 5th wave up.

3: Lastly, I do want to point out that, in an extreme negative environment, stock could correct all the way to 0.768 level, which is also nicely aligned around 200D EMA. I dont expect Tesla to go there. But if it does, that would be a life-time buying opportunity.

Chart below for reference

 

所有跟帖: 

谢谢分享。这回我画的一样 :) -成功的兔- 给 成功的兔 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 00:33:59

感谢三哥的极时分析 -Olive_2- 给 Olive_2 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 02:32:22

TSLA price actions indicate that this stock will not be -jw2009- 给 jw2009 发送悄悄话 jw2009 的博客首页 (52 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 04:08:05

估计还有得跌 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 04:46:47

如果跌了你正好加仓啊,哈哈哈 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 05:56:10

that is correct. -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 BrightLine 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:13:42

我也一直在注意特斯拉,就是因为对估值不放心在观望 -桃花源里人家- 给 桃花源里人家 发送悄悄话 桃花源里人家 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:59:01

谢谢+ 请教三心老师 -NewLeaf2021- 给 NewLeaf2021 发送悄悄话 (263 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:28:18

他是月图,而且这张图的Fib不是回调, 而是上升时段的Fib -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (180 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:05:21

喔。好。 谢谢! -NewLeaf2021- 给 NewLeaf2021 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:08:31

如果没有今年autonomous taxi 落地 和optimus量产,是不是这估值就撑不住? -元亨- 给 元亨 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:31:17

Optimus 量产不在任何机构的估值里,但如果Robotaxi今年不落地股价要先回到200多 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 06:55:02

TSLA 昨天刚公布大量招ENGINEES -NewLeaf2021- 给 NewLeaf2021 发送悄悄话 (56 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 07:16:40

我今早开始买回TSLA,建了预计持仓的20%仓位。 -云起千百度- 给 云起千百度 发送悄悄话 云起千百度 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 08:02:37

哇,你给的更低。我以为350块钱就差不多了。哈哈 -MarkM76- 给 MarkM76 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/06/2025 postreply 09:10:40

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