均线,周线上反应出来的会是几个月甚至一年以上的趋势,所以现在周线上是绝对的牛市啊

本帖于 2024-12-29 12:27:58 时间, 由版主 三心三意 编辑

不过我把日线放大, 这样可以看到bigger picture。

This is the bull trend that started from beginning of 2023, and we are now in the final 5th wave.

The ABC structure we refered to in the post above is the 4th wave (the yellow color) inside the outter 5th wave (the blue color).

A even more persmistic view by some people is that we already finished the 5th wave (ie, the yellow 3rd count in the chart is really a yellow 5th count, which, if true, will also complete the blue 5th wave). In this persmistic view, QQQ would have completed all 5 waves started from early 2023 and will enter into a big correction.

I am not holding this persmistic view just yet as I still see market going up in 2025, and therefore, for now, I am treating this as yellow 4th wave pullback, before another ATH in 2025 for 5th yellow wave

所有跟帖: 

还有,这些分析不仅仅是波浪,前面标的484也是很接近200D SMA。 如果守不住那,我们就真有熊市的可能了 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (51 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 12:47:25

非常巧,484 +/- 也是在周线上非常接接近50EMA。 这将是一个牛熊分界线 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 12:57:57

请教三心老师,您前面提到MA200, 后面又说EMA50, 是要混着看吗?谢谢! -银杏银杏2- 给 银杏银杏2 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 18:26:39

200天一般看SMA(simple MA)。50天看(Exponential MA) -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (169 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:06:16

感谢! -银杏银杏2- 给 银杏银杏2 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:26:36

找到了, 这是 Link。。。 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (190 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:46:28

谢谢三心老师! 收藏了 :) -银杏银杏2- 给 银杏银杏2 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 01/01/2025 postreply 14:52:21

多谢分享, 5-3好像不符合3浪特征 -元亨- 给 元亨 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 18:15:39

那一个5-3? -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/29/2024 postreply 19:02:52

450-539 -元亨- 给 元亨 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/30/2024 postreply 07:12:18

I see。 这个Final 5 浪 (蓝色的)不是Impulsive, 而是Ending Diagonal -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (314 bytes) () 12/30/2024 postreply 08:38:28

有道理 ,可以走扩张ed -元亨- 给 元亨 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/30/2024 postreply 13:19:52

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