这里的假设有个致命缺陷

来源: 三心三意 于 2024-06-16 09:27:38 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 阅读数 : (494 bytes)
回答: 闲谈 QQQ 由 Mich_Agent 于 2024-06-15 19:11:02

If you are about to retire in 2000 with $10M, the 20y treasure at that time is 6.5%. A peson with any sanity would put at least 30% in treasure with such high rate after retirement. Even if he put rest of 70% in QQQ, he would

1: By 2022 (worst time), gain 13% in treasure and lose 80% in QQQ = $5.4M

2: By 2007, gain 45% in treausre, and lose 50% in QQQ = $7.8M in portfolio

3: By 2015, gain 100% in treasure, and make even in QQQ = $13M in portfolio

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