Let's use this example for a deeper understanding of TA

本帖于 2024-12-05 08:12:31 时间, 由版主 三心三意 编辑

If you look at this tri-angle for IWM, you can see that the lower line is right at the gap that was formed on 11/24 (gap here means IWM gap higher on 11/24).

Why is this important?

When a gap is formed, it basically means one thing, anyone who enters into IWM position on or after 11/24 is paying a price that is HIGHER than the lower end of that gap, which is 239 (you will not be able to buy below this price due to the gap). Now, put yourself in their shoes, you would probably be a little worried as IWM consolidate and price moves lower after 11/24.

This is what we called "selling pressure" in TA, meaning, there is a high likelyhood of more people thinking of selling due to this gap. However, if the stock price bounce off this low (which is the lower end of this tri-angle), it basically says that instituions are willing to step in and accumulate those shares that are sold at this level.

If there are enough buyers, they will eventually exhaust the "selling pressure" coming from people who bought at the gap. When this happens, more and more buyers come in, and stock eventually breaks up and goes higher

On the other hand, if stock drops below the lower end, it basically signals that instituions buyers no longer want to support stock at this level (maybe due to some other news that we dont know yet, but whatever the case, their action is telling us something else is going on and stock likely go lower)

 

所有跟帖: 

这是1小时放大图,可以看到在4处小铃铛的地方都被买起来了 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (81 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:23:56

我的理解是-认知那个GAP, 然后看第二天的走向,用来界定此GAP是Breakpoint? -nmyj- 给 nmyj 发送悄悄话 nmyj 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:25:38

Not really, try to read post again. 可能信息太多了要一点时间 -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:35:04

谢老师。再交作业 -nmyj- 给 nmyj 发送悄悄话 nmyj 的博客首页 (504 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:09:11

Yes, also another very important sign is volume -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (520 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:21:05

One more thng, tri-agnle does not mean it will go up -三心三意- 给 三心三意 发送悄悄话 (111 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 09:24:22

又要记笔记了。哈哈 -BrightLine- 给 BrightLine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/05/2024 postreply 08:42:46

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